Trump approval ratings thread 1.5
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Author Topic: Trump approval ratings thread 1.5  (Read 126339 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1075 on: October 29, 2019, 12:13:08 PM »
Arizona: Emerson, Oct. 25-28, 901 RV

Approve 45
Disapprove 50

Trump 50, Biden 50 (Trump leads by one respondent!)
Trump 50, Warren 50 (Trump by 5 respondents)
Trump 51, Sanders 49

Impeach Trump?

Support 40
Oppose 46

Note: the sample in this poll is 64% landline, 36% online.
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GP270watch
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« Reply #1076 on: October 29, 2019, 12:21:01 PM »
 Warren right there with Biden, very interesting.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1077 on: October 30, 2019, 07:09:44 AM »
Morning Consult/Politico, Oct. 25-28, 1997 RV (1-week change, some questions not asked last week)

Approve 43 (+2)
Disapprove 55 (nc)

Strongly approve 23 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 43 (nc)

2020:

Definitely vote for Trump 29
Probably Trump 10
Probably someone else 6
Definitely someone else 46

GCB: D 46, R 38

Impeachment inquiry: support 48 (nc), oppose 43 (+1)

Impeachment: support 49 (-1), oppose 42 (nc)

Removal: support 48 (-1), oppose 43 (nc)
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Person Man
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« Reply #1078 on: October 30, 2019, 07:24:16 AM »
How does that work?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1079 on: October 30, 2019, 07:33:00 AM »

Are you asking about the MC/Politico poll?  What specifically are you wondering about?
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Person Man
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« Reply #1080 on: October 30, 2019, 07:51:05 AM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 30, 2019, 07:33:00 AM

Are you asking about the MC/Politico poll?  What specifically are you wondering about?

More people being OK with Trump but fewer people being excited about him.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1081 on: October 30, 2019, 07:54:26 AM »
Quote from: Edgar Suit Larry on October 30, 2019, 07:51:05 AM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 30, 2019, 07:33:00 AM

Are you asking about the MC/Politico poll?  What specifically are you wondering about?

More people being OK with Trump but fewer people being excited about him.

I wouldn't read too much into such small changes.  This poll has shown that kind of discrepancy between movement in overall and strong approval/disapproval before (in both directions).
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1082 on: October 30, 2019, 08:37:19 AM »
The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Oct. 27-29, 1500 adults including 1274 RV

Adults:

Approve 40 (-2)
Disapprove 53 (+4)

Strongly approve 25 (+1)
Strongy disapprove 43 (+2)

Generic D 41 (+1), Trump 35 (-1)

Impeachment: Yes 46 (+2), No 39 (-1)

Removal: Yes 47 (+2), No 40 (-1)


RV:

Approve 45 (+2)
Disapprove 53 (-1)

Strongly approve 31 (+4)
Strongy disapprove 46 (-1)

Generic D 48 (-1), Trump 41 (+1)

Impeachment: Yes 48 (-1), No 43 (nc)

Removal: Yes 49 (nc), No 43 (nc)

GCB (RV only): D 47 (-1), R 41 (+1)
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Cinemark
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« Reply #1083 on: October 30, 2019, 08:47:53 AM »
YouGov's RV screen continues to confound me.
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Cinemark
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« Reply #1084 on: October 30, 2019, 02:12:44 PM »
USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll:

Approve - 46%(+2)
Disapprove - 52%(-2)

This poll was taken entirely before the Syria raid so the bump isn't due to that. Suffolk just seems to be one of Trump's better pollsters(In March they had Trump at 48/49, in June they had him at 49/48)

https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/national/2019/10_30_2019_marginals_pdftxt.pdf?la=en&hash=89DA17AB5EE895792B6810B8B3F8922DA3DF0D3D
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1085 on: October 30, 2019, 02:32:58 PM »
Quote from: Cinemark on October 30, 2019, 02:12:44 PM
USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll:

Approve - 46%(+2)
Disapprove - 52%(-2)

This poll was taken entirely before the Syria raid so the bump isn't due to that. Suffolk just seems to be one of Trump's better pollsters(In March they had Trump at 48/49, in June they had him at 49/48)

https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/national/2019/10_30_2019_marginals_pdftxt.pdf?la=en&hash=89DA17AB5EE895792B6810B8B3F8922DA3DF0D3D

Yeah, this is very R-friendly.  It has the generic Congressional ballot at 43-42 D, which is quite a bit better for Republicans than most other pollsters.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1086 on: October 30, 2019, 06:00:50 PM »
Ipsos Core Political Data tracker (weekly), Oct. 28-29, 1114 adults including 973 RV

Adults:

Approve 40 (+1)
Disapprove 57 (+2)

Strongly approve 21 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 43 (+1)

Impeachment: Support 47 (+1), Oppose 41 (+1)

RV:

Approve 41 (nc)
Disapprove 57 (nc)

Strongly approve 23 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 44 (nc)

Impeachment: Support 48 (nc), Oppose 42 (nc)
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #1087 on: October 30, 2019, 06:01:58 PM »
So all the al-Baghdadi stuff helped him absolutely zero.

The right-wing media sure crashed hard on this one.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1088 on: October 30, 2019, 06:09:45 PM »
Quote from: Bandit3 the Worker on October 30, 2019, 06:01:58 PM
So all the al-Baghdadi stuff helped him absolutely zero.

The right-wing media sure crashed hard on this one.

It's still probably too soon to say for sure, but it doesn't appear to have done much.  The only measurement I've seen of that issue specifically is in one poll (which is, after all one poll):
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #1089 on: October 30, 2019, 06:26:51 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 30, 2019, 06:09:45 PM
Quote from: Bandit3 the Worker on October 30, 2019, 06:01:58 PM
So all the al-Baghdadi stuff helped him absolutely zero.

The right-wing media sure crashed hard on this one.

It's still probably too soon to say for sure, but it doesn't appear to have done much.  The only measurement I've seen of that issue specifically is in one poll (which is, after all one poll):



The videos of ISIS prisoners escaping their imprisonment probably resonated more than Trump's riveting tale of al-Baghdadi dying like a dog.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1090 on: October 31, 2019, 08:49:09 AM »
AP/NORC, Oct. 24-28, 1075 adults (1-month change)

Approve 42 (+2)
Disapprove 56 (-3)

Strongly approve 25 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 42 (nc)

No impeachment questions in this one.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #1091 on: October 31, 2019, 09:48:57 AM »
Quote from: Bandit3 the Worker on October 30, 2019, 06:01:58 PM
So all the al-Baghdadi stuff helped him absolutely zero.

The right-wing media sure crashed hard on this one.

Oh well, back to parroting 4chan troll conspiracy theories as talking points.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1092 on: October 31, 2019, 07:55:42 PM »
Morning Consult, Oct. 29-30, 1996 RV (prior poll Oct. 25-28)

Approve 40 (-3)
Disapprove 56 (+2)

Strongly approve 22 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 43 (nc)

This is not their regular tracker for Politico, and it doesn't have the usual questions about 2020, GCB, etc.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1093 on: October 31, 2019, 08:51:54 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 31, 2019, 07:55:42 PM
Morning Consult, Oct. 29-30, 1996 RV (prior poll Oct. 25-28)

Approve 40 (-3)
Disapprove 56 (+2)

Strongly approve 22 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 43 (nc)

This is not their regular tracker for Politico, and it doesn't have the usual questions about 2020, GCB, etc.

Approval and disapproval for President Trump seems to be steady. Identity and core values seem to shape politics more than do events in the news. 
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #1094 on: November 01, 2019, 06:44:06 AM »
ABC /Wash post:
Approval: 38%
Disapproval: 58%

Support for impeachment and removal: 49%-47%

https://mobile.twitter.com/karentravers/status/1190209368387674112
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riceowl
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« Reply #1095 on: November 01, 2019, 06:56:58 AM »
Quote from: Hindsight is 2020 on November 01, 2019, 06:44:06 AM
ABC /Wash post:
Approval: 38%
Disapproval: 58%

Support for impeachment and removal: 49%-47%

https://mobile.twitter.com/karentravers/status/1190209368387674112

wow, 74% R approval
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1096 on: November 01, 2019, 07:21:25 AM »

Below 80% from the incumbent's own party is a huge red flag.  It will be interesting to see if other polls start showing the same thing.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1097 on: November 01, 2019, 07:24:50 AM »
Full results from the ABC/WaPo poll: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1LHZOvmGxA31NQboKQeaqHii1YoClJ-DWQtbIK-QwyjY/edit#gid=0
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1098 on: November 01, 2019, 02:20:10 PM »
A very bad poll for Trump from a very good pollster:

IBD/TIPP, Oct. 24-31, 903 adults (1-month change)

Approve 39 (-4)
Disapprove 56 (+2)

Among independents: Approve 34 (-9), Disapprove 58 (+6)

Impeachment inquiry (n=768):

Support 61 (+6)
Oppose 39 (-5)

Among independents: Support 64 (+11), Oppose 35 (-10)
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emailking
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« Reply #1099 on: November 01, 2019, 02:28:00 PM »
Is that the first number over 60 I think?
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