TML
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,448
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« on: March 19, 2019, 02:15:10 AM » |
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« edited: March 19, 2019, 02:26:20 AM by TML »
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If you look at the results in this county by precinct, you will notice that in the 2016 election, Clinton won only the core part of Sioux Falls by relatively small margins, while Trump won almost all other parts of the county by relatively large margins. These two factors combine to produce a Republican blowout in the county overall.
On the other hand, Obama in 2008 was able to win more precincts in the outer parts of Sioux Falls, and was also able to keep his losing margins in outer precincts to levels smaller than Clinton's in 2016, which resulted in him eking out a narrow win in the county overall.
As I've said elsewhere, if the urban core of a county votes Democratic narrowly while the rest of the county votes Republican overwhelmingly, the result is usually a Republican win countywide; if the urban core votes Democratic overwhelmingly such that almost all of the city votes Democratic while Republican margins in other parts of the county are held in check, the result could be a Democratic win countywide.
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