ME-SEN: Collins +22 over Gideon.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

But, I though Collins was a tossup or even, tilt D, because of muh-Kavanuagh

This race is, was, and will remain Lean R, closer to likely than tossup, gun to my head, Collins wins by anywhere from 7 to 10 pp.

She had been calling for more independent investigations on Trump concerning collusion with Russia.

She didnt get on the celebration team like alot of GOPers with the rest of the GOP. She believes that Trump is ethically challenged. And still is by Indies and Ds despite the Mueller report that was biased

[HarrisonL]

This poll, if it is accurate, surprised me significantly, I expected Collins' race to be more competitive than this.

[RINO Tom]

I think there's a chance the fake moderate can be defeated if her favorables can driven down by demonstrating that she's not at all moderate.

Lol, I love how only someone out of office and gone can be a *TRUE* moderate.  Whether or not you LIKE her or whether or not she's liberal ENOUGH for you are entirely valid concerns; but when people say "muh Kavanagh" or pick one random issue to "prove" that Collins isn't a moderate, that's ridiculous.  She clearly is.

[SnowLabrador]

This poll, if it is accurate, surprised me significantly, I expected Collins' race to be more competitive than this.

She won 61-39 having contributed to the economy being in freefall, and 68-32 in 2014. If you think the race is competitive, the burden of proof is on you to demonstrate that.

[Adam Griffin]

What's a Gideon

[MAINEiac4434]

Only 25% saying "yes" to voting for her, with 50% "considering"? Not great for Collins -- it tells me her floor isn't as high as people might think.

[_]

Only 25% saying "yes" to voting for her, with 50% "considering"? Not great for Collins -- it tells me her floor isn't as high as people might think.

Her floor is probably most of Trump approving voters, so 40%.

[MAINEiac4434]

Only 25% saying "yes" to voting for her, with 50% "considering"? Not great for Collins -- it tells me her floor isn't as high as people might think.

Her floor is probably most of Trump approving voters, so 40%.

Nah, just because you like Trump doesn't mean you like Collins. Would be surprised if she doesn't face a right-wing challenger in either the primary or the general, to make use of RCV.

[IceSpear]

Remember when Atlas thought Collins was finished because of MUH Kavanaugh, which voters would clearly not only care about but PRIORITIZE 2 years after the fact? lol

[IceSpear]

Remember when Atlas thought Collins was finished because of MUH Kavanaugh, which voters would clearly not only care about but PRIORITIZE 2 years after the fact? lol

Yeah those people that thought she was finished are idiots, but I don’t think it’s unreasonable to think she’s potentially beatable next year, unlike in the past. The DSCC would be retarded to give up on such an opportunity in this polarized era. And, as has been mentioned in two or three threads, there’s a few Dems that are polling almost as highly as she is statewide (cough, Jared Golden)

Oh yeah, it wouldn't surprise me at all if this race ended up being competitive (or at the very least, more competitive than this poll shows.) But clearly Kavanaugh meant jack squat, so the Atlas handwringing about it is utterly hilarious in retrospect. Just look at all the abuse I took for saying so in this aptly named thread: "Did Susan Collins just announce her retirement?"

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=303207.0

Pepperidge Farm Remembers

[Unconditional Surrender Truman]

Remember when Atlas thought Collins was finished because of MUH Kavanaugh, which voters would clearly not only care about but PRIORITIZE 2 years after the fact? lol

About as dumb as the people who thought Murkowski would lose in 2022 for the same reason.

[jacobmeteorite]

I'm not surprised Collins is polling well. Even with her BK vote, she's still been around for centuries in Maine politics, and her constituency seems to love her.