Can Jim Hood win the Mississippi governorship in 2019? (user search)
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  Can Jim Hood win the Mississippi governorship in 2019? (search mode)
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Question: Can Jim Hood win the MS governorship?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 65

Author Topic: Can Jim Hood win the Mississippi governorship in 2019?  (Read 1973 times)
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,094
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« on: April 09, 2019, 12:15:26 PM »

The need to win a majority of LDs - given current geographic polarization - probably cuts his chances at otherwise winning a majority of the vote in half or more.

However - and I'm not familiar with how MS LDs are drawn with regard to gerrymandering strategy - I do know that "historically" (over the past decade or so, at least prior to 2016) MS had far less polarization based on rural/suburban/urban than most other states (hell, in 2012, MS rural counties were more D as a whole than its metro counties).
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,094
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #1 on: April 09, 2019, 11:53:52 PM »

The need to win a majority of LDs - given current geographic polarization - probably cuts his chances at otherwise winning a majority of the vote in half or more.

However - and I'm not familiar with how MS LDs are drawn with regard to gerrymandering strategy - I do know that "historically" (over the past decade or so, at least prior to 2016) MS had far less polarization based on rural/suburban/urban than most other states (hell, in 2012, MS rural counties were more D as a whole than its metro counties).
Is winning a majority of LDs only if no one reaches 50 percent or doeshe have to do that regardless?

As I understand it, they must win a majority of LDs regardless. However, I've heard conflicting information regarding this, so maybe I'm mistaken.

Given what happened in 1999, if this isn't true in all cases, then maybe a plurality leads to the State House deciding, and outside of that, whoever wins the most LDs wins?
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