Be honest, what was your final prediction for every election you can remember

[Agonized-Statism]

2004: Bush wins because my parents think he will. Dad's place of work gave me the distinct impression that this was wartime and that guy who looked like Frankenstein was way too soft on the enemy. Lived in a Bush state.

2008: Obama wins because everyone seems to be excited for "our first black president" months before the election. Lived in an Obama state.

2012: Obama wins a close one. Obama wins the Rust Belt because the working class seems to support him, while Romney wins back the south, parts of the west, and maybe that one New England state that the news people say is libertarian (what was it called?). Lived in an Obama state.

2016: Clinton wins. Add Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida to her map. Trump flips Virginia because that's obviously a Republican state, right? Maybe flip some of the west, too, because he's so liberal. He'll definitely win Nevada. Lived in a Trump state.

I only get educated on electoral history after that.

[Agonized-Statism]

and I was one of the ones who didn't fall for the "Trump is ahead in NV" thing.

Easy there, I didn't fall for anything. As a former Nevadan, my gut feeling was that he was a better fit for the state. I still think he is- for the '00s version I remember, before the last surge of illegals and the Democrats' guarantee of their votes.

[Agonized-Statism]

and I was one of the ones who didn't fall for the "Trump is ahead in NV" thing.

Easy there, I didn't fall for anything. As a former Nevadan, my gut feeling was that he was a better fit for the state. I still think he is- for the '00s version I remember, before the last surge of illegals and the Democrats' guarantee of their votes.

Conservatives are brain dead: Exhibit A.

I have some news for you guys: Not every brown, Spanish speaking person you see is "illegal".

I'm not a conservative and I'm hispanic.