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July 22, 2019, 03:23:20 pm
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active

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  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, VirginiŠ)
  State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3  (Read 8113 times)
smoltchanov
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« Reply #50 on: March 31, 2019, 02:39:58 pm »

It would surprise me if Adams chose to caucus with the Dems since they're a minority and likely to stay one.

Me too. He ran as more centrist candidate compared with AuCoin, but still - rather conservative. And, as i said above, support from his Republican predecessor was an important element of his campaign. Most likely he will stay Indie. Less likely - will join Republicans (though they will not be happy, that he beat their "official" candidate). Least likely - joins Democrats
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #51 on: March 31, 2019, 02:43:46 pm »

I live in PA-37 and I swear, I sort of like D. Raja.

LOL I'm going to hit a big fat (X) on that one.

The guy is clinically insane.
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Sestak
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« Reply #52 on: March 31, 2019, 09:26:35 pm »

Wow, completely didnít realize there were specials yesterday. Goddammit Louisiana, you just had to be ahead of the curve on weekend elections.
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Bagel23
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« Reply #53 on: March 31, 2019, 11:32:54 pm »

I really want Iovino to beat that pos Raja.
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Pittsburgh For Kamala
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« Reply #54 on: April 01, 2019, 10:30:21 pm »

I really want Iovino to beat that pos Raja.

Tbf, I'd be quite shocked if she doesn't blow him out of the water.
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Bagel23
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« Reply #55 on: April 02, 2019, 08:03:32 am »

I really want Iovino to beat that pos Raja.

Tbf, I'd be quite shocked if she doesn't blow him out of the water.

Good, keep our fingers crossed 🤞
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Pittsburgh For Kamala
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« Reply #56 on: April 02, 2019, 06:38:33 pm »

Polls close in 20 minutes here in PGH. Praying for an Iovino win!
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Sestak
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« Reply #57 on: April 02, 2019, 06:42:34 pm »

So Reschenthaler's PA seat is the big contest today, right?
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You're Still Going to Vote for Biden
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« Reply #58 on: April 02, 2019, 06:42:52 pm »

Polls close in 20 minutes here in PGH. Praying for an Iovino win!
Me too dude, Iovino should pull it off but does she pull a decent margin?
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Nyvin
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« Reply #59 on: April 02, 2019, 06:43:49 pm »

So Reschenthaler's PA seat is the big contest today, right?

That and the WI Supreme Court
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Sestak
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« Reply #60 on: April 02, 2019, 06:44:57 pm »

So Reschenthaler's PA seat is the big contest today, right?

That and the WI Supreme Court

I meant for State Legs lol. Yeah WI SC and Chicago runoffs are also today, but don't go in this thread.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #61 on: April 02, 2019, 06:46:33 pm »

PA stuff is here: https://decisiondeskhq.com/election-results-wisconsin-supreme-court-chicago-mayor-pa-sd-37/

This twitter should give us results for Maine and Mississippi eventually: https://twitter.com/electionwatchus?lang=en

Polls close at the top of the hour.
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Pittsburgh For Kamala
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« Reply #62 on: April 02, 2019, 06:47:57 pm »

Polls close in 20 minutes here in PGH. Praying for an Iovino win!
Me too dude, Iovino should pull it off but does she pull a decent margin?

Iíd imagine. This is the second time Raja is running for the seat, he lost the first time. Plus, he was whooped in a Wagner-2018 style for Allegheny commissioner in 2012.
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Pittsburgh For Kamala
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« Reply #63 on: April 02, 2019, 06:51:56 pm »

Polls close in 20 minutes here in PGH. Praying for an Iovino win!
Me too dude, Iovino should pull it off but does she pull a decent margin?

Iíd imagine. This is the second time Raja is running for the seat, he lost the first time. Plus, he was whooped in a Wagner-2018 style for Allegheny commissioner in 2012.

Wasnít the Allegheny CE race after that? Cuz he lost the senate seat in 2012 (back when it was much more Republican in its voting habits than it is now, funny enough). He underperformed Mitt Romney of all people by like 15% lol

Something like that. Point is, Iovino should win the seat comfortably. Iím still nervous, but my worries are probably going to be for nothing.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #64 on: April 02, 2019, 06:58:28 pm »

Which of the candidates in the Chicago mayorial race is the Democrat. I expect them to win easily.

They're both Democrats, but Lightfoot is generally considered the progressive.
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Pittsburgh For Kamala
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« Reply #65 on: April 02, 2019, 07:00:03 pm »

Which of the candidates in the Chicago mayorial race is the Democrat. I expect them to win easily.

Well first off, itís ďnonpartisanĒ, but both the candidates are Democrats. Second off, we have a thread for the mayoral race.
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Pittsburgh For Kamala
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« Reply #66 on: April 02, 2019, 07:01:59 pm »

Polls have closed in PA SD-37.

First off: an anecdotal turnout nugget that shows very good news for Iovino:

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#Kavanaugh For Prison
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« Reply #67 on: April 02, 2019, 07:08:08 pm »

If Democrats win this Pennsylvania Election, and also the Wisconsin Election (they need to just win the Pennsylvania Election though they need a substantial margin in the Wisconsin Election), it will be time to call the whole 2020 Presidential Race for the Democratic nominee.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #68 on: April 02, 2019, 07:08:45 pm »

If Democrats win this Pennsylvania Election, and also the Wisconsin Election (they need to just win the Pennsylvania Election though they need a substantial margin in the Wisconsin Election), it will be time to call the whole 2020 Presidential Race for the Democratic nominee.

Quoting for future use, given how wrong your 2016 and 2018 predictions were.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #69 on: April 02, 2019, 07:18:56 pm »

If Democrats win this Pennsylvania Election, and also the Wisconsin Election (they need to just win the Pennsylvania Election though they need a substantial margin in the Wisconsin Election), it will be time to call the whole 2020 Presidential Race for the Democratic nominee.

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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #70 on: April 02, 2019, 07:25:57 pm »

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Sestak
jk2020
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« Reply #71 on: April 02, 2019, 07:26:52 pm »



As expected. At least we haven't started off with catastrophe.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #72 on: April 02, 2019, 07:31:42 pm »

Candidate   Percent   Votes
Pam Iovino (Democratic)     52.3%   146
D Raja (Republican)     47.7%   133
1 of 224 (0%) Precincts Reporting, 279 Total Votes
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Pittsburgh For Kamala
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« Reply #73 on: April 02, 2019, 07:34:43 pm »

The first votes are coming out of Pleasant Hills, which was Trump +6, Casey +9, and Wolf + 12, so this is very good for Iovino.
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You're Still Going to Vote for Biden
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #74 on: April 02, 2019, 07:36:25 pm »

Candidate   Percent   Votes
Pam Iovino (Democratic)     52.3%   146
D Raja (Republican)     47.7%   133
1 of 224 (0%) Precincts Reporting, 279 Total Votes

For reference, Bob Casey won this precinct by 9% in 2018. And this precinct is a bit to the right of the district.
so an underperformance, but not in loser territory.
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