Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner
Jalawest2
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,480
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« on: April 13, 2019, 05:02:55 PM » |
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Suburbs trend hard D in 2020 and 2024 as the GOP becomes increasingly trumpier. In 2028, the bleeding is stopped, and they slowly shift back R over time.
In the 2030s, the GOP drops a lot of the dogwhistling from their platform, which slows gains among the WWC but helps them recover in the suburbs and start to make gains in poorer VRA districts.
In 2040, the first GOP president since Trump wins re-election, and the GOP starts to break through in Upper New England and midwestern cities.
In 2044, the Democrats win back the white house, recovering in urban areas and gaining in rural areas where the GOP's new moderation has soured voters on them.
In the 40s and 50s, the emerging party dynamic is that Democrats are the party of openness/the working class/a hawkish foreign policy, whereas Republicans are traditionalist/white collar voters/dovish foreign policy. This isn't a reversal of 2016 trends, but it isn't a continuation, either. West Virginia shifts back D, but Minnesota, Iowa, and Wisconsin become strongly Republican. Northern and heavily white suburbia moves dramatically Republican, while diversifying southern suburbia stays and even trends D.
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