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July 21, 2019, 02:00:28 pm
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  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, VirginiŠ)
  State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3  (Read 8034 times)
Bagel23
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« Reply #125 on: April 02, 2019, 08:15:11 pm »

I think we have this. D+1.

Heck yeah!
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #126 on: April 02, 2019, 08:17:19 pm »

andidate   Percent   Votes
Pam Iovino (Democratic)     53.5%   22,082
D Raja (Republican)     46.5%   19,168
164 of 224 (73%) Precincts Reporting, 41,250 Total Votes
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Pittsburgh For Kamala
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« Reply #127 on: April 02, 2019, 08:18:48 pm »

A lot of people keep talking about the one township in Washington county that could really help Raja, but that only accounts for 8% of the votes in the entire district so IDK what's keeping them from calling it.
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Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #128 on: April 02, 2019, 08:19:11 pm »

Apparently Peters Township hasn't reported anything yet. Very conservative suburb in Washington County. I'd expect the margin to narrow some more when those results start coming in, but I'm not sure there's enough there to clinch it for Raja.
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Pittsburgh For Kamala
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« Reply #129 on: April 02, 2019, 08:20:22 pm »

Apparently Peters Township hasn't reported anything yet. Very conservative suburb in Washington County. I'd expect the margin to narrow some more when those results start coming in, but I'm not sure there's enough there to clinch it for Raja.

Someone on Twitter said that Pam's Allegheny margin has to be below 1.5K for Washington to be able to clinch it for Raja, but her margin is at 3K.

EDIT: Now at 3.2K
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Nyvin
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« Reply #130 on: April 02, 2019, 08:21:13 pm »

Washington county will narrow the race slightly, but 12 precincts aren't going to turn a 7 point margin.
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Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #131 on: April 02, 2019, 08:21:38 pm »

Washington county will narrow the race slightly, but 12 precincts aren't going to turn a 7 point margin.

My thoughts as well.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #132 on: April 02, 2019, 08:22:43 pm »

Pennsylvania State Senate General Election 37
Candidate   Percent   Votes
Pam Iovino (Democratic)     53.6%   23,503
D Raja (Republican)     46.4%   20,376
172 of 224 (77%) Precincts Reporting, 43,879 Total Votes
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Pittsburgh For Kamala
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« Reply #133 on: April 02, 2019, 08:30:16 pm »

Iovino lead up to 3.9K
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #134 on: April 02, 2019, 08:30:28 pm »

Pennsylvania State Senate General Election 37
Candidate   Percent   Votes
Pam Iovino (Democratic)     53.8%   27,484
D Raja (Republican)     46.2%   23,624
198 of 224 (88%) Precincts Reporting, 51,108 Total Votes
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Pittsburgh For Kamala
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« Reply #135 on: April 02, 2019, 08:32:23 pm »

Turnout could be at 30% which is pretty spectacular for a special election.
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Lfromnj stands with Sanchez.
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« Reply #136 on: April 02, 2019, 08:33:37 pm »

Turnout could be at 30% which is pretty spectacular for a special election.

I mean its a rich suburban district. Its of course great for a SE but its not that out of line for this district. It looks Iovino will win but I wonder what the differences will be between the 2012 win and the the 2018 win.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #137 on: April 02, 2019, 08:36:54 pm »

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Candidate   Percent   Votes
Pam Iovino (Democratic)     53.9%   28,663
D Raja (Republican)     46.1%   24,536
205 of 224 (92%) Precincts Reporting, 53,199 Total Votes
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Pittsburgh For Kamala
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« Reply #138 on: April 02, 2019, 08:36:54 pm »

Raja has conceded.

D+1
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Nyvin
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« Reply #139 on: April 02, 2019, 08:37:56 pm »

Woohoo!  Nice victory for PA Dems!
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Sestak
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« Reply #140 on: April 02, 2019, 08:54:14 pm »

Since apparently the last one was locked (and is basically at capacity)
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Sestak
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« Reply #141 on: April 02, 2019, 08:55:01 pm »

Anyway DDHQ has finally called the race for Iovino.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #142 on: April 02, 2019, 08:56:33 pm »

We are still waiting for results in MS HD 101
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Sestak
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« Reply #143 on: April 02, 2019, 08:59:33 pm »

Lol @whoever merged this, you do realize Iíll have to make another one 15 posts from now?
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Pittsburgh For Kamala
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« Reply #144 on: April 02, 2019, 08:59:33 pm »

Iovino's lead (if holds at current) would mean a 13-point shift from Trump in the district and would solidify the D-trend of the PGH suburbs.
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Kevinstat
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« Reply #145 on: April 02, 2019, 09:03:03 pm »

Maine House Distrct 52 (City of Bath) Special Election Results:

Sean C. Paulhus (D-Bath) 968 (66.48%)
Kenneth D. Sener (R-Bath) 488 (33.52%)

I got those numbers from a post by the losing candidate's campaign Facebook account on that campaign's Facebook page.  Apparently there are 7,029 registered voters in Bath which puts turnout (by that measure) at 20.71%.
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Sestak
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« Reply #146 on: April 02, 2019, 09:05:41 pm »

Maine House Distrct 52 (City of Bath) Special Election Results:

Sean C. Paulhus (D-Bath) 968 (66.48%)
Kenneth D. Sener (R-Bath) 488 (33.52%)

I got those numbers from a post by the losing candidate's campaign Facebook account on that campaign's Facebook page.  Apparently there are 7,029 registered voters in Bath which puts turnout (by that measure) at 20.71%.

How does that compare to the districtís past voting?
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Kevinstat
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« Reply #147 on: April 02, 2019, 09:13:36 pm »

Maine House Distrct 52 (City of Bath) Special Election Results:

Sean C. Paulhus (D-Bath) 968 (66.48%)
Kenneth D. Sener (R-Bath) 488 (33.52%)

I got those numbers from a post by the losing candidate's campaign Facebook account on that campaign's Facebook page.  Apparently there are 7,029 registered voters in Bath which puts turnout (by that measure) at 20.71%.

How does that compare to the districtís past voting?

First of all, I see that the result (in terms of who won and it being a Dem hold had already been announced on this thread, but I guess I was the first to post numbers.  I've heard that Jennifer DeChant (the Democrat who vacated the seat) got over 70% in 2018.  The seat's been held by Democrats since 2002.  It was a Republican seat for a think quite a while before that (held by one Republican who served from the late 70s to 1994 and then another who served from '94 to 2002.  Both moved on to the Senate, and the second one became a Democrat like a month after beeing reeelected in 2004.  He was unseated in 2006 but another Democrat won the seat two years later.  That Senate seat had long been Republican like the House seat.

I haven't looked recently at the results for the House seat (which was missing some of Bath before the 2013 redistricting) from 2002 on, but I think it's safe to say it's a very Democatic district nowadays.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #148 on: April 02, 2019, 09:19:11 pm »



That wraps up tonight
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Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #149 on: April 02, 2019, 09:19:16 pm »

Lol Peters Township didn't even dent the margin.
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