State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #175 on: April 09, 2019, 06:29:33 PM »


I so want HD 28 to end in a tie, since this is the *third* election for this race.

How is it the third?

The first attempt was the May 22nd primary (which Erwin "won" by 67 votes), and the second attempt was the December 4th special election (Erwin "won" by 2 votes).

If you're wondering why there was no November election, it's because no Democrats filed in the May 22nd primary.
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« Reply #176 on: April 09, 2019, 06:32:49 PM »


I so want HD 28 to end in a tie, since this is the *third* election for this race.

How is it the third?

The first attempt was the May 22nd primary (which Erwin "won" by 67 votes), and the second attempt was the December 4th special election (Erwin "won" by 2 votes).

If you're wondering why there was no November election, it's because no Democrats filed in the May 22nd primary.

Why was Erwin not seated after winning by 67 votes?

Also, why was the 2 vote win nullified?
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #177 on: April 09, 2019, 06:34:16 PM »


I so want HD 28 to end in a tie, since this is the *third* election for this race.

How is it the third?

The first attempt was the May 22nd primary (which Erwin "won" by 67 votes), and the second attempt was the December 4th special election (Erwin "won" by 2 votes).

If you're wondering why there was no November election, it's because no Democrats filed in the May 22nd primary.

Why was Erwin not seated after winning by 67 votes?

The 67 vote win was nullified because there were a lot of voters who were given an HD-28 ballot even though they didn't live in the seat.

The 2 vote win was nullified because 4 voters were found to have been ineligible by a court.
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Solid4096
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« Reply #178 on: April 09, 2019, 06:48:03 PM »


I so want HD 28 to end in a tie, since this is the *third* election for this race.

How is it the third?

The first attempt was the May 22nd primary (which Erwin "won" by 67 votes), and the second attempt was the December 4th special election (Erwin "won" by 2 votes).

If you're wondering why there was no November election, it's because no Democrats filed in the May 22nd primary.

Why was Erwin not seated after winning by 67 votes?

The 67 vote win was nullified because there were a lot of voters who were given an HD-28 ballot even though they didn't live in the seat.

The 2 vote win was nullified because 4 voters were found to have been ineligible by a court.

Did those 4 voters split exactly 3-1 for Erwin?
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #179 on: April 09, 2019, 06:54:47 PM »


I so want HD 28 to end in a tie, since this is the *third* election for this race.

How is it the third?

The first attempt was the May 22nd primary (which Erwin "won" by 67 votes), and the second attempt was the December 4th special election (Erwin "won" by 2 votes).

If you're wondering why there was no November election, it's because no Democrats filed in the May 22nd primary.

Why was Erwin not seated after winning by 67 votes?

The 67 vote win was nullified because there were a lot of voters who were given an HD-28 ballot even though they didn't live in the seat.

The 2 vote win was nullified because 4 voters were found to have been ineligible by a court.

Did those 4 voters split exactly 3-1 for Erwin?

There's zero way to know that because of secret ballot, but it's not unreasonable to believe the outcome could have changed off those ineligible voters so they nullified it.
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« Reply #180 on: April 09, 2019, 06:54:53 PM »


I so want HD 28 to end in a tie, since this is the *third* election for this race.

How is it the third?

The first attempt was the May 22nd primary (which Erwin "won" by 67 votes), and the second attempt was the December 4th special election (Erwin "won" by 2 votes).

If you're wondering why there was no November election, it's because no Democrats filed in the May 22nd primary.

Why was Erwin not seated after winning by 67 votes?

The 67 vote win was nullified because there were a lot of voters who were given an HD-28 ballot even though they didn't live in the seat.

The 2 vote win was nullified because 4 voters were found to have been ineligible by a court.

Did those 4 voters split exactly 3-1 for Erwin?

No way of knowing. The state only has a record that they voted, and did so illegally. The identity of who cast which ballot is secret.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #181 on: April 09, 2019, 06:55:49 PM »


I so want HD 28 to end in a tie, since this is the *third* election for this race.

How is it the third?

The first attempt was the May 22nd primary (which Erwin "won" by 67 votes), and the second attempt was the December 4th special election (Erwin "won" by 2 votes).

If you're wondering why there was no November election, it's because no Democrats filed in the May 22nd primary.

Why was Erwin not seated after winning by 67 votes?

The 67 vote win was nullified because there were a lot of voters who were given an HD-28 ballot even though they didn't live in the seat.

The 2 vote win was nullified because 4 voters were found to have been ineligible by a court.

Did those 4 voters split exactly 3-1 for Erwin?

It is not known how these voted, so the election has been cancelled because the winner was uncertain.
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« Reply #182 on: April 09, 2019, 06:56:27 PM »

First Precinct:

CHRIS ERWIN (REP)82.59%1,774
REP REP   DAN GASAWAY (I) (REP)17.41%374
2,148


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« Reply #183 on: April 09, 2019, 07:02:47 PM »

3/17 in:

CHRIS ERWIN (REP)81.82%1,917
REP REP   DAN GASAWAY (I) (REP)18.18%426
2,343
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« Reply #184 on: April 09, 2019, 07:04:32 PM »

Florida so far:

Republican
Contest Results by County
Compare State to County
Candidate   Party   Votes Received   
Lynda Bell   
REP   1,603   
19.4%
Virginia Fuller   
REP   367   
4.44%
Jason Shoaf   
REP   4,043   
48.93%
Mike Watkins   
REP   2,249   
27.22%
Total    8,262

   
State Representative, District 38
Republican
Contest Results by County
Compare State to County
Candidate   Party   Votes Received   
Randy Maggard   
REP   4,461   
61.77%
David "Mac" McCallister   
REP   2,761   
38.23%
Total    7,222   
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« Reply #185 on: April 09, 2019, 07:20:33 PM »

15/17 in:

CHRIS ERWIN (REP)77.31%4,106
REP REP   DAN GASAWAY (I) (REP)22.69%1,205
5,311
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« Reply #186 on: April 09, 2019, 07:21:38 PM »

Florida so far:

Candidate   Party   Votes Received   
Lynda Bell   
REP   1,812   
19.61%
Virginia Fuller   
REP   406   
4.39%
Jason Shoaf   
REP   4,553   
49.28%
Mike Watkins   
REP   2,468   
26.71%
Total    9,239   

State Representative, District 38
Republican
Contest Results by County
Compare State to County
Candidate   Party   Votes Received   
Randy Maggard   
REP   4,520   
61.88%
David "Mac" McCallister   
REP   2,784   
38.12%
Total    7,304   
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« Reply #187 on: April 09, 2019, 07:46:21 PM »

Final:

Candidate   Party   Votes Received   
Lynda Bell   
REP   1,876   
19.53%
Virginia Fuller   
REP   408   
4.25%
Jason Shoaf   
REP   4,705   
48.97%

Mike Watkins   
REP   2,618   
27.25%
Total    9,607   

State Representative, District 38
Republican
Contest Results by County
Compare State to County
Candidate   Party   Votes Received   
Randy Maggard   
REP   4,520   
61.88%

David "Mac" McCallister   
REP   2,784   
38.12%
Total    7,304   
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« Reply #188 on: April 09, 2019, 08:25:36 PM »

Final:

CHRIS ERWIN (REP)75.48%4,586
REP REP   DAN GASAWAY (I) (REP)24.52%1,490
6,076

Next week we'll have a special for CT HD 19.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #189 on: April 10, 2019, 04:02:15 AM »

Well, Florida's HD-7 is one more of "atypical dystricts". It's frequently called "the last Dixie district in Florida" (and one of the last - in the whole nation: very rural, mostly white, Democratic (but conservative) on very local level (especially in such counties as Liberty, where all local offices are held by Democrats, IIRC...), but - very Republican higher up (less, then 30% HRC in 2016), and so on). The last Democrats elected from district predecessor (Robert Trammell until 1994, and Jamie Westbrook (who ran later as Democrat, Republican and Indie) in 1996) were at least moderate conservatives (in real, not modern, sense of these words)..... Liberals or even moderates have no chances in this district now, and Democrats have no "real conservatives" in legislature since at least 1998-2000, so - it will surely stay Republican in general election...
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« Reply #190 on: April 16, 2019, 07:40:13 PM »

Democrats HOLD CT House District 19: https://ctmirror.org/2019/04/16/democrats-tammy-exum-wins-special-house-election/
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #191 on: April 17, 2019, 05:37:44 AM »


21% turnout!
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Kevinstat
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« Reply #192 on: April 17, 2019, 05:06:25 PM »

Maine State Rep. Dale Denno (D-45) has resigned to seek treatment for cancer. Special likely coming in June. Denno won his second term in November by 30 points and 1,700 votes (a lot in tiny Maine House districts).

Very sad, I hope he gets better soon
Unfortunately, he passed away yesterday.
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« Reply #193 on: April 23, 2019, 07:02:59 PM »

Woah, Democrat leads in deep-red SC-LD-14: http://wlbg.com/2019/04/23/sc-house-district-14-election-results/?62227
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #194 on: April 23, 2019, 07:25:52 PM »


For like a second.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #195 on: April 23, 2019, 07:36:49 PM »

Ended up being 56-43 GOP in HD-14, which is quite a solid over-performance for a Trump +37 seat.

TN SD-22 ended up being very similar to Presidential margins. Trump won it 58-36, and the Republicans held it 59-39.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #196 on: April 23, 2019, 10:02:10 PM »

The Tennessee seat ended up being much closer than initial counts suggested, giving a big swing towards the Democrat:



Democrats getting 44% in both of these districts is a very good performance to say the least.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #197 on: April 23, 2019, 10:21:17 PM »

There are going to be two special elections for vacant Missouri House seats in November, 99 and 158, both Republican held.

99 is an interesting seat, stretching from one of the wealthiest areas of Missouri/St. Louis County, Manchester and Twin Oaks, down through more middle class Valley Park, which straddles the border with Jefferson County. The incumbent, Jean Evans, only won by 6 points last year and I would bet that Claire McCaskill carried the seat handily, while Trump won it only 49/44 against Romney's 55/43 victory. I imagine that Democrats are going to contest this seat heavily in their search for a way out of the super minority in the House. This seat covers terrain that has been moving towards the Democrats rapidly and is definitely one to watch.
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« Reply #198 on: April 24, 2019, 04:29:51 PM »

Ended up being 56-43 GOP in HD-14, which is quite a solid over-performance for a Trump +37 seat.

TN SD-22 ended up being very similar to Presidential margins. Trump won it 58-36, and the Republicans held it 59-39.

#RepublicansInDisarray
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« Reply #199 on: April 30, 2019, 12:11:46 PM »

Tonight we have an election for WI State Assembly District 64. Polls close at 9 PM.

NC-3 coverage is at: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=307977.0
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