I'm just going to assume a Democrat beat Trump in 2020 and beat a Republican challenger in 2024. In that case here's what I think the results would look like.
Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-TX)/Sen. Rick Scott (R-FL) - 386 EV, 53% PV
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY)/Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA) - 152 EV, 45% PV
Yeah it was gonna be Biden 2020 then Biden 2024.
Yeah, in that case AOC most likely loses, but it would be a hell of a lot closer than the map above. that map would imply that Crenshaw is improving massively with minorities and college educated voters, which doesn't seem likely at all to me.
