National environment really only matters for gubernatorial races if it's an open seat. With an incumbent it's always a referendum on them. That's why Baker, Hogan and Phil Scott all got reelected in landslides. Has Kelly gotten off to a good start?
Ah, yes, MD Gov Bob Ehrlich was not reelected in 2006, despite positive approvals, he lost by 6-7
Remind me what happened in Maryland in 2018? And Trump is probably more toxic in Maryland than W ever was.
Trump also lost Anne Arundel County which is a place that not even Obama could ever win.
Anyways, the Kansas Republican Party is extremely incompetent, about as much as the Massachusetts Democratic Party. Laura Kelly 2022 could easily be a flip of Charlie Baker 2018.