2018 Wisconsin governor election results by ward - MUST SEE!

[Scottholes 2.0]

This is an incredible ward-by-ward map that a professor at UW-Eau Claire created. It really gives us an in-depth look into election. https://people.uwec.edu/weicherd/

[OctoCube]

It's amazing how much Milwaukee county's outline shows against the WOW counties.

[Scottholes 2.0]

It's amazing how much Milwaukee county's outline shows against the WOW counties.

I know. You can see the Mequon wards bordering River Falls approaching 50% D. Also, I was shocked to see Evers reached 40% in many wards of Ozaukee County, so they're cracking!

[walleye26]

Not only that, but Evers cracked 40% in a few wards in Menominee Falls in Waukesha County. I can’t figure out how to post a picture on here from a phone, but Evers received 41.7% in ward 6, 40.9% in ward 12, 40.1% in ward 8, and 40.88% in ward 11. Baldwin lost ward 6 by 1 vote, ward 11 by 39 votes, and ward 12 by 5 votes. Incredible.

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

It's amazing how much Milwaukee county's outline shows against the WOW counties.

I know. You can see the Mequon wards bordering River Falls approaching 50% D. Also, I was shocked to see Evers reached 40% in many wards of Ozaukee County, so they're cracking!

It's terrifying seeing the Dems collapse in the Driftless and the North like that. If it wasn't for 2018, this would be a solid GOP state.

[walleye26]

Northern Wisconsin can’t trend much farther R though. There’s a lot of Native Americans in Sawyer, Forest, Ashland, Bayfield, and Vilas Counties. Not only that, there’s a fair number of retired Chicago and Twin Cities liberals up there (see Bass Lake in Sawyer County as an example of this, along with certain wards in Rhinelander).

[Scottholes 2.0]

Northern Wisconsin can’t trend much farther R though. There’s a lot of Native Americans in Sawyer, Forest, Ashland, Bayfield, and Vilas Counties. Not only that, there’s a fair number of retired Chicago and Twin Cities liberals up there (see Bass Lake in Sawyer County as an example of this, along with certain wards in Rhinelander).

[The Dowager Mod]

Good old Whitewater, a little blue dot in a sea of red.

[Some of My Best Friends Are Gay]

It's amazing how much Milwaukee county's outline shows against the WOW counties.

I know. You can see the Mequon wards bordering River Falls approaching 50% D. Also, I was shocked to see Evers reached 40% in many wards of Ozaukee County, so they're cracking!

It's terrifying seeing the Dems collapse in the Driftless and the North like that. If it wasn't for 2018, this would be a solid GOP state.

Wisconsin is never going to be a Solid GOP state. sure trends in the rural areas help Republicans, but trends in the opposite direction in WOW and Milwaukee/Madison help Democrats.

[Scottholes 2.0]

It's amazing how much Milwaukee county's outline shows against the WOW counties.

I know. You can see the Mequon wards bordering River Falls approaching 50% D. Also, I was shocked to see Evers reached 40% in many wards of Ozaukee County, so they're cracking!

It's terrifying seeing the Dems collapse in the Driftless and the North like that. If it wasn't for 2018, this would be a solid GOP state.

Wisconsin is never going to be a Solid GOP state. sure trends in the rural areas help Republicans, but trends in the opposite direction in WOW and Milwaukee/Madison help Democrats.

Shhhhh.....don't tell Atlas that!

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

It's amazing how much Milwaukee county's outline shows against the WOW counties.

I know. You can see the Mequon wards bordering River Falls approaching 50% D. Also, I was shocked to see Evers reached 40% in many wards of Ozaukee County, so they're cracking!

It's terrifying seeing the Dems collapse in the Driftless and the North like that. If it wasn't for 2018, this would be a solid GOP state.

Wisconsin is never going to be a Solid GOP state. sure trends in the rural areas help Republicans, but trends in the opposite direction in WOW and Milwaukee/Madison help Democrats.

You must not have seen the 2016 trends. Furthermore, the legislature is long gone for the Dems. The former trend is going much quicker than the latter. What's the point of gaining a vote in uber-safe Milwauke when one is losing 2 votes in swing districts for the legislature?

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

You must not have seen the 2016 trends.

Didn't you just say that 2018 was basically a one-off? If so how can you simultaneously accept 2016 trends but say that other than 2018 Wisconsin is a red state?

Furthermore, the legislature is long gone for the Dems.

Due to gerrymandering, not due to actual widespread rejection of the Democratic Party. Baldwin still won WI by over 10 points in a statewide vote.

The former trend is going much quicker than the latter. What's the point of gaining a vote in uber-safe Milwauke when one is losing 2 votes in swing districts for the legislature?

Okay but both trends both have saturation points and aren't going to continue indefinitely. WOW flipping started later than upstate flipping the opposite direction but there it's likely that in the long run the two dynamics will more or less cancel each other out and the state starts to look politically like most other states.

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

You must not have seen the 2016 trends.

Didn't you just say that 2018 was basically a one-off? If so how can you simultaneously accept 2016 trends but say that other than 2018 Wisconsin is a red state?

Furthermore, the legislature is long gone for the Dems.

Due to gerrymandering, not due to actual widespread rejection of the Democratic Party. Baldwin still won WI by over 10 points in a statewide vote.

The former trend is going much quicker than the latter. What's the point of gaining a vote in uber-safe Milwauke when one is losing 2 votes in swing districts for the legislature?

Okay but both trends both have saturation points and aren't going to continue indefinitely. WOW flipping started later than upstate flipping the opposite direction but there it's likely that in the long run the two dynamics will more or less cancel each other out and the state starts to look politically like most other states.

Midterms are odd beasts, but presidential is the one that best captures the pulse of a state. Furthermore, due to packing and not caring about the rurals, Dems will be in a hole regardless of gerrymandering

[Scottholes 2.0]

You must not have seen the 2016 trends.

Didn't you just say that 2018 was basically a one-off? If so how can you simultaneously accept 2016 trends but say that other than 2018 Wisconsin is a red state?

Furthermore, the legislature is long gone for the Dems.

Due to gerrymandering, not due to actual widespread rejection of the Democratic Party. Baldwin still won WI by over 10 points in a statewide vote.

The former trend is going much quicker than the latter. What's the point of gaining a vote in uber-safe Milwauke when one is losing 2 votes in swing districts for the legislature?

Okay but both trends both have saturation points and aren't going to continue indefinitely. WOW flipping started later than upstate flipping the opposite direction but there it's likely that in the long run the two dynamics will more or less cancel each other out and the state starts to look politically like most other states.

Midterms are odd beasts, but presidential is the one that best captures the pulse of a state. Furthermore, due to packing and not caring about the rurals, Dems will be in a hole regardless of gerrymandering

Your jokes are getting tiresome and pathetic. How long will you keep this up? You don't even live in Wisconsin to know where the people ideologically stand on many issues.

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

You must not have seen the 2016 trends.

Didn't you just say that 2018 was basically a one-off? If so how can you simultaneously accept 2016 trends but say that other than 2018 Wisconsin is a red state?

Furthermore, the legislature is long gone for the Dems.

Due to gerrymandering, not due to actual widespread rejection of the Democratic Party. Baldwin still won WI by over 10 points in a statewide vote.

The former trend is going much quicker than the latter. What's the point of gaining a vote in uber-safe Milwauke when one is losing 2 votes in swing districts for the legislature?

Okay but both trends both have saturation points and aren't going to continue indefinitely. WOW flipping started later than upstate flipping the opposite direction but there it's likely that in the long run the two dynamics will more or less cancel each other out and the state starts to look politically like most other states.

Midterms are odd beasts, but presidential is the one that best captures the pulse of a state. Furthermore, due to packing and not caring about the rurals, Dems will be in a hole regardless of gerrymandering

Your jokes are getting tiresome and pathetic. How long will you keep this up? You don't even live in Wisconsin to know where the people ideologically stand on many issues.

Feel free to come back to me when Wisconsin trends (not just swings) D in 2020 as well as the legislature flipping back to the Dems. Until then, I'm right.

[Bidenworth2020]

You must not have seen the 2016 trends.

Didn't you just say that 2018 was basically a one-off? If so how can you simultaneously accept 2016 trends but say that other than 2018 Wisconsin is a red state?

Furthermore, the legislature is long gone for the Dems.

Due to gerrymandering, not due to actual widespread rejection of the Democratic Party. Baldwin still won WI by over 10 points in a statewide vote.

The former trend is going much quicker than the latter. What's the point of gaining a vote in uber-safe Milwauke when one is losing 2 votes in swing districts for the legislature?

Okay but both trends both have saturation points and aren't going to continue indefinitely. WOW flipping started later than upstate flipping the opposite direction but there it's likely that in the long run the two dynamics will more or less cancel each other out and the state starts to look politically like most other states.

Midterms are odd beasts, but presidential is the one that best captures the pulse of a state. Furthermore, due to packing and not caring about the rurals, Dems will be in a hole regardless of gerrymandering

Your jokes are getting tiresome and pathetic. How long will you keep this up? You don't even live in Wisconsin to know where the people ideologically stand on many issues.

Feel free to come back to me when Wisconsin trends (not just swings) D in 2020 as well as the legislature flipping back to the Dems. Until then, I'm right.

I would consider winning the overall legislative vote by 5 proof that Democrats only lost it due to gerrymandering. And just because there support was more consolidated than previously doesn't make it any less important.

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

No, a packed voter composition is bad because not even a fair map can save the Dems in that scenario. Rurals are still important. 

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

You don't need rural areas to win a non-gerrymandered map if winning the popular vote strong enough even if there's packed voters. The DFL won back the State House  in 2018 and only one of the seats they picked up was rural.

[Gass3268]

You don't need rural areas to win a non-gerrymandered map if winning the popular vote strong enough even if there's packed voters. The DFL won back the State House  in 2018 and only one of the seats they picked up was rural.

The Twin City suburbs and the Milwaukee suburbs are completely different animals. That being said, Democrats would probably pick up about 10-12 seats in Wisconsin if the map was drawn fair (1 in Kenosha/Racine, 3-4 in Milwaukee County, 1 in the City of Sheboygan, 1 in Green Bay, 1 in the Fox Cities, 1 in Dane County, 1 in Columbia County, 1-2 in SW WI). Probably not enough to flip the chamber, but definitely enough to make things competitive. I'll have to come up with a fair map this weekend.

[Xing]

You guys would have better luck convincing Trump that immigrants are good people than convincing hofoid that Wisconsin isn't permanently Titanium R.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

You guys would have better luck convincing Trump that immigrants are good people than convincing hofoid that Wisconsin isn't permanently Titanium R.

Yes I thought I would try approaching him in good faith but if he's going to hold up winning an incredibly gerrymandered map, where Dems have won the popular vote but still not come close to a majority, as a standard for success then he's obviously full of garbage.

That on top of saying that midterms aren't representative of greater trends at all and that only Presidential years matter... while exactly one Republican Presidential candidate has won Wisconsin since the 80s. I'm not sure why people take joy in being intellectually dishonest on an insignificant board like this.

[ElectionsGuy]

One thing that's fascinating about Wisconsin election results at the ward level is seeing the regional differences break through county boundaries. Examples being the east/west divide in Jefferson County between Dane (west) and Waukesha (east) and the counties surrounding Madison where the townships bordering or most near Dane are Democratic but the ones most away are Republican. There's also areas of Dodge/Fond du Lac/Sheboygan that act as an extension of Washington County rather than voting like the county as a whole.

[Gass3268]

One thing that's fascinating about Wisconsin election results at the ward level is seeing the regional differences break through county boundaries. Examples being the east/west divide in Jefferson County between Dane (west) and Waukesha (east) and the counties surrounding Madison where the townships bordering or most near Dane are Democratic but the ones most away are Republican. There's also areas of Dodge/Fond du Lac/Sheboygan that act as an extension of Washington County rather than voting like the county as a whole.

Heavily Dutch Reformed and Protestant German areas, the backbone of the Republican strength in the rurals.

[walleye26]

One thing that's fascinating about Wisconsin election results at the ward level is seeing the regional differences break through county boundaries. Examples being the east/west divide in Jefferson County between Dane (west) and Waukesha (east) and the counties surrounding Madison where the townships bordering or most near Dane are Democratic but the ones most away are Republican. There's also areas of Dodge/Fond du Lac/Sheboygan that act as an extension of Washington County rather than voting like the county as a whole.

Heavily Dutch Reformed and Protestant German areas, the backbone of the Republican strength in the rurals.

I’ve spent a lot of time in Sheboygan and Fond du Lac Counties. Southern Sheboygan county contains many exurban Milwaukee commuters and votes Titanium R especially in villages like Oostburg, Waldo, and Cedar Grove. In eastern Fond du Lac and western Sheboygan Counties, there’s a region called “The Holyland” The was settled by German Catholic/Protestants in the 1840s. This is the area around Mt. Calvary, St Cloud, and Marytown. Very Republican Area. I can’t figure out how to post the pictures here, but very old, beautiful churches are located in the Holyland.

Also, how can I post photos from my phone on here?

[Pericles]

Based on the 2018 State Assembly results, the tipping point district was District 29, which the Republicans won by a margin of 12.12%, therefore Democrats would have needed to win the statewide popular vote by a margin of 20.36% to win a majority of seats. That's an insanely effective gerrymander and is no accident.