*Official Election 2005 Results Thread*

[ag]

"Exit Polls Show Democrat Corzine Is Decisive Winner In NJ Governors' Race...Wants To Appoint Codey To Fill His Senate Seat... "
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2005/11/08/exit-polls-show-democrat-_n_10324.html

As far as I know there were no exit polls in any of the races.  Maybe a couple Corzine staffer with clipboards.  Be patient the results will be in shortly. 

Washington Post says there aren't any exit polls in either NJ, VA or CA. Well, VA is done voting. We'll see soon.

[ag]

LOL, be easy.  Still 2000+ precincts to go.

Listen, this is like basketball: everybody knows that a two-pointer in second 15 means nothing, but it is still fun. At this stage it is just that, so for politics fans there is no more shame in shouting stupid things about something insignificant than for sports fans it is to shout "go!" for the stupid ball. It's just innocent fun, that's all.

[ag]

Do you have a good link to Jersey results...?

I'm looking for those as well.  Anyone surprised by the low projected voter turnout in Virginia?  SoS's site has it sitting at 20% -- granted, that could change, but seems awful low for a gubernatorial election.

20% is not the turnout estimate, but proportion of the registerred voters already counted. So, it is looking like something around 40-45% - I'd say it's high for an off-year (nationally) election.

[ag]

WA is hitting 60% and the biggest race we have is King County Executive.  It will be higher.  Absentees haven't even started to be counted, I imagine.

51.2-46.6 Kaine with 55.6%.  Seems an update every 10 minutes.

ag, that can't be high.  If WA is supposed to hit 60%, I imagine VA would hit at least 65-70%...?

Forrester is up 51-47 with 6% reporting.

I guess you are right, it's not high as a proportion of registered voters. What are VA registration rules (i.e., how big is the gap between the number of registered voters and the voting age population)?

[ag]

Nobody seems to check the most obvious: NYTimes front page:

Jon D. Corzine (D) 10,346  
Douglas R. Forrester (R) 7,185  

[ag]

Less than 4000 gap for VA AG with 89.45% reporting. What are the recount rules?

[ag]

Any info on Virginia an Jersey legislaures?

[ag]

Democrats are expected to pick up seats in the NJ state house.

Just looking at the (still very provisional) data on incumbents, looks like 6 Republicans and 2 Democrats are loosing. This still may change and I have no clue about the open seats.

Also, just randomly glancing through results, Republicans might loose a seat in VA - still, no problem for them (half the seats aren't really contested, anyway).

[ag]

Democrats are expected to pick up seats in the NJ state house.

Just looking at the (still very provisional) data on incumbents, looks like 6 Republicans and 2 Democrats are loosing. This still may change and I have no clue about the open seats.

Also, just randomly glancing through results, Republicans might loose a seat in VA - still, no problem for them (half the seats aren't really contested, anyway).

Not quite: In VA

GOP picks up Dem House Seat

Sure. But there are also some other seats to change hands. The last time I checked Democrats were leading in 38 seats (same as before), Independents in 3 (+1), meaning Reps would loose a seat. Still, this might change 10 times by tomorrow.

[ag]

With only some 50 precincts left to report the gap in VA AG race is back under 5000 votes (.25%). Looking at what's left to report, it is likely that the gap will be smaller - but very unlikely it will be overcome. What are the recount and absentee rules?

[ag]

I'm very confused about the results in the VA Attorney General's race.  I mean there are two different TV stations posting two different results with 97%  of the precincts counted statewide.

On these two stations they have

On ABC's WRIC in Richmond they are reporting:

Deeds (D)              926,264  50%
McDonnell (R)         913,764  49%

While on CBS's WDBJ in Roanoke they are reporting:

McDonnell (R)        935,448  50%
Deeds (D)             923,983  49%

Can someone give me some more accurate results for this race and maybe explain to me why these two stations are so different with the numbers?   

One station accidentally reversed the tallies. The real result (with about 50 precincts to go) is 940,815 (McDonnell R) to 936,162 (Deeds D).  Looking at what's left to report it will be even closer, but it is still unlikelyto reverse, so Dems only real chance is a recount.

[ag]

And again the nail-biter of the night: with all but 29 precincts counted in the VA AG race the gap is just 0.12% percentage points, or just 2,294 votes: 947,455 (R) vs 945,161 (D).  Still, it looks like most remaining precincts should be Rep leaning (though 3 precincts in Arlington county are also pending!).  

[ag]

OK, NJ has some kind of weird assembly election system, where each party has 2 candidates and there's a runoff with the top 2. We won't know much until the runoff in a month, then.

Actually, if I remember it right, NJ election system is a bit different: indeed, each party has 2 candidates in each district, but the reason is that each voter gets two votes and each district elects to members. I might be wrong on details , but there is no run-off and we don't have to wait.

In fact, the (almost) final results (according to Star-Ledger) seem to be that the Democratic 47-33 seat majority will become either a 48-32 or 49-31: 2 Dem seats went Rep, 3 Rep seats went Dem and in 1 Rep seat Dems still hope for an absentee ballot turnaround.

Actually, apparently the Dem victories happened in Republican-leaning districts. In contrast, the Republicans ousted 2 Dems that were viewed as surprise winners last time in a normally solidly Rep district, so that these are more of a return to normal service. So Dems are quite happy. As the Assembly majority leader noted, before election it has been the largest majority they had since 1979, and now it grew even more.  Likewise, Rep leader seems to be unhappy about the outcome.

[ag]

A couple of hours later:

R F McDonnell  Republican 970,889 49.96%
  R C Deeds  Democratic 970,532 49.94%
  Write Ins    1,793 0.09%
Total:    1,943,214   

The margin is 357 votes.