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  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, VirginiŠ)
  State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3  (Read 7107 times)
Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #225 on: May 21, 2019, 10:54:02 pm »

33rd Senatorial District County Breakdown
HAMMOND, SARAH E
(DEM)
30.47%
    Votes: 3,445
MASTRIANO, DOUG
(REP)
69.53%
    Votes: 7,863


BOSER, SUSAN
(DEM)
34.4%
    Votes: 12,708
PITTMAN, JOE
(REP)
65.6%
    Votes: 24,236


11th Legislative District County Breakdown
DOCTOR, SAMUEL JOSEPH
(DEM)
42.61%
    Votes: 4,312
MUSTELLO, MARCI
(REP)
57.39%
    Votes: 5,808
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Elliot County Populist
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« Reply #226 on: May 22, 2019, 12:52:10 am »

The 11th district loss was very impressive for democrats. Heard the Democrats ran some iron worker.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #227 on: May 22, 2019, 01:36:37 am »

The 11th district loss was very impressive for democrats. Heard the Democrats ran some iron worker.

Agree. The only "bright spot" for Democrats in yesterday's elections..
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Bagel23
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« Reply #228 on: May 22, 2019, 02:00:12 pm »

The 11th district loss was very impressive for democrats. Heard the Democrats ran some iron worker.

Agree. The only "bright spot" for Democrats in yesterday's elections..

Tbf, these are wealthier suburbs and exurbs getting bluer.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #229 on: May 22, 2019, 10:31:52 pm »

33rd Senatorial District County Breakdown
HAMMOND, SARAH E
(DEM)
30.47%
    Votes: 3,445
MASTRIANO, DOUG
(REP)
69.53%
    Votes: 7,863


BOSER, SUSAN
(DEM)
34.4%
    Votes: 12,708
PITTMAN, JOE
(REP)
65.6%
    Votes: 24,236


11th Legislative District County Breakdown
DOCTOR, SAMUEL JOSEPH
(DEM)
42.61%
    Votes: 4,312
MUSTELLO, MARCI
(REP)
57.39%
    Votes: 5,808


That turnout in SD 33 seems wildly different from the other two.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #230 on: May 24, 2019, 10:14:17 am »

That turnout in SD 33 seems wildly different from the other two.

It does. Were the Allegheny local and county primary elections a big draw?
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Seattle
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« Reply #231 on: May 24, 2019, 04:24:34 pm »

LD-1 State Senator Guy Palumbo (D) has resigned effective 5/24 to take a job at Amazon.
This will trigger a November special, I believe. Should be Safe D.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #232 on: May 25, 2019, 12:59:04 am »

LD-1 State Senator Guy Palumbo (D) has resigned effective 5/24 to take a job at Amazon.
This will trigger a November special, I believe. Should be Safe D.

Amazon, probably, pays more....
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Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« Reply #233 on: May 25, 2019, 12:15:29 pm »

That turnout in SD 33 seems wildly different from the other two.

It does. Were the Allegheny local and county primary elections a big draw?

There were competitive DA and council primaries that fueled turnout.
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #234 on: May 28, 2019, 08:59:52 pm »

Went up to Shingle Springs looking at cars yesterday. There were a fair number of Kiley and Dahle signs dotting the highway. A lot more Kiley signs in Folsom though. I got three mailers from Dahle and groups campaigning for him. Iím voting Kiley since itís more likely he could be raplced by a Dem than Dahle could. Still have to fill out my ballot though.

One week to go until the election in CA Sen-1.
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #235 on: June 04, 2019, 11:32:57 am »

Went up to Shingle Springs looking at cars yesterday. There were a fair number of Kiley and Dahle signs dotting the highway. A lot more Kiley signs in Folsom though. I got three mailers from Dahle and groups campaigning for him. Iím voting Kiley since itís more likely he could be raplced by a Dem than Dahle could. Still have to fill out my ballot though.

One week to go until the election in CA Sen-1.

CA Senate Districts 1 and 33 have their special elections today.

There will be a special assembly election no matter the result of SD 1. Either the northern rural counties (Assembly District 1 - Brian Dahle) or Sacramento suburbs (Assembly District 6 - Kevin Kiley) will have a special election in the coming months. Both Dahle and Kiley are Republicans; Ted Gaines (whose resignation triggered this election) is a Republican as well.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #236 on: June 04, 2019, 12:26:21 pm »

Went up to Shingle Springs looking at cars yesterday. There were a fair number of Kiley and Dahle signs dotting the highway. A lot more Kiley signs in Folsom though. I got three mailers from Dahle and groups campaigning for him. Iím voting Kiley since itís more likely he could be raplced by a Dem than Dahle could. Still have to fill out my ballot though.

One week to go until the election in CA Sen-1.

CA Senate Districts 1 and 33 have their special elections today.

There will be a special assembly election no matter the result of SD 1. Either the northern rural counties (Assembly District 1 - Brian Dahle) or Sacramento suburbs (Assembly District 6 - Kevin Kiley) will have a special election in the coming months. Both Dahle and Kiley are Republicans; Ted Gaines (whose resignation triggered this election) is a Republican as well.

Given the district - not surprising. Rooting for Kiley. But - one question: until not so long ago this territory used to elect Democrats not infrequently. What happened? Were these Democrats rather conservative or what?
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« Reply #237 on: June 04, 2019, 02:46:42 pm »

The MO HD 99 is heating up for November. Both the Dems and GOP have recruited serious candidates and I got a call from the Dem group today asking me to canvass. Presumably the Republicans are mobilizing as well. Both candidates appear to be upper middle class professional wine moms which is pretty hilarious.
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #238 on: June 04, 2019, 03:18:42 pm »

Went up to Shingle Springs looking at cars yesterday. There were a fair number of Kiley and Dahle signs dotting the highway. A lot more Kiley signs in Folsom though. I got three mailers from Dahle and groups campaigning for him. Iím voting Kiley since itís more likely he could be raplced by a Dem than Dahle could. Still have to fill out my ballot though.

One week to go until the election in CA Sen-1.

CA Senate Districts 1 and 33 have their special elections today.

There will be a special assembly election no matter the result of SD 1. Either the northern rural counties (Assembly District 1 - Brian Dahle) or Sacramento suburbs (Assembly District 6 - Kevin Kiley) will have a special election in the coming months. Both Dahle and Kiley are Republicans; Ted Gaines (whose resignation triggered this election) is a Republican as well.

Given the district - not surprising. Rooting for Kiley. But - one question: until not so long ago this territory used to elect Democrats not infrequently. What happened? Were these Democrats rather conservative or what?

Iím not an expert, but I think that there was a lot of logging going on in places like Lassen and Plumas Counties. They were some of the best counties for the CA Dems back maybe 40-50 years ago like you mentioned.

Polls in California close at 8 PM local time, 11 PM Eastern. (6 hours and 40 or so minutes)
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #239 on: June 04, 2019, 07:05:04 pm »

District 1: https://vote.sos.ca.gov/special/state-senate/district/1
District 33: https://vote.sos.ca.gov/special/state-senate/district/33

There's also a race for NJ Senate District 1, not seeing a results page for that though.
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Mr. Matt
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« Reply #240 on: June 04, 2019, 07:15:24 pm »

The NJ Senate race is only the primary (both D & R unopposed). Special elections outside of November haven't been done for legislative races since the late 1980s, the party appointee serves until/continue to serve that election.
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#Kavanaugh For Prison
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« Reply #241 on: June 04, 2019, 07:36:45 pm »

The NJ Senate race is only the primary (both D & R unopposed). Special elections outside of November haven't been done for legislative races since the late 1980s, the party appointee serves until/continue to serve that election.

What a waste then. Unopposed special state legislative election primaries are fully pointless to run and almost invariably going to result in extremely low turnout.
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #242 on: June 04, 2019, 10:17:50 pm »

Placer came in big for Kiley. I'm guessing these were absentees that were mailed in early.

17,576 61.4% Kiley
11,028 38.6% Dahle
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #243 on: June 04, 2019, 10:20:21 pm »

Sacramento came in big for Kiley as well.

11,918 71.4% Kiley
4,766 28.6% Dahle

Modoc in big for Dahle

1,317 84.5% Dahle
204 13.1% Kiley

Totals:
29,698 63.4% Kiley
17,111 36.6% Dahle

Edit: El Dorado decently for Kiley, maybe not as much as I would've guessed.

14,720 55.1% Kiley
11,975 44.9% Dahle

Total

45,566 60.2% Kiley
30,151 39.8% Dahle

Again, results are still early. If it's a close race by the end of the night, we might not know for a week or so. Ballots have until Friday to arrive at their respective county offices if they were postmarked by today.
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #244 on: June 04, 2019, 10:24:21 pm »

Plumas went big for Dahle as could be expected.

1,435 68.7% Dahle
655 31.3% Kiley
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #245 on: June 04, 2019, 10:30:53 pm »

Nevada big for Dahle

10,040 67.1% Dahle
4,924 32.9% Kiley

Total

68,099 57.4% Kiley
50,575 42.6% Dahle

Siskyou also big for Dahle

3,942 68.4% Dahle
1,821 31.6% Kiley

Totals
54,080 53.2% Kiley
47,536 46.8% Dahle
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #246 on: June 04, 2019, 10:36:57 pm »

Oh Jesus Shasta

14,282 80% Dahle
3,572 20% Kiley


Dahle is now in the lead
Totals:
61,818 51.7% Dahle
57,652 48.3% Kiley

Sierra went for Dahle
533 67% Dahle
263 33% Kiley
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #247 on: June 04, 2019, 10:43:05 pm »

SD 33, entirely within LA County (to replace Ricardo Lara)

5.2% Reporting
18,684 69.2% Gonzalez (D)
8,304 30.8% Guerrero (R)

My posts will be back to SD 1
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #248 on: June 04, 2019, 10:45:15 pm »

Lassen also went big for Dahle. It's his home county.

2,686 80.9% Dahle
636 19.1% Kiley

Totals:
64,546 52.5% Dahle
58,300 47.5% Kiley
 
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #249 on: June 04, 2019, 11:15:41 pm »

Alpine County is up to 80% reporting

126 73.3% Dahle
46 26.7% Kiley

Totals:
64,956 52.6% Dahle
58,435 47.4% Kiley
Supposedly 54.1% reporting. Not sure how much I believe the reporting percentage. In the March primary, there were 194,756 total voters, including 49,000 for the legitimate Dem. Right now we're at about 123,500 give or take.
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