CO-DFM Research (Jan 2–5, 2019): Gardner down by 8 points
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  CO-DFM Research (Jan 2–5, 2019): Gardner down by 8 points
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Author Topic: CO-DFM Research (Jan 2–5, 2019): Gardner down by 8 points  (Read 2255 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: February 21, 2019, 10:40:15 PM »

And suppose the election was today for Colorado’s U.S. Senate seat. Would you vote for Cory Gardner the Republican or would you vote for the Democratic Party candidate?

46% Democratic candidate
38% Cory Gardner (R, inc.)

http://www.dfmresearch.com/uploads/Colorado_STATEWIDE_2019_Survey__Rail.pdf
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #1 on: February 21, 2019, 10:41:47 PM »

Can Joni Ernst megacoattails reach all the way across Nebraska?
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OneJ
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« Reply #2 on: February 21, 2019, 10:51:48 PM »

If Gardner changes his name to “Generic Republican”, then he just might have a chance.
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Xing
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« Reply #3 on: February 21, 2019, 11:06:21 PM »

But Gardner is an Incumbent™, so only hacks will rate this any worse for him than Toss-Up!
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #4 on: February 21, 2019, 11:10:55 PM »

If Gardner changes his name to “Generic Republican”, then he just might have a chance.

I heard "Generic Republican" changed his name to Cory Gardner.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: February 22, 2019, 03:37:13 AM »

Gardner's campaign strategy should consist of sitting in an altar for the next ~20 months and praying for a red wave and/or a scandal plagued challenger.

Same for Jones, but he'd need both a blue wave and a pedophile challenger.
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DaWN
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« Reply #6 on: February 22, 2019, 05:32:14 AM »

But Gardner is an Incumbent™, so only hacks will rate this any worse for him than Toss-Up!

Not just an Incumbent! He's a Strong Moderate IncumbentTM, which makes him the safest Republican office holder in the US. There are rural state house districts in Wyoming that flip first imo
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #7 on: February 22, 2019, 05:55:50 AM »

But Gardner is an Incumbent™, so only hacks will rate this any worse for him than Toss-Up!

Not just an Incumbent! He's a Strong Moderate IncumbentTM, which makes him the safest Republican office holder in the US. There are rural state house districts in Wyoming that flip first imo

According to the organzation which will remain nameless yet funded by such reputable people as Jeff bezos and human living corpse Adelson...Garder scores a 100% score on his Moderate Punch™ score. The score has been placed on a billboard on the freeway exit for Denver and has thus reached billions of voters in Colorado. No doubt...voters meeting up in the town square are discussing the score as seen on the billboard and finding it very hard to vote for his opponent.

lets see what retail politiking the Dem opponent has in store before we get too far ahead of ourselves. Ive heard car tag fees went up 1.76% this year in CO and many are blaming their Senator (whom all know and are aware of at all times) and are not in any way mindlessly influenced by federal politics in anyway. If so...bad news for Gardners opponent because Garner will most certianly have a fresh new hair cut by election day bringing him many independents
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: February 22, 2019, 09:46:37 AM »

Buyer's remorse due to the upset over Udall.
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DaWN
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« Reply #9 on: February 22, 2019, 09:51:25 AM »

But Gardner is an Incumbent™, so only hacks will rate this any worse for him than Toss-Up!

Not just an Incumbent! He's a Strong Moderate IncumbentTM, which makes him the safest Republican office holder in the US. There are rural state house districts in Wyoming that flip first imo

According to the organzation which will remain nameless yet funded by such reputable people as Jeff bezos and human living corpse Adelson...Garder scores a 100% score on his Moderate Punch™ score. The score has been placed on a billboard on the freeway exit for Denver and has thus reached billions of voters in Colorado. No doubt...voters meeting up in the town square are discussing the score as seen on the billboard and finding it very hard to vote for his opponent.

lets see what retail politiking the Dem opponent has in store before we get too far ahead of ourselves. Ive heard car tag fees went up 1.76% this year in CO and many are blaming their Senator (whom all know and are aware of at all times) and are not in any way mindlessly influenced by federal politics in anyway. If so...bad news for Gardners opponent because Garner will most certianly have a fresh new hair cut by election day bringing him many independents

You make the mistake in assuming Strong Moderate IncumbentTM Cory Gardner needs to do something as trivial as campaigning. He's such a Strong Moderate Incumbent that it will simply be against the laws of physics for any citizen of Colorado to vote against him. In fact, his Strong Moderate Incumbency will probably draw in citizens of surrounding states to vote for him as well. I wouldn't be surprised if the sheer power of Gardner takes down Tom Udall.
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scutosaurus
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« Reply #10 on: February 22, 2019, 10:06:53 AM »

This will probably be close to the final margin.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #11 on: February 22, 2019, 10:45:08 AM »

Ok, all. No need to continue reporting Mondale's posts, we've discussed the concerns raised privately.
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Sestak
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« Reply #12 on: February 22, 2019, 12:02:05 PM »

Gardner under 40 lol
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pantsaregood
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« Reply #13 on: February 22, 2019, 01:15:50 PM »

Only deown by 8 this early on? Unbeatable Titan Cory Gardner.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #14 on: February 22, 2019, 02:22:17 PM »

Generic D doesn't exist.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #15 on: February 22, 2019, 04:00:38 PM »

This race is like the NV Senate race, decide by 3-5 points
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RI
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« Reply #16 on: February 22, 2019, 04:02:53 PM »

He's overperforming Trump by 6 points. Trump only lost Colorado by 5 last time. Hmm...
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #17 on: February 22, 2019, 06:54:57 PM »

He's overperforming Trump by 6 points. Trump only lost Colorado by 5 last time. Hmm...

But Gardner has been consistently stuck below 40%. That is not a good sign for his chances. I think he will probably end up with ~43-47% of the vote, but that's still far from a victory. He could very well lose by 11%, like Stapleton did last year.
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S019
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« Reply #18 on: February 22, 2019, 10:32:45 PM »

Gardner is in big trouble, if the election is today, I think he loses 51-47

Tilt-Lean D and not looking good for Gardner
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #19 on: February 23, 2019, 02:01:45 PM »

Cory Gardner's reaction to this poll: desperately looking for hands he can shake in Denver.

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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #20 on: February 24, 2019, 09:14:30 AM »

Likely D race is Likely D. *yawn*
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HarrisonL
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« Reply #21 on: March 08, 2019, 01:21:59 PM »

I expect Gardner to lose by more than 10%, it will be bad, worse than Dean Heller's 5% loss in 2018. He will end up like Walker Stapleton against Jared Polis.
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