Trump approval ratings thread 1.5

[pbrower2a]

Fabrizio Ward for AARP

https://www.aarp.org/research/topics/politics/info-2019/five-state-prescription-drug-survey.html

ARIZONA  

Main Points:

Presidential: Biden 50 - Trump 45  (Biden +5)
Approval: Disapprove 50 - Approve 46  (-4 Approval)

Senate Generic Ballot: R 43 - D 42  (R+1)
Senate: McSally 45 - Kelly 44  (McSally +1)
Approval: Approve 48 - Disapprove 39  (+9 Approval)

Sample
Party Reg: Republican 39 - Independent 25 - Democratic 33
Ideology: Conservative 44 - Moderate 33 - Liberal 18

(I have a newer poll so I am not using this one)

COLORADO:

Presidential: Biden 51 - Trump 42  (Biden +9)
Approval: Disapprove 55 - Approve 43  (-12 Approval)

Senate Generic Ballot: D 44 - R 42  (D+2)
Senate: Gardner 45 - Johnson 39  (Gardner +6)
Approval: Approve 43 - Disapprove 40  (+3 Approval)

Sample
Party Reg: Democratic 33 - Republican 33 - Independent 20
Ideology: Conservative 35 - Moderate 36 - Liberal 24
(This changes nothing)

KENTUCKY:

Presidential: Trump 53 - Trump 41  (Trump +12)
Trump Approval: Approve 55 - Disapprove 43  (+12 Approval)

Senate Generic Ballot: R 48 - D 42  (R+6)
Senate: McConnell 47 - McGrath 46  (McConnell +1)
McConnell Job Approval: Disapprove 51 - Approve 46  (-5 Approval)
McConnell Favorability: Unfavorable 54 - Favorable 35  (-19 Favorability)
McGrath Favorability: Favorable 27 - Unfavorable 23  (+4 Favorability)

Sample
Party Registration: Democratic 45 - Republican 43 - Independent 10
Ideology: Conservative 44 - Moderate 31 - Liberal 18

MAINE:

Presidential: Biden 50 - Trump 44  (Biden +6)
Approval: Disapprove 53 - Approve 45  (-8 Approval)

Senate Generic Ballot: R 43 - D 42  (R+1)
Senate: Collins 52 - Gideon 35  (Collins +17)
Collins Approval: Approve 55 - Disapprove 41  (+14 Approval)
Collins Favorability: Favorable 49 - Unfavorable 41  (+8 Favorability)
Gideon Favorability: Favorable 16 - Unfavorable 12  (+4 Favorability)

Sample
Party Reg: Democratic 33 - Republican 32 - Independent 32
Ideology: Conservative 36 - Moderate 36 - Liberal 24

(newer than anything that I have for this state)

NORTH CAROLINA:

Main Points:

Presidential: Biden 49 - Trump 45  (Biden +4)
Approval: Disapprove 50 - Approve 47  (-3 Approval)

Senate Generic Ballot: D 44 - R 44  (Even)
Senate: Cunningham 42 - Tillis 41  (Cunningham +1)
Approval: Disapprove 42 - Approve 38  (-4 Approval)

Sample
Party Reg: Democratic 37 - Republican 33 - Independent 26  (D+4)
Ideology: Conservative 42 - Moderate 32 - Liberal 21

(changes nothing)

Nevada, ALG: 43-57. Adds a state not filled in at all. 

Trump approval:

40% or less or disapproval over 52%
41-44% or disapproval over 50%
45-49% and negative


Note: these are colored green to the same shade if I believe that an independent or third-party nominee has a chance to win the state, but a Democrat has no meaningful chance. That is Utah for now.

tie (white)
45-49% and positive
50-54%
55% or higher

[pbrower2a]

I did not add the polls from Firehouse strategies; I think they are manipulated for some purpose as well as being from a very suspect pollster.

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Sep. 14-17, 1500 adults including 1184 RV

Adults:

Approve 41 (-1)
Disapprove 49 (-1)

Strongly approve 25 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-1)

Generic D 40 (nc), Trump 36 (+1)

RV:

Approve 44 (nc)
Disapprove 53 (-1)

Strongly approve 30 (+4)
Strongly disapprove 45 (-1)

Generic D 48 (nc), Trump 40 (+1)

GCB (RV only): D 47 (-2), R 39 (+1)

[Gustaf]

This is a little old, but interesting.

AARP, July 29-31, 600 likely voters (all ages) in each of AZ, CO, KY, ME, and NC.

[snip]

No pun intended, huh?

[GeorgiaModerate]

This is a little old, but interesting.

AARP, July 29-31, 600 likely voters (all ages) in each of AZ, CO, KY, ME, and NC.

[snip]

No pun intended, huh?

It wasn't!  I didn't notice that until you pointed out. 

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos Core Political Tracker (weekly), Sep. 16-17, 1116 adults including 939 RV

Adults:

Approve 40 (-3)
Disapprove 55 (+2)

Strongly approve 21 (-3)
Strongly disapprove 39 (+1)

RV:

Approve 43 (-1)
Disapprove 55 (+2)

Strongly approve 23 (-3)
Strongly disapprove 40 (+1)

[Comrade Funk]

Ipsos Core Political Tracker (weekly), Sep. 16-17, 1116 adults including 939 RV

Adults:

Approve 40 (-3)
Disapprove 55 (+2)

Strongly approve 21 (-3)
Strongly disapprove 39 (+1)

RV:

Approve 43 (-1)
Disapprove 55 (+2)

Strongly approve 23 (-3)
Strongly disapprove 40 (+1)

Someone get SN2903 to start a thread about Trump's surging polls.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Gallup, Sep. 3-15, 1525 adults (prior poll Aug. 15-31)

Approve 43 (+4)
Disapprove 54 (-3)

The previous poll looks like an outlier, as this is more in line with the last few before that.

[GP270watch]

Gallup, Sep. 3-15, 1525 adults (prior poll Aug. 15-31)

Approve 43 (+4)
Disapprove 54 (-3)

The previous poll looks like an outlier, as this is more in line with the last few before that.

Trump has a lot shy support. Whenever the headlines get real bad or you see him babble some racist nonsense you see him drop 3 to 5 points and then magically go up again when the headlines die down.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Fox News, Sep. 15-17, 1008 RV (prior poll Aug. 11-13)

Approve 45 (+2)
Disapprove 54 (-2)

Strongly approve 26 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 48 (-5)

Approval/disapproval on issues:

Economy 50/45
National security 45/48
Immigration 42/54
Trade 38/53
Foreig policy 36/54
Guns 35/56
Health care 34/56
Afghanistan 31/49

[AngryBudgie]

Just as I said in another thread, Trump's baseline is -10. Sometimes he goes above that and sometimes below that, but its always a safe bet that he'll eventually return to -10. Its been like this since May of 2018 and I see no reason why its gonna change in the furture.

[Crumpets]

Foreign policy 36/54
Afghanistan 31/49

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Fox News, Sep. 15-17, 1008 RV (prior poll Aug. 11-13)

Approve 45 (+2)
Disapprove 54 (-2)

Strongly approve 26 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 48 (-5)

Approval/disapproval on issues:

Economy 50/45
National security 45/48
Immigration 42/54
Trade 38/53
Foreig policy 36/54
Guns 35/56
Health care 34/56
Afghanistan 31/49

Interesting that he’s underperforming his approval rating against the Democrats in the FOX poll

[GeorgiaModerate]

Fox News, Sep. 15-17, 1008 RV (prior poll Aug. 11-13)

Approve 45 (+2)
Disapprove 54 (-2)

Strongly approve 26 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 48 (-5)

Approval/disapproval on issues:

Economy 50/45
National security 45/48
Immigration 42/54
Trade 38/53
Foreig policy 36/54
Guns 35/56
Health care 34/56
Afghanistan 31/49

Interesting that he’s underperforming his approval rating against the Democrats in the FOX poll

That's been a common trend in a number of polls lately.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Fox News, Sep. 15-17, 1008 RV (prior poll Aug. 11-13)

Approve 45 (+2)
Disapprove 54 (-2)

Strongly approve 26 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 48 (-5)

Approval/disapproval on issues:

Economy 50/45
National security 45/48
Immigration 42/54
Trade 38/53
Foreig policy 36/54
Guns 35/56
Health care 34/56
Afghanistan 31/49

Interesting that he’s underperforming his approval rating against the Democrats in the FOX poll

That's been a common trend in a number of polls lately.

Makes me wonder if a good chunk of his soft supporters are just sick of the constant crises ndscandals and want less drama

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

SN loves to compare Obama's approvals in 2011 and Trump approvals in 2019. Obama had 10% unemployment and Trump has 4% unemployment, but his corruption has lead him to 43% approval rating

[pbrower2a]

SN loves to compare Obama's approvals in 2011 and Trump approvals in 2019. Obama had 10% unemployment and Trump has 4% unemployment, but his corruption has lead him to 43% approval rating

Obama became President when Americans were scared that the economic meltdown that they were experiencing was a reprise of the three dreary years following the 1929 Great Stock Market Crash.  After a year and a half from the peaks of 2007 and 1929 the decline in securities prices were much the same. Few can question the stewardship of Obama. Oh, but it wasn't perfect? Such was also said of FDR.

The difference was that the meltdown leading into the Great Depression fully destroyed the political power of the economic elites of the 1920's, and the 2007-2009  meltdown ended in a recovery for the elites of recent times, allowing those elites to invest in the politics that culminated in absolute plutocracy in 2017 complete with a President acting much like a fascist dictator and a Congress mostly of stooges.   

[GeorgiaModerate]

NBC/WSJ, Sep. 13-16, 900 RV (1-month change)

Approve 45 (+1)
Disapprove 53 (-2)

Strongly approve 33 (+4)
Strongly disapprove 46 (nc)

Lots of interesting issue questions in this poll.  Also, a question they ask about the President occasionally (last time was Oct. 2018):

Which one of the following statements best describes your feelings toward Donald Trump?

Like personally and approve of most policies 25
Like personally but disapprove of many policies 4
Don't like personally, approve of most policies 19
Don't like personally, disapprove of many policies 50

From the writeup of the poll:

Just 29 percent say they like Trump personally, with 25 percent saying they also approve of his policy agenda and 4 percent saying they disapprove.

On this measure, the high degree of personal dislike for Trump differentiates him from his five most recent predecessors. Majorities of voters said they personally liked Obama, Clinton, George W. Bush, George H.W. Bush, and Ronald Reagan, even though they might disagree vigorously with their political agenda.

In fact, prior to Trump’s presidency, the highest share of voters saying they disliked the president personally — regardless of their views on his policies — was 42 percent for George W. Bush in March 2006, after Hurricane Katrina.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/nbc-wsj-poll-record-share-voters-dislike-trump-personally-democrats-n1057036

This possibly explains why Trump usually polls below his approval numbers in GE matchups.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Missouri: Remington Research/Missouri Scout, Sep. 18-19, 1046 LV

Approve 53
Disapprove 43

Trump 53, Biden 42
Trump 54, Warren 40
Trump 54, Sanders 37

[Brittain33]

Missouri: Remington Research/Missouri Scout, Sep. 18-19, 1046 LV

Approve 53
Disapprove 43

Trump 53, Biden 42
Trump 54, Warren 40
Trump 54, Sanders 37

Even though it's noncompetitive it's good to see a poll from Missouri.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

NBC/WSJ, Sep. 13-16, 900 RV (1-month change)

Approve 45 (+1)
Disapprove 53 (-2)

Strongly approve 33 (+4)
Strongly disapprove 46 (nc)

Lots of interesting issue questions in this poll.  Also, a question they ask about the President occasionally (last time was Oct. 2018):

Which one of the following statements best describes your feelings toward Donald Trump?

Like personally and approve of most policies 25
Like personally but disapprove of many policies 4
Don't like personally, approve of most policies 19
Don't like personally, disapprove of many policies 50

From the writeup of the poll:

Just 29 percent say they like Trump personally, with 25 percent saying they also approve of his policy agenda and 4 percent saying they disapprove.

On this measure, the high degree of personal dislike for Trump differentiates him from his five most recent predecessors. Majorities of voters said they personally liked Obama, Clinton, George W. Bush, George H.W. Bush, and Ronald Reagan, even though they might disagree vigorously with their political agenda.

In fact, prior to Trump’s presidency, the highest share of voters saying they disliked the president personally — regardless of their views on his policies — was 42 percent for George W. Bush in March 2006, after Hurricane Katrina.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/nbc-wsj-poll-record-share-voters-dislike-trump-personally-democrats-n1057036

This possibly explains why Trump usually polls below his approval numbers in GE matchups.

The semi deplorables are lining up behind the Orange Clown again now that he hasn't said anything racist/retarded for a week.

[AngryBudgie]

NBC/WSJ, Sep. 13-16, 900 RV (1-month change)

Approve 45 (+1)
Disapprove 53 (-2)

Strongly approve 33 (+4)
Strongly disapprove 46 (nc)

Lots of interesting issue questions in this poll.  Also, a question they ask about the President occasionally (last time was Oct. 2018):

Which one of the following statements best describes your feelings toward Donald Trump?

Like personally and approve of most policies 25
Like personally but disapprove of many policies 4
Don't like personally, approve of most policies 19
Don't like personally, disapprove of many policies 50

From the writeup of the poll:

Just 29 percent say they like Trump personally, with 25 percent saying they also approve of his policy agenda and 4 percent saying they disapprove.

On this measure, the high degree of personal dislike for Trump differentiates him from his five most recent predecessors. Majorities of voters said they personally liked Obama, Clinton, George W. Bush, George H.W. Bush, and Ronald Reagan, even though they might disagree vigorously with their political agenda.

In fact, prior to Trump’s presidency, the highest share of voters saying they disliked the president personally — regardless of their views on his policies — was 42 percent for George W. Bush in March 2006, after Hurricane Katrina.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/nbc-wsj-poll-record-share-voters-dislike-trump-personally-democrats-n1057036

This possibly explains why Trump usually polls below his approval numbers in GE matchups.

The semi deplorables are lining up behind the Orange Clown again now that he hasn't said anything racist/retarded for a week.

I wouldnt think too hard about a few point flucuations. Seems par for the course. Sometimes Trump's numbers go up, sometimes they goes down, but they always seem to revert back.

[pbrower2a]

Missouri: Remington Research/Missouri Scout, Sep. 18-19, 1046 LV

Approve 53
Disapprove 43

Trump 53, Biden 42
Trump 54, Warren 40
Trump 54, Sanders 37

I was not going to insert an old poll by any pollster, but I am including this one. In a state that Republicans should normally take for granted, the approval number is pretty damn awful.   

Trump approval:

40% or less or disapproval over 52%
41-44% or disapproval over 50%
45-49% and negative


Note: these are colored green to the same shade if I believe that an independent or third-party nominee has a chance to win the state, but a Democrat has no meaningful chance. That is Utah for now.

tie (white)
45-49% and positive
50-54%
55% or higher

[GeorgiaModerate]

ARG economic survey (monthly), Sep. 17-20, 1100 adults including 989 RV

Adults:

Approve 40 (-1)
Disapprove 58 (+3)

RV:

Approve 39 (-2)
Disapprove 59 (+3)

This is Trump's worst showing in this poll since April, and his highest disapproval number since Sep. 2018.

[ajc0918]

ARG economic survey (monthly), Sep. 17-20, 1100 adults including 989 RV

Adults:

Approve 40 (-1)
Disapprove 58 (+3)

RV:

Approve 39 (-2)
Disapprove 59 (+3)

This is Trump's worst showing in this poll since April, and his highest disapproval number since Sep. 2018.

Yikes this is awful.