FL, GA, NC, TX, and VA.
The rest: Not happening, unless in a blue moon scenario (Moore v. Jones).
You're saying LA & maybe AR is a lost cause for Dems ? What's this I'm hearing about AR having a lack of African Americans in the state ?
IMHO - for the
near fututre both LA and AR are almost lost cause for Democrats. LA - because of sharrp shift to the right in Acadiana and vicinity since about 2007-08 (as a result - many termed-out Democratic legislators there will, most likely, be replaced by Republicans this fall), and relatively slow movement of suburban NO and Baton Rouge areas to Democrats (AFAIK - Livingston parish is still "Republican and white heaven"). In Arkansas - there are relatively few Blacks, no big cities (even Little Rock is not so big), and thus - not very big suburbs. Add to this the fact, that Arkansas whites began to vote in a way similar (less so, but - still...) to whites in Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama - and chances of victory become really slim....
Poll
