*Official Election 2005 Results Thread* (user search)
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  *Official Election 2005 Results Thread* (search mode)
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Author Topic: *Official Election 2005 Results Thread*  (Read 100252 times)
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Miamiu1027
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« on: November 08, 2005, 03:09:27 PM »

should we really trust any exit poll data that may leak out?

No, but it's fun regardless.  I doubt that any data will leak in such unimportant races nationally.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2005, 04:44:17 PM »

My friend in Fairfax County just called me.  He's a poll worker.  He said that he's never seen turnout like this in NOVA -- not even in 2001 with Warner.  He's also getting word that turnout in the southern, rural parts of the state -- where the solid GOP base is located -- is as low as he can remember.  Kaine looks to be well positioned.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2005, 05:31:06 PM »

    I just heard there is a big GOP turn out in for kilgore in the solidly conservative areas of west Richmond and Ronoke as well as the rural parts of the state. Also more bad news for Kanie there is a low Democratic turn out in NOVA.   

My friend in Fairfax County just called me.  He's a poll worker.  He said that he's never seen turnout like this in NOVA -- not even in 2001 with Warner.  He's also getting word that turnout in the southern, rural parts of the state -- where the solid GOP base is located -- is as low as he can remember.  Kaine looks to be well positioned.

hahaha . . . take your pick.  Smiley  Scanning the various news sites, there hasn't been anything released yet one way or the other regarding turnout.

I made mine up.  I'm trying to point out that we can't trust this insider information.  I'm not saying Kevin trumped his up, but I really don't see any reason to believe it's accurate.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2005, 06:41:46 PM »

My friend in Fairfax County just called me.  He's a poll worker.  He said that he's never seen turnout like this in NOVA -- not even in 2001 with Warner.  He's also getting word that turnout in the southern, rural parts of the state -- where the solid GOP base is located -- is as low as he can remember.  Kaine looks to be well positioned.

I have a feeling your friend is more correct than what Kevin is posting. 

Also ignore Republican Apologist, everyone, he's a troll who has no clue.


I made mine up.  I'm trying to point out that we can't trust this insider information.  I'm not saying Kevin trumped his up, but I really don't see any reason to believe it's accurate.

Also, 'Republican Apologist' is just Scoonie trying to act right-wing.  He's being sarcastic, of course, and the act is getting a tad old. 
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #4 on: November 08, 2005, 07:10:08 PM »

J W Kilgore  Republican 0 0.00%
  T M Kaine  Democratic 0 0.00%
  H R Potts Jr  Independent 0 0.00%
  Write Ins    0 0.00%
  Vote Totals: 0   
from the official site


wow, low turnout.  Smiley
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #5 on: November 08, 2005, 07:39:57 PM »


Virginia is looking very good for Kaine right now.

Not so much because he is up by 6 in the absolute number, but because he is running 24 points ahead of his party's Lt. Gov candidate.   This must indicate a bunch of right-leaning voters ticket-splitting in Kaine's favor.

The Gov's race has more precincts reporting than the other 2 races.  That's why Kaine is so far ahead of them.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #6 on: November 08, 2005, 07:47:00 PM »

Potts is sucking bad so far.

Kaine just closed the gap a little too.  LETS GO NOVA
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #7 on: November 08, 2005, 07:56:31 PM »

Don't pay too much attention to these early results, please, it'll drive you insane.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #8 on: November 08, 2005, 07:59:26 PM »

Precincts Reporting: 596 of 2426 (24.57%)
Registered Voters: 4,452,012   Total Voting: 565,860   Voter Turnout: 12.71 %
 Candidates     Party    Vote Totals    Percentage
  J W Kilgore     Republican    309,193    54.64%
  T M Kaine     Democratic    246,111    43.49%
  H R Potts Jr     Independent    10,123    1.79%

Gerry Daly (nickshepDem/Alcon alert) is saying that the race in Virginia will be a nailbiter as Kilgore is overperforming Earley and underperforming Bush 2004 in the precincts he has examined.

was Earley Warner's oppostion in 2001?
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #9 on: November 08, 2005, 08:07:07 PM »

CN8 is reporting high turnout in Republican areas of New Jersey.  Low turnout in Democratic areas. 

My friend who works in a Berger County polling station has said the urban areas have been flooded with voters.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #10 on: November 08, 2005, 08:10:03 PM »

CN8 is reporting high turnout in Republican areas of New Jersey.  Low turnout in Democratic areas. 

My friend who works in a Berger County polling station has said the urban areas have been flooded with voters.

Um...I'm reasonably sure that there is no Berger County in Virginia?

I meant to say Bergen.  It's a fake story anyway.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #11 on: November 08, 2005, 08:11:12 PM »

The Virginia elections return site isn't working real well.

Nope, it's real slow, they can't handle all the traffic I guess.  The british lady on CNN even says it takes a while to load up.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #12 on: November 08, 2005, 08:15:19 PM »

I'm getting news that Kaine is up 1.7% with 65% of precincts reporting, but I am highly suspect and would not trust these numbers (even though ti is a generally accurate source.)

Is that a fake story or a real story?  And if it is real, what is the source?
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #13 on: November 08, 2005, 08:20:14 PM »

I think this will in fact come down to the wire....Kaine up by 5.3% with almost 50% reporting, but the Lt. Gov race is suspiciously close.  Kaine's got to be the favorite though.

There is a precinct discrepancy between races; one has 50% reporting, the other with 45%, and the other with 40%, so I wouldn't pay attention to parallels drawn between races just yet.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #14 on: November 08, 2005, 08:21:55 PM »

Anyone have any idea when polls close in California?  That'll be an interesting one, too.  I'm expecting Sanders to win in San Diego, but most Schwarzenegger's ballot initiatives to fail.

11pm EST
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #15 on: November 08, 2005, 08:29:38 PM »

Kaine remains up by a similar margin as before with 56% reporting...
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #16 on: November 08, 2005, 08:50:16 PM »

Kilgore is going to win.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #17 on: November 08, 2005, 08:51:42 PM »

Do you have a link? Was there suddenly a surge from the western VA??

It's a prediction and not a fact.  He's been making small gains over the past half hour or so.  He may run out of time here, but I think he'll win in the end by <1%.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #18 on: November 08, 2005, 09:29:37 PM »

Warner's stock for the 2008 nomination has gone up 1% today.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #19 on: November 08, 2005, 09:55:04 PM »

VA is a very good win for the Democrats.  Kilgore was ahead by 10% at midsummer!  NJ is nothing special, but VA can be bragged about.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #20 on: December 12, 2005, 09:42:14 PM »

Who ended up winning McDonnell v. Deeds?
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