Clinton/Trump congressional districts ?

[Frenchrepublican]

Which congressional districts could flip from Clinton to Trump in your own opinion ?

[Woody]

Orange County.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Orange County.

Even after the pounding that the GOP took in the midterms?

[Woody]

Orange County.

Even after the pounding that the GOP took in the midterms?

The democrats bombarded exclusively OC with tens of millions of dollars. This time around they have to put their resources elsewhere.

[Frenchrepublican]

Orange County.

Even after the pounding that the GOP took in the midterms?

The democrats bombarded exclusively OC with tens of millions of dollars. This time around they have to put their resources elsewhere.

Honestly I think it’s unlikely that Trump will win back any district Orange County
CA 39th is gone forever as Clinton won it by a nearly double digit margin
CA 45th is too upscale in order to flip back
CA 49th is gone too
The only district which could flip from Clinton to Trump is CA 48th but it would be very difficult considering how fast it is trending toward democrats.

[S019]

I think none

But here are the likeliest ones

CA-48
CT-02 (highest chance)
CT-05
NH-02 (highest chance)
NV-03
OR-04 (highest chance)
OR-05

[Cyrusman]

Orange County.

Even after the pounding that the GOP took in the midterms?

The democrats bombarded exclusively OC with tens of millions of dollars. This time around they have to put their resources elsewhere.

Honestly I think it’s unlikely that Trump will win back any district Orange County
CA 39th is gone forever as Clinton won it by a nearly double digit margin
CA 45th is too upscale in order to flip back
CA 49th is gone too
The only district which could flip from Clinton to Trump is CA 48th but it would be very difficult considering how fast it is trending toward democrats.

I live in the 48th district. Newport Beach/costa mesa to be specific. It’s not as democratic as you would think. Dana Rohrabacher was absolutely hated and despised here. That combine with a Democrat wave year cost the GOP that seat. With the right candidate it’s still very winnable for the GOP

[Roll Roons]

Orange County.

Even after the pounding that the GOP took in the midterms?

The democrats bombarded exclusively OC with tens of millions of dollars. This time around they have to put their resources elsewhere.

Honestly I think it’s unlikely that Trump will win back any district Orange County
CA 39th is gone forever as Clinton won it by a nearly double digit margin
CA 45th is too upscale in order to flip back
CA 49th is gone too
The only district which could flip from Clinton to Trump is CA 48th but it would be very difficult considering how fast it is trending toward democrats.

I live in the 48th district. Newport Beach/costa mesa to be specific. It’s not as democratic as you would think. Dana Rohrabacher was absolutely hated and despised here. That combine with a Democrat wave year cost the GOP that seat. With the right candidate it’s still very winnable for the GOP

If he was so unpopular how did he keep getting reelected for 30 years? Or was it just the Russia stuff in the past couple years that did him in?

[Cyrusman]

Orange County.

Even after the pounding that the GOP took in the midterms?

The democrats bombarded exclusively OC with tens of millions of dollars. This time around they have to put their resources elsewhere.

Honestly I think it’s unlikely that Trump will win back any district Orange County
CA 39th is gone forever as Clinton won it by a nearly double digit margin
CA 45th is too upscale in order to flip back
CA 49th is gone too
The only district which could flip from Clinton to Trump is CA 48th but it would be very difficult considering how fast it is trending toward democrats.

I live in the 48th district. Newport Beach/costa mesa to be specific. It’s not as democratic as you would think. Dana Rohrabacher was absolutely hated and despised here. That combine with a Democrat wave year cost the GOP that seat. With the right candidate it’s still very winnable for the GOP

If he was so unpopular how did he keep getting reelected for 30 years? Or was it just the Russia stuff in the past couple years that did him in?

The Russia stuff really hurt him there were billboards all over town with his name tied to Russia , and the fact that he didn’t get jack sh**t done for most of those 30 years.
He kept winning due to the incumbency, and name recognition edge, but honestly in previous elections the Dems didn’t really invest in this district so it was easier for him. Plus Harly Rouda was a good, more moderate candidate which allowed him to win over many GOP voters.
Scott Baugh would have been a better GOP candidate

[SuperCow]

Everyone thinks that the other candidate is hated by everyone, because they only hang around with people who agree with them, so they have no idea who voted for the other side.

[John Dule]

Orange County.

Even after the pounding that the GOP took in the midterms?

The democrats bombarded exclusively OC with tens of millions of dollars. This time around they have to put their resources elsewhere.

But remember, Democrats want money out of politics.

[Politician]

Orange County.

Even after the pounding that the GOP took in the midterms?

The democrats bombarded exclusively OC with tens of millions of dollars. This time around they have to put their resources elsewhere.

But remember, Democrats want money out of politics.

Okay, what's the Republican/Libertarian plan for campaign finance reform?

[RI]

Operating under the 2020-will-continue-2016 theory, here are CDs which swung big toward Trump but didn't quite make it over the hump last time (Clinton <52%):

CT-02
FL-13
MI-05
NH-02
NV-04
NY-24
OH-13
OR-04
PA-07*
RI-02

[John Dule]

Orange County.

Even after the pounding that the GOP took in the midterms?

The democrats bombarded exclusively OC with tens of millions of dollars. This time around they have to put their resources elsewhere.

But remember, Democrats want money out of politics.

Okay, what's the Republican/Libertarian plan for campaign finance reform?

There is none. We don't care. We're not the ones who made money in politics an issue while simultaneously outspending the opposition by a 3:1 margin.

[Crumpets]

Maybe that one upstate New York district that Clinton won, but solidly voted for its Republican incumbent? I don't remember what number it was off the top of my head.

[RI]

Maybe that one upstate New York district that Clinton won, but solidly voted for its Republican incumbent? I don't remember what number it was off the top of my head.

NY-24

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

I think NY-24, PA-07, and OR-04 have a strong chance of flipping if Trump wins

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Maybe that one upstate New York district that Clinton won, but solidly voted for its Republican incumbent? I don't remember what number it was off the top of my head.

NY-24

That district has a history of voting D for President and R for congress. There wasn't even a Democratic candidate in 2004 when Kerry won it.

[Frenchrepublican]

Maybe that one upstate New York district that Clinton won, but solidly voted for its Republican incumbent? I don't remember what number it was off the top of my head.

NY-24

That district has a history of voting D for President and R for congress. There wasn't even a Democratic candidate in 2004 when Kerry won it.

Yeah but the district is trending fast toward republicans.

[S019]

Maybe that one upstate New York district that Clinton won, but solidly voted for its Republican incumbent? I don't remember what number it was off the top of my head.

NY-24

That district has a history of voting D for President and R for congress. There wasn't even a Democratic candidate in 2004 when Kerry won it.

Yeah but the district is trending fast toward republicans.

Syracuse will keep that district Democratic

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Maybe that one upstate New York district that Clinton won, but solidly voted for its Republican incumbent? I don't remember what number it was off the top of my head.

NY-24

That district has a history of voting D for President and R for congress. There wasn't even a Democratic candidate in 2004 when Kerry won it.

Yeah but the district is trending fast toward republicans.

Syracuse will keep that district Democratic

Yeah it might but Cuomo lost this district in 2018

[S019]

Maybe that one upstate New York district that Clinton won, but solidly voted for its Republican incumbent? I don't remember what number it was off the top of my head.

NY-24

That district has a history of voting D for President and R for congress. There wasn't even a Democratic candidate in 2004 when Kerry won it.

Yeah but the district is trending fast toward republicans.

Syracuse will keep that district Democratic

Yeah it might but Cuomo lost this district in 2018

Link?