Quinnipiac: 53% definitely won't vote for Trump; 30% definitely will

[GeorgiaModerate]

Quinnipiac, March 21-25, 1358 RV

In the 2020 general election for president, if Donald Trump is the Republican
candidate, would you definitely vote for him, consider voting for him, or would you
definitely not vote for him?

Definitely vote 30
Consider voting 13
Definitely not 53

R: 77/16/5
D: 1/3/95
I: 21/21/54

[Bumaye]

Seriously if this poll would hold true Trump would get like 35% of the pv.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Seriously if this poll would hold true Trump would get like 35% of the pv.

What I think it shows is that if most voters view the election as a referendum on Trump, as is generally the case with an incumbent running for reelection, he'll lose badly (assuming no great change in conditions).  But if it's viewed as a choice between Trump and the Democratic candidate, and if Trump can successfully paint that candidate as unacceptable, then he has a chance.

[Adam Griffin]

For a good while, there has seemingly been a huge disconnect between various polls. You have polls like this that show clear majorities of voters not supporting Trump in any way, yet in job approval and head-to-head matchups, it's a completely different story. One result has to be right (and one wrong).

[GeorgiaModerate]

For a good while, there has seemingly been a huge disconnect between various polls. You have polls like this that show clear majorities of voters not supporting Trump in any way, yet in job approval and head-to-head matchups, it's a completely different story. One result has to be right (and one wrong).

Or the truth could be somewhere in the middle.  It usually is.

[Rookie Yinzer]

The hurdle is getting that 53% to coalesce around the Dem nominee....

[Xing]

Trump may only get 45-46% of the vote, but the problem is that this could be enough for him to win the EC.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

These numbers tell us that Trump likely will be an underdog, but we already knew it. He was underdog in 2016 as well.

[Progressive Pessimist]

The hurdle is getting that 53% to coalesce around the Dem nominee....

Exactly. And in being realistic, Trump probably has a floor of 45%. In my estimation the Democrat needs to win the popular vote by at least 3% if they want to beat Trump in the electoral college.