By 2028: Virginia will be Safe D, Georgia will be Lean D, Texas will be Tilt D, Florida and North Carolina will be toss-ups.
This, but Florida might actually move right for a while as the youngest retirees are notably more conservative than the oldest ones.
It's not about the South. It's about large cities starting to vote the same way regardless of where they are located.
So much this.
What we are seeing in our political system arent random shifts, but rather a standardization of our politics. Back in the 1960s-2000s, you had Urban, Suburban, Exurban, and Rural areas that all voted in their own way. From Solid D Boston, to the Swing area of Los Angeles, to the R strongholds of Ft. Worth, such differences were the norm. But now, if its an urban area, it will shift D, and it will vote D by large margins. If its an exurban area, it will vote R, and it will vote R by large margins.
The difference isnt really that the South is trending Dem, moreso that the Urban areas and their outer suburbs are getting in line with the rest of the Nation. Of course, there will always be areas that break such standardization, but it appears that areas like GA, TX, NC, etc. will flip not due to rising education levels, or income changes, but moreso because of the fact that the Urban Areas will finally vote like Urban areas, along with their suburban partners, just as the North had been doing for the past 20 years(except you Milwaukee and WOW).
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