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  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
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Poll
Question: Rate Texas in 2020
#1
Safe R		  
#2
Likely R		  
#3
Lean R		  
#4
Toss-Up/Tilt R		  
#5
Toss-Up/Tilt D		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 184

Author Topic: Rate Texas  (Read 1930 times)
ElectionsGuy
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Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« on: April 09, 2019, 05:49:24 PM »
Vote in previous threads here:

AZ WI



Safe R: 125
Likely R:
Lean R:
Toss-Up/Tilt R: 11
Toss-Up/Tilt D: 10
Lean D:
Likely D:
Safe D: 183



Republican: 136
Democratic: 193
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Some of My Best Friends Are Gay
Enlightened_Centrist 420
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« Reply #1 on: April 09, 2019, 06:07:28 PM »
Likely R. the margin will probably be <5%, but I have a very hard time seeing a Democrat flipping enough voters for an outright win.
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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E: 3.42, S: 2.61

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« Reply #2 on: April 09, 2019, 06:10:07 PM »
Likely R
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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E: -0.13, S: -0.87

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« Reply #3 on: April 09, 2019, 07:00:41 PM »
Quote from: You should see me as a clown on April 09, 2019, 06:07:28 PM
Likely R. the margin will probably be <5%, but I have a very hard time seeing a Democrat flipping enough voters for an outright win.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #4 on: April 09, 2019, 07:02:26 PM »
I voted lean R, but it’s probably more likely R now that I think about it.
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UWS
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: April 09, 2019, 07:02:43 PM »
Likely R
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JA
Jacobin American
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« Reply #6 on: April 09, 2019, 07:06:47 PM »
Likely R. Trump will likely win by 5-10%.
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Progressive Pessimist
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E: -6.71, S: -7.65

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« Reply #7 on: April 09, 2019, 07:27:40 PM »
Likely R.
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Mr. Smith
MormDem
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« Reply #8 on: April 09, 2019, 07:36:48 PM »
Quote from: JA on April 09, 2019, 07:06:47 PM
Likely R. Trump will likely win by 5-10%.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #9 on: April 09, 2019, 07:43:59 PM »
Dems can win the 279 freiwal and states can cross over and vote a different way in statewide elections, which can happen in AZ and TX, Likely R for now.
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
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« Reply #10 on: April 09, 2019, 08:16:24 PM »
Lean R. Trump will win by 3.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #11 on: April 09, 2019, 08:37:41 PM »
Somewhere between Lean/Likely R.
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #12 on: April 09, 2019, 09:24:34 PM »
Likely R.

Trump will lead in every single poll of Texas voters.
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DPKdebator
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E: -1.81, S: 3.65

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« Reply #13 on: April 09, 2019, 09:44:58 PM »
Likely R, but I'd call it Safe R before Lean R. Beto's narrow loss shows some troubling trends for the GOP in Texas, but 2020 will be too early for them to really manifest. The Democrats aren't going to win Texas in 2020, even if they narrow the gap slightly (the closeness is why I say Likely R instead of Safe R).
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progressive85
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« Reply #14 on: April 09, 2019, 10:20:29 PM »
Beto's 2018 performance showed us the beginnings of what really FIGHTING for Texas can accomplish.  The state is undergoing great change.
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S019
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« Reply #15 on: April 09, 2019, 11:26:03 PM »
Lean R, Trump by 7-10
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YourLocalKiwiGay
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« Reply #16 on: April 10, 2019, 03:54:58 AM »
Trump will win by under 7%
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Skye
yeah_93
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« Reply #17 on: April 10, 2019, 04:49:16 AM »
Lean R. But why didn't you include other options?
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Wazza [INACTIVE]
Wazza1901
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« Reply #18 on: April 10, 2019, 05:19:30 AM »
Lean R
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #19 on: April 10, 2019, 05:50:41 AM »
Tilt R. Texas will probably go to Trump by a ~5% margin depending on the Democratic nominee and will definitely vote to the left of Ohio and Iowa.
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Nightcore Nationalist
Okthisisnotepic.
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« Reply #20 on: April 10, 2019, 06:23:02 AM »
Likely R.

Quote from: Fuzzy Bear on April 09, 2019, 09:24:34 PM
Likely R.

Trump will lead in every single poll of Texas voters.

7-10 is likely, not lean.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #21 on: April 10, 2019, 06:31:19 AM »
Quote from: Great Society on April 09, 2019, 10:20:29 PM
Beto's 2018 performance showed us the beginnings of what really FIGHTING for Texas can accomplish.  The state is undergoing great change.

Beto is doing great in polls since Biden's mishap, should Beto and Klobuchar run together, its a 50 state strategy
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DaWN
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« Reply #22 on: April 10, 2019, 06:37:53 AM »
Lean R. Republicans are seriously kidding themselves if they think the Beto coalition is going to magically disappear. It's just there's a good chance it won't be enough in 2020.
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Podgy the Bear
mollybecky
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« Reply #23 on: April 10, 2019, 06:41:05 AM »
Lean/likely R for 2020.  The demographics are changing, but it takes time for the new residents to assimilate and vote.  Plus, the Democrats need to continue to strengthen the infrastructure.  Will be at least another election cycle.
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andjey
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« Reply #24 on: April 10, 2019, 06:53:58 AM »
Likely R
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