LOL I will never understand why Atlas, without any logic or reason, thinks Whitmer is DOA in 2022, Republican or Democrat in the WH.
I've noticed a lot of people here like to proclaim doom and gloom for certain candidates without any shred of evidence.
And no, I do not see Whitmer losing reelection, unless she does something really outrageously awful. Governors seldom lose reelection. In 2010, the only incumbent governor to lose reelection was Chet Culver (D-IA). Every other Democratic incumbent who sought reelection survived. And in 2014, of the three governors who lost reelection in the general, only one of them was a Democrat (Pat Quinn). Both of those governors were highly unpopular and lost because of how unpopular they were. Whitmer seems to be doing fine so far, and unless a scandal occurs, she'll be fine.
Ted Strickland (D-OH) also lost re-election in 2010.
But yeah, the number of incumbents defeated is pretty low each cycle, even when there are a bunch of unpopular ones up.
2018: 2
2014: 3
2010: 2
2006: 1
2002: 4
1998: 2
1994: 4