Emerson: Trump -6 to +4

[Skye]

Biden 53%, Trump 47%
Sanders 51%, Trump 48%
O’Rourke 51%, Trump 49%
Harris 50%, Trump 50%
Buttigieg 49%, Trump 51%
Warren 48%, Trump 52%

http://emersonpolling.com/2019/04/15/april-national-poll-bernie-takes-lead-for-democratic-nomination-mayor-pete-on-the-move/

[Thatkat04]

Looks reasonable, although again, at this point the match ups shouldn't be equaling 100%. I'm not sure why Emerson is the only pollster that insists on that. I'm also not a fan of their 65% Landline, 35% online survey methodology. Online surveys are not a good replacement for cell phones. Whatever, just my reasons I'm not keen on trusting Emerson's accuracy.

[HAnnA MArin County]

Yay Beto!

Kamala tied with crazy man is pathetic. I know I know "it's just one poll/it's Emerson" but looks like the anointed one has some work to do.

[wbrocks67]

Yay Beto!

Kamala tied with crazy man is pathetic. I know I know "it's just one poll/it's Emerson" but looks like the anointed one has some work to do.

Honestly, Pete is starting to feel like the "anointed one." His free media coverage over the past 2 or 3 weeks is Trump-level.

[Eraserhead]

Yay Beto!

Kamala tied with crazy man is pathetic. I know I know "it's just one poll/it's Emerson" but looks like the anointed one has some work to do.

Beto is +2. The difference between his and her performance could be statistical noise for all you know.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Yay Beto!

Kamala tied with crazy man is pathetic. I know I know "it's just one poll/it's Emerson" but looks like the anointed one has some work to do.

Beto is +2. The difference between his and her performance could be statistical noise for all you know.

Not to mention, +2 is still a loss in all likelihood. Not that I buy Emerson results.

[Annatar]

Compared to the March 17-18 poll, there is no significant change in the head to head match ups with the exception of Biden who has gone from a 10% lead to a 6% lead. A 6% lead should still lead to a 318-220 style electoral college victory for Biden though.

[S019]

(Usual issues with Emerson)

I was mocked for saying out of these choices, only Biden can beat Trump, well I guess I'm right!! I also think Bernie is a tossup, and a D+3 PV victory, looks like a Tossup. Lol at Buttigieg and Warren, wonder what their numbers in MN and NV are

[Thatkat04]

(Usual issues with Emerson)

I was locked for saying out of these choices, only Biden can beat Trump, well I guess I'm right!! I also think Bernie is a tossup, and a D+3 PV victory, looks like a Tossup. Lol at Buttigieg and Warren, wonder what their numbers in MN and NV are

Buttigieg's numbers are probably because he still has a Name I.D problem. Warren's numbers however are just bad.

[RFayette]

Biden is definitely the strongest candidate to beat Trump.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Biden is definitely the strongest candidate to beat Trump.

Until his age, creepiness, and record all get exploited by Trump and the GOP.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Yay Beto!

Kamala tied with crazy man is pathetic. I know I know "it's just one poll/it's Emerson" but looks like the anointed one has some work to do.

Imagine thinking Kamala is the "anointed one" when the media has been far more obsessed with Beto, Biden, Bernie, and Mayor Pete.

Besides, +2 is a lose.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Beto gets the nomination, he will pick Tim Ryan as a running mate and solidify OH, Biden would have been the safest bet to win OH, but he is damaged goods

[President Johnson]

If Beto gets the nomination, he will pick Tim Ryan as a running mate and solidify OH, Biden would have been the safest bet to win OH, but he is damaged goods

Lol no, Beto will pick a female running mate if he's the nominee. If he wants someone from the Midwest, Klobuchar or Baldwin are the choices. Klobuchar might make more sense because her seat would be easier to defend in a 2022 special election.

[Frenchrepublican]

If Beto gets the nomination, he will pick Tim Ryan as a running mate and solidify OH, Biden would have been the safest bet to win OH, but he is damaged goods

Lol. Beto would lose Ohio by 12

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Emerson polls are misleading and this is the same pollster that had Dems trailing in NV.

[TWTown]

Keep in mind that Hillary ended up winning the popular vote by 2 and still ended up losing, the only candidates that seem to hit this are Bernie and Biden and possibly Beto, I could be wrong and there could be a margin of error with this that throws off everything but that’s pretty much my analysis.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Keep in mind that Hillary ended up winning the popular vote by 2 and still ended up losing, the only candidates that seem to hit this are Bernie and Biden and possibly Beto, I could be wrong and there could be a margin of error with this that throws off everything but that’s pretty much my analysis.

That's what really sucks about running against Trump. As I see it, if the Democrat wants to consider a national poll favorable they need to be ahead of him by at least 3% and preferably at or above 50%. If that looks to be consistent towards the end of the general election, they should be in decent shape.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hilary lost WI,Pa due to Johnson and Toomey winning upsets. Dems are favored in MI due to Peters. I doubt that will happen again