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July 22, 2019, 08:12:25 pm
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  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Virginiá)
  State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3  (Read 8119 times)
#Kavanaugh For Prison
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« Reply #75 on: April 02, 2019, 07:36:38 pm »

This is a sign of a close race.
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Sestak
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« Reply #76 on: April 02, 2019, 07:36:40 pm »

Looking solid so far.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #77 on: April 02, 2019, 07:41:06 pm »

Candidate   Percent   Votes
Pam Iovino (Democratic)     54.7%   1,474
D Raja (Republican)     45.3%   1,223
12 of 224 (5%) Precincts Reporting, 2,697 Total Votes
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Sestak
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« Reply #78 on: April 02, 2019, 07:42:53 pm »

Where's this vote coming from?
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You're Still Going to Vote for Biden
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« Reply #79 on: April 02, 2019, 07:43:08 pm »

Where's this vote coming from?
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#Kavanaugh For Prison
Solid4096
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« Reply #80 on: April 02, 2019, 07:43:10 pm »

This is a sign of a close race.

Hardly. Casey won the seat by 12%, so if this precinct is representative (big if), that would point to a 7 or 8% Iovino win.

Anything less than 12.5% is a close race.
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Pittsburgh For Kamala
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« Reply #81 on: April 02, 2019, 07:43:36 pm »

Team Raja not at all confident about tonight

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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #82 on: April 02, 2019, 07:44:11 pm »

I'm not sure if I like the early numbers so far... Iovino doing better than Clinton, but much worse than Lamb in some Allegheny precincts.

I'm looking at this map for reference: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/03/13/us/elections/results-pennsylvania-house-special-election.html
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Sestak
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« Reply #83 on: April 02, 2019, 07:44:37 pm »

Team Raja not at all confident about tonight



Could be trying to expectation-set. Just keep in mind.
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Pittsburgh For Kamala
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« Reply #84 on: April 02, 2019, 07:45:18 pm »

Team Raja not at all confident about tonight



Could be trying to expectation-set. Just keep in mind.

Or they’re not confident they’re going to win.
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#Kavanaugh For Prison
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« Reply #85 on: April 02, 2019, 07:46:06 pm »

<not going to force people who have Limo on ignore to read this post>
Lamb was running in a District Trump won by nearly 30 points. This District was just Trump + 6.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #86 on: April 02, 2019, 07:46:53 pm »
« Edited: April 02, 2019, 07:58:11 pm by Brittain33 »

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politicalmasta73
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« Reply #87 on: April 02, 2019, 07:47:13 pm »

Team Raja not at all confident about tonight



Could be trying to expectation-set. Just keep in mind.
wouldn't they do something more public then like releasing a bad internal?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #88 on: April 02, 2019, 07:47:20 pm »

<not going to force people who have Limo on ignore to read this post>
Lamb was running in a District Trump won by nearly 30 points. This District was just Trump + 6.

The edit is much appreciated.
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Sestak
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« Reply #89 on: April 02, 2019, 07:47:34 pm »

Team Raja not at all confident about tonight



Could be trying to expectation-set. Just keep in mind.

Or they’re not confident they’re going to win.

Well, yes - if they were confident they wouldn't need to set expectations. This way they can try to frame a mid single-digit loss as an "overperformance" - doesn't necessarily mean double digit landslide is coming. (Of course it could also be their honest expectation, but no way to be sure).
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Sestak
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« Reply #90 on: April 02, 2019, 07:48:51 pm »

Pam Iovino (Democratic)     57.3%   5,400
D Raja (Republican)     42.7%   4,022
41 of 224 (18%) Precincts Reporting, 9,422 Total Votes
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politicalmasta73
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« Reply #91 on: April 02, 2019, 07:49:53 pm »

<not going to force people who have Limo on ignore to read this post>
Lamb was running in a District Trump won by nearly 30 points. This District was just Trump + 6.

The edit is much appreciated.
To be fair, he may have been referring to Lamb's 2018 performance.
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#Kavanaugh For Prison
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« Reply #92 on: April 02, 2019, 07:50:53 pm »

<not going to force people who have Limo on ignore to read this post>
Lamb was running in a District Trump won by nearly 30 points. This District was just Trump + 6.

The edit is much appreciated.
To be fair, he may have been referring to Lamb's 2018 performance.
He was referring to the special election.
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Sestak
jk2020
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« Reply #93 on: April 02, 2019, 07:51:38 pm »

Hmmmm.....

Quote from: Wikipedia article: D. Raja
Doraisamy Raja is a politician and the member of Rajya Sabha from Tamil Nadu. He is from the Communist Party of India(CPI) and he is the National Secretary of the Party since 1994.[1][2][3] [4]
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Pittsburgh For Kamala
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« Reply #94 on: April 02, 2019, 07:52:25 pm »

66/214

Iovino: 54.99% 8,335
Raja: 44.81% 6,791
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politicalmasta73
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« Reply #95 on: April 02, 2019, 07:52:34 pm »

<not going to force people who have Limo on ignore to read this post>
Lamb was running in a District Trump won by nearly 30 points. This District was just Trump + 6.

The edit is much appreciated.
To be fair, he may have been referring to Lamb's 2018 performance.
He was referring to the special election.
How do you know this? He never specified.
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Sestak
jk2020
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« Reply #96 on: April 02, 2019, 07:53:23 pm »

<not going to force people who have Limo on ignore to read this post>
Lamb was running in a District Trump won by nearly 30 points. This District was just Trump + 6.

The edit is much appreciated.
To be fair, he may have been referring to Lamb's 2018 performance.
He was referring to the special election.
How do you know this? He never specified.

Why are we spending this much time analyzing a Limo post?
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #97 on: April 02, 2019, 07:53:53 pm »

Candidate   Percent   Votes
Pam Iovino (Democratic)     55.1%   8,335
D Raja (Republican)     44.9%   6,791
66 of 224 (29%) Precincts Reporting, 15,126 Total Votes
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #98 on: April 02, 2019, 07:54:04 pm »

<not going to force people who have Limo on ignore to read this post>
Lamb was running in a District Trump won by nearly 30 points. This District was just Trump + 6.

The edit is much appreciated.
To be fair, he may have been referring to Lamb's 2018 performance.
He was referring to the special election.
How do you know this? He never specified.

1) Lamb had TWO 2018 "performances", the special in March and the November general, so you're confusing everybody here.
2) I'm referring to his performance in the special because that district contained a wider portion of Southern Allegheny county (thus more precincts to compare to SD-37)
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Sestak
jk2020
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« Reply #99 on: April 02, 2019, 07:55:24 pm »

{snip with quote pyramid}

Yeah, but Iovino doesn't need to match Lamb's special performance here lol.
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