A closer 1996 (user search)
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April 28, 2024, 01:50:25 AM
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  A closer 1996 (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: A closer 1996  (Read 5885 times)
UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,241
« on: March 19, 2019, 12:19:31 AM »
Very special that Bill Clinton would become the first presidential candidate since 1960 to win a presidential election despite losing Ohio.
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UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,241
« Reply #1 on: March 19, 2019, 09:47:15 AM »
I think John McCain too would be heading to New Hampshire Republican Party Dinner as he won the New Hampshire primary by double digits in real life and was the darling of New Hampshire independent voters.
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UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,241
« Reply #2 on: March 20, 2019, 06:55:37 AM »
By the way, how did Dole manage to make the 1996 election much closer than it was in real life?
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UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,241
« Reply #3 on: March 27, 2019, 09:31:27 PM »
Can you show the primary polls for both parties, please?
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UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,241
« Reply #4 on: April 01, 2019, 12:37:56 AM »
I can't wait for Super Tuesday, which will be decisive for all candidates.
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UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,241
« Reply #5 on: April 08, 2019, 05:40:30 PM »
Among the potential running mates for Bush mentioned above, I think James Baker would be the best one as he would provide large experience in the ticket as he was Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of the Treasury and Secretary of State. Bush’s short experience is exactly the reason why he selected Dick Cheney in real life.
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UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,241
« Reply #6 on: April 13, 2019, 02:36:07 AM »
We are already on July 30, so I believe that normally Bush should have announced his running mate by then as the 2000 Republican National Convention took place from July 31 to August 3 2000.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2000_Republican_National_Convention
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UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,241
« Reply #7 on: April 22, 2019, 12:19:04 AM »
YES! Bush wins and unlike in real life he won both the popular vote and Electoral College.
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UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,241
« Reply #8 on: April 26, 2019, 10:59:58 PM »
For when is the next update, just wondering?
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UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,241
« Reply #9 on: April 29, 2019, 11:18:26 PM »
Keep it up. However, though we all know the reason why Bush sent troops in Afghanistan to combat terrorism, I think you forgot to mention 9/11.
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UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,241
« Reply #10 on: May 10, 2019, 10:30:19 PM »
If Bush faces Lieberman in 2004, I guess that it would lead a lot of progressive voters to stay home on Election Day or vote for a third-party candidate as Lieberman voted in favor of the Iraq War, like Kerry did in real life and flip-flopped on this issue.
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UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,241
« Reply #11 on: May 16, 2019, 02:00:35 AM »
Hmmm. It seems that Lieberman could have a more difficult primary season than expected as it is close in all early states and also due to Lieberman's support to the Iraq War.
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UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,241
« Reply #12 on: May 27, 2019, 10:56:01 PM »
« Edited: May 27, 2019, 11:02:15 PM by UWS »
I guess that the Bush campaign will now focus most of its attacks against Wesley Clark through early negative advertising on Clark in order to stop him from winning the nomination.

By the way, I just learned that Clark voted for Ronald Reagan, which might hurt him in the Democratic primaries.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wesley_Clark#2004_presidential_campaign
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UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,241
« Reply #13 on: June 08, 2019, 01:20:49 AM »
South Carolina and Missouri are among the states voting on Mini Tuesday along with Arizona, Delaware, New Mexico, North Dakota and Oklahoma.
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UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,241
« Reply #14 on: June 10, 2019, 10:05:20 PM »
Can you please show the primary map based on the current results?
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UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,241
« Reply #15 on: June 15, 2019, 02:32:07 AM »
Quote from: BushKerry04 on June 12, 2019, 09:12:41 PM
Quote from: UWS on June 10, 2019, 10:05:20 PM
Can you please show the primary map based on the current results?

Sure!

Red = Clark
Blue = Bradley


Seems like Bradley has the momentum in the primaries as he not only won Iowa Democratic caucuses but also WI, MI, WI, NV, NM and WA.
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UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,241
« Reply #16 on: June 24, 2019, 04:16:01 AM »
What do the general election match up polls between Bush and Bradley look like now?
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UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,241
« Reply #17 on: July 07, 2019, 11:03:40 PM »
Virginia was still a red state in 2004 and went to Bush by 8 percentage points in real life. So I don't see Bradley leading and winning in Virginia.
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UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,241
« Reply #18 on: July 14, 2019, 10:47:02 AM »
Quote from: BushKerry04 on July 12, 2019, 10:17:37 PM
Quote from: UWS on July 07, 2019, 11:03:40 PM
Virginia was still a red state in 2004 and went to Bush by 8 percentage points in real life. So I don't see Bradley leading and winning in Virginia.

True, but no one from Virginia was on the Dems ticket.

Right, but Edwards on the Democratic ticket did not help Kerry win NC either.
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UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,241
« Reply #19 on: July 23, 2019, 09:59:20 PM »
When is the next update?
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