A new Iowa DMR/CNN/Selzer poll for the Democratic Caucus will be out tomorrow
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Author Topic: A new Iowa DMR/CNN/Selzer poll for the Democratic Caucus will be out tomorrow  (Read 855 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: March 08, 2019, 01:31:16 PM »
Testing 21 candidates.

https://eu.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2019/03/08/election-2020-iowa-caucuses-poll-candidates-democrats-republican-pesident-trump-compare-issues-vote/3100738002
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: March 08, 2019, 01:36:40 PM »
Probably something like:

25% Biden
23% Bernie
17% Harris
10% Warren
  6% Klobuchar
  5% Booker
  4% Beto
  6% Others
  4% Undecided
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #2 on: March 08, 2019, 02:40:15 PM »
I'll guess

Biden - 27%
Sanders - 25%
Harris - 15%
Warren - 8%
Klobuchar - 7%
Beto - 6%
Booker - 3%
Others - 3%
Undecided - 6%

Strong Candidate Generic D - 45%
Trump - 44%
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President Johnson
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« Reply #3 on: March 08, 2019, 02:42:48 PM »
I predict this:

Biden: 30%
Sanders: 21%
Harris: 16%
Warren: 8%
O'Rourke: 7%
Klobuchar: 4%
Booker: 3%
Hickenlooper: 1%
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #4 on: March 08, 2019, 03:11:05 PM »
This will be one of the polls that the DNC uses to determine debate inclusion, so which of the 3rd tier candidates manage to get 1% rather than 0% is actually relevant.
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #5 on: March 08, 2019, 04:44:37 PM »
Prediction: Biden will be higher than expected and Atlas will be very butthurt about it.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #6 on: March 08, 2019, 04:58:46 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on March 08, 2019, 02:42:48 PM
I predict this:

Biden: 32%
Sanders: 20%
Harris: 12%
Warren: 7%
O'Rourke: 6%
Klobuchar: 3%
Booker: 3%
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Politician
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« Reply #7 on: March 08, 2019, 05:00:32 PM »
Quote from: TarHeelDem on March 08, 2019, 04:44:37 PM
Prediction: Biden will be higher than expected and Atlas will be very butthurt about it.
This. Sanders is in a close second and Harris and O'Rourke do surprisingly poorly.
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Former Crackhead Mike Lindell
Randall
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« Reply #8 on: March 08, 2019, 06:23:31 PM »
21 candidates? Great, but better not be including Michelle, Hillary, or Oprah. Will probably have Bloomberg and Brown though, with numbers that aren't 0. I'm thinking that, given the number of names included, and their focus on Iowa, we'll see Delaney and Yang at 1% or higher, nudging them ever closer to debate inclusion.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #9 on: March 08, 2019, 06:33:37 PM »
*Yawn*. Biden will be at the top and Sanders will be second. If this continues into next year, when the contests actually start, we might just get the most surprisingly boring primary ever.
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Unbeatable Titan Susan Collins
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« Reply #10 on: March 08, 2019, 07:57:47 PM »
Prediction: Warren drops to 5th
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #11 on: March 08, 2019, 08:03:52 PM »
Quote from: TarHeelDem on March 08, 2019, 04:44:37 PM
Prediction: Biden will be higher than expected and Atlas will be very butthurt about it.

He will be subject to Sanders Scrutiny once he enters. Look how hard Sanders attacked Hillary. Its no coronation
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Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #12 on: March 08, 2019, 08:06:26 PM »
Quote from: olowakandi on March 08, 2019, 08:03:52 PM
Quote from: TarHeelDem on March 08, 2019, 04:44:37 PM
Prediction: Biden will be higher than expected and Atlas will be very butthurt about it.

He will be subject to Sanders Scrutiny once he enters. Look how hard Sanders attacked Hillary. Its no coronation

Biden is a lot better at fighting back than Hillary. Look at how he manhandled Ryan.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #13 on: March 08, 2019, 10:26:17 PM »
Quote from: TarHeelDem on March 08, 2019, 04:44:37 PM
Prediction: Biden will be higher than expected and Atlas will be very butthurt about it.
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History505
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« Reply #14 on: March 08, 2019, 11:28:08 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on March 08, 2019, 10:26:17 PM
Quote from: TarHeelDem on March 08, 2019, 04:44:37 PM
Prediction: Biden will be higher than expected and Atlas will be very butthurt about it.
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #15 on: March 09, 2019, 04:24:55 AM »
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Bumaye
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« Reply #16 on: March 09, 2019, 05:39:41 AM »
Biden 33%
Sanders 21%
Harris 20%
Warren 9%
Beto 6%
Booker 3%
Klobuchar 3%
Others 5%
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #17 on: March 09, 2019, 06:39:13 AM »

The article was corrected to 20.

So, I guess the 14 declared candidates will be asked.

But what about the other 6 ?

Biden, Beto and Bullock for sure.

3 remaining. Who would that be ?

Maybe they still indcluded Bloomberg and Brown or something.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #18 on: March 09, 2019, 06:40:21 AM »

The article was corrected to 20.

So, I guess the 14 declared candidates will be asked.

But what about the other 6 ?

Biden, Beto and Bullock for sure.

3 remaining. Who would that be ?

Maybe they still indcluded Bloomberg and Brown or something.

Quote from: Randall on March 08, 2019, 06:23:31 PM
21 candidates? Great, but better not be including Michelle, Hillary, or Oprah. Will probably have Bloomberg and Brown though, with numbers that aren't 0. I'm thinking that, given the number of names included, and their focus on Iowa, we'll see Delaney and Yang at 1% or higher, nudging them ever closer to debate inclusion.

They are not polling candidates who have already ruled it out, unless they did so in the past days (like Bloomberg, Brown and Merkley). Obama and Oprah are highly speculative and they are not polled either.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #19 on: March 09, 2019, 01:06:56 PM »
Ftr, here are the candidates they included in their last poll:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=309345.msg6586561#msg6586561
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #20 on: March 09, 2019, 05:07:58 PM »
Soooo when are we getting the juice?
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ShamDam
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« Reply #21 on: March 09, 2019, 05:09:17 PM »

7 PM Central Time!
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riceowl
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« Reply #22 on: March 09, 2019, 08:03:19 PM »
Biden 27
Sanders 25
Warren 9
Harris 8
O'Rourke 5
Booker 3
Klobucher 3

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2019/03/10/election-2020-joe-biden-bernie-sanders-harris-warren-democrats-iowa-caucuses-poll-president-caucus/3098982002/
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #23 on: March 09, 2019, 08:20:58 PM »
Harris more popular on Atlas than in Iowa.
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GoTfan
GoTfan21
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« Reply #24 on: March 09, 2019, 08:22:50 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on March 09, 2019, 08:20:58 PM
Harris more popular on Atlas than in Iowa.

Not surprising.
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