TX-PPP (D): Trump +3 over Biden, +9 over Harris
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  TX-PPP (D): Trump +3 over Biden, +9 over Harris
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Author Topic: TX-PPP (D): Trump +3 over Biden, +9 over Harris  (Read 2010 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: February 16, 2019, 12:47:35 AM »

49% Donald Trump (R, inc.)
46% Joe Biden (D)

49% Donald Trump (R, inc.)
40% Kamala Harris (D)

Trump approval: 48/47 (+1)

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ON Progressive
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« Reply #1 on: February 16, 2019, 01:28:27 AM »

But I was told it's impossible for Texas to vote to the left of Ohio!
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« Reply #2 on: February 16, 2019, 01:31:03 AM »

But I was told it's impossible for Texas to vote to the left of Ohio!

If the poll is right , Trump would lose to Biden by around a Romney 2012 style margin, while he would win against Kamala similarly to his 2016 race.

Seems about right
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Insomnian
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« Reply #3 on: February 16, 2019, 01:33:23 AM »

But I was told it's impossible for Texas to vote to the left of Ohio!

If the poll is right , Trump would lose to Biden by around a Romney 2012 style margin, while he would win against Kamala similarly to his 2016 race.

Seems about right
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Da2017
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« Reply #4 on: February 16, 2019, 04:01:02 AM »

But I was told it's impossible for Texas to vote to the left of Ohio!

If the poll is right , Trump would lose to Biden by around a Romney 2012 style margin, while he would win against Kamala similarly to his 2016 race.

Seems about right

Some of it is Name Recognition. Shows potential. I don,t think she will carry it,but she could improve on Hillary performance a bitm
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Computer89
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« Reply #5 on: February 16, 2019, 10:52:14 AM »

But I was told it's impossible for Texas to vote to the left of Ohio!

If the poll is right , Trump would lose to Biden by around a Romney 2012 style margin, while he would win against Kamala similarly to his 2016 race.

Seems about right

Some of it is Name Recognition. Shows potential. I don,t think she will carry it,but she could improve on Hillary performance a bitm


I don’t think so , I think Trump will carry Texas by 8-9 points against Kamala and maybe double digits if she endorses the Green New Deal(which would be pretty bad for the TX economy).


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No War, but the War on Christmas
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« Reply #6 on: February 16, 2019, 10:56:25 AM »

But I was told it's impossible for Texas to vote to the left of Ohio!

If the poll is right , Trump would lose to Biden by around a Romney 2012 style margin, while he would win against Kamala similarly to his 2016 race.

Seems about right

 Tears of joy
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #7 on: February 16, 2019, 11:10:14 AM »

But I was told it's impossible for Texas to vote to the left of Ohio!

If the poll is right , Trump would lose to Biden by around a Romney 2012 style margin, while he would win against Kamala similarly to his 2016 race.

Seems about right

President McCain agrees with you.
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Computer89
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« Reply #8 on: February 16, 2019, 11:16:19 AM »

But I was told it's impossible for Texas to vote to the left of Ohio!

If the poll is right , Trump would lose to Biden by around a Romney 2012 style margin, while he would win against Kamala similarly to his 2016 race.

Seems about right

President McCain agrees with you.

Are you assuming there will be a massive economic  crash in 2020,  we will be mired in an unpopular war
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Politician
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« Reply #9 on: February 16, 2019, 11:46:58 AM »

Looks about right
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President Johnson
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« Reply #10 on: February 16, 2019, 12:51:44 PM »

Texas is definitely Lean Republican at this point; could move into either direction 18 months from now. This is more of a name recognition poll, with Harris having potential to catch up.

If 2020 goes well for the Democrats, I could see the state be the Minnesota of 2016. Usually locked into one column, but this time being much closer than it's supposed to be. In a region, that the other party starts to gain ground.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #11 on: February 16, 2019, 02:48:22 PM »

IDK, doesn't this just make the EC/PV hole Dems have to dig themselves out of like 2X deeper. 

Agree that Dems running on the GND would be an own goal in Texas.  Trump could even win Harris with that campaign. 
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #12 on: February 16, 2019, 03:52:22 PM »

TX isnt a tipping point race, but Dems can come close to winning it, since Abbott isnt on ballot that got Cruz reelected.
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The Impartial Spectator
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« Reply #13 on: February 16, 2019, 06:07:57 PM »

Pretty silly of them not to have polled Beto vs. Trump.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #14 on: February 16, 2019, 06:50:21 PM »

Texas won't flip, but these are some pretty horrible numbers for Trump. He won't be winning the popular vote again, that is the one thing about this election that I am fairly sure of, even this early on.
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SN2903
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« Reply #15 on: February 16, 2019, 07:54:47 PM »

Biden is their best candidate but is way too moderate to get the nomination
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #16 on: February 19, 2019, 08:01:41 PM »

But I was told it's impossible for Texas to vote to the left of Ohio!

If the poll is right , Trump would lose to Biden by around a Romney 2012 style margin, while he would win against Kamala similarly to his 2016 race.

Seems about right

 Tears of joy

Trump is polling at the same number against both of them, it's name rec. Old School has been a member of Atlas for far too long to say something so stupid.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #17 on: February 19, 2019, 08:08:45 PM »

TX isn't really in contention, but the Senate and House races are gonna be fascinating.
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #18 on: February 20, 2019, 03:56:52 PM »

But I was told it's impossible for Texas to vote to the left of Ohio!

If the poll is right , Trump would lose to Biden by around a Romney 2012 style margin, while he would win against Kamala similarly to his 2016 race.

Seems about right
Biden vs Trump is likely accurate as both have name recognition enough for people form an opinion about now. Not so much for Harris.
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Lambsbread
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« Reply #19 on: February 20, 2019, 04:13:58 PM »

Beto down by 2 to Cornyn a year and a half out from the election is proof that he should run for Senate again instead of wasting his time running for POTUS.
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vanteran
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« Reply #20 on: February 20, 2019, 04:32:35 PM »

Beto down by 2 to Cornyn a year and a half out from the election is proof that he should run for Senate again instead of wasting his time running for POTUS.

I totally agree. Dems need good quality candidates in the Senate races - here's my list of who should run:

  • Stacey Abrams (GA)
  • Mark Begich (AK)
  • Steve Bullock (MT)
  • Abby Finkenauer (IA)
  • John Hickenlooper (CO)
  • Mitch Landrieu (LA)
  • Amy McGrath (KY)
  • Richard Ojeda (WV)
  • Beto O'Rourke (TX)
  • Susan Rice (ME)
  • Josh Stein (NC)
  • Billie Sutton (SD)


Although candidates such as Landrieu, McGrath, Ojeda and Sutton may not be able to win, they would have the best shot of flipping the seats and make the GOP pour resources in those seats that should be safe.
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mgop
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« Reply #21 on: February 21, 2019, 09:29:39 AM »

based on these junk polls, we can see that biden is still favorite establishment candidate. sorry, kamala.
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« Reply #22 on: February 24, 2019, 09:30:32 AM »

But I was told it's impossible for Texas to vote to the left of Ohio!

If the poll is right , Trump would lose to Biden by around a Romney 2012 style margin, while he would win against Kamala similarly to his 2016 race.

Seems about right

Some of it is Name Recognition. Shows potential. I don,t think she will carry it,but she could improve on Hillary performance a bitm


I don’t think so , I think Trump will carry Texas by 8-9 points against Kamala and maybe double digits if she endorses the Green New Deal(which would be pretty bad for the TX economy).




Beto ran one of the most progressive races in the country and came within 3 points here. Kamala support for a Green Deal won’t make a difference at all LOL
OSR unironically thinks Bernie would lose Nevada, though. So his logic about Texas isn't unexpected.
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Computer89
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« Reply #23 on: February 24, 2019, 11:54:53 AM »

But I was told it's impossible for Texas to vote to the left of Ohio!

If the poll is right , Trump would lose to Biden by around a Romney 2012 style margin, while he would win against Kamala similarly to his 2016 race.

Seems about right

Some of it is Name Recognition. Shows potential. I don,t think she will carry it,but she could improve on Hillary performance a bitm


I don’t think so , I think Trump will carry Texas by 8-9 points against Kamala and maybe double digits if she endorses the Green New Deal(which would be pretty bad for the TX economy).




Beto ran one of the most progressive races in the country and came within 3 points here. Kamala support for a Green Deal won’t make a difference at all LOL


In a Midterm Year where Dems won nationally by 8 lol


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