Trump approval ratings thread 1.5

[Gass3268]

Morning Consult state tracking polls

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/StevenTDennis/status/1129381077297106945

[Gass3268]

Here is Morning Consults 50 state approval poll for May:

Source

[Gass3268]

Firehouse Strategies/Optimus, June 11-13 (change from March)

Pennsylvania (587 LV):

Approve 46 (+3)
Disapprove 49 (nc)

Michigan (565 LV):

Approve 45 (-2)
Disapprove 50 (+1)

Wisconsin (535 LV):

Approve 44 (+3)
Disapprove 51 (-3)

Who are these guys?

Some former Republican operatives.

Yeah, for Rubio.

[Gass3268]

I think OH and maybe FL may tilt Democratic this time

I wish. That poll about the economy definitely weakens Trump's biggest asset as a narrative, but that's still way too optimistic.

AP has always been a good counter to Rassy. It's just too bad that Rassy is everyday.

[Gass3268]

PPP, July 3-8, 604 RV (change from May 1)

Approve 42 (+1)
Disapprove 52 (-4)

With multiple polls showing slight improvement, has Trump actually done a better job being president?

I think it's fair to say that the trend in Trump's approval rating has shown a small increase recently.  This doesn't necessarily mean he's done a better job.

Trump's poll numbers always seem to increase whenever the spotlight isn't on him.

[Gass3268]

[Gass3268]

NPR-PBS-Marist National:

44% Approve (+3)
52 Disaprove (+3)

41% Srongly Disapprove (+5)
29% Stronlgy Approve (+1)

Source

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1159155296666816513?s=20

[Gass3268]

Arizona: OH Predictive Insights, Aug. 13-14, 600 LV

Approve 47
Disapprove 52

In their previous poll (May), approval was 50 but I don't have the disapproval number.  In October, it was 54/46.

Amazing to see Arizona zoom to the left of Nevada (rolls eyes at Gravis).

[Gass3268]

Monmouth:

40% Approve (-1)
53% Disapprove (+3)

Source

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https://twitter.com/mattmfm/status/1166691180500983809?s=20

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https://twitter.com/MULawPoll/status/1169303227994710022?s=20

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/MULawPoll/status/1169303227994710022?s=20

Is this Wisconsin only?

Yes

[Gass3268]

TEXAS LYCEUM POLL:

How well do you think Donald Trump is handling his job as president?  Is he doing a very good job, somewhat good job, somewhat poor job, or very poor job?
 
1. Very good job. 24%
2. Somewhat good job. 24%
3. Somewhat poor job. 17%
4. Very poor job. 34%
5. DON’T KNOW / REFUSED / NA    0%

Combined approval: 48%
Combined disapproval: 52%

Source

[Gass3268]

Washington Post-Schar Virginia Poll:

39% Approve (26% Strongly)
58% Disapprove (51% Strongly)

Source

[Gass3268]

UtahPolicy.com and Y2 Analytics:

28% of Utah voters say they “strongly” approve
17% “somewhat” approve
8% “somewhat” disapprove
47% “strongly” disapprove

Source

[Gass3268]

Really bad numbers for Trump in Minnesota:

https://twitter.com/ActorAaronBooth/status/1185770885657038849?s=20

[Gass3268]

Mississippi-Mason Dixon:

Approve 54%
Disapprove 42%

Source

[Gass3268]

Grinnell College/Selzer (national poll), Oct. 17-23, 1003 adults

Approve 40
Disapprove 50

Their last national poll was apparently in Nov. 2018.  Trump's approval was 43/45.

Since he took office in January of 2017, would you describe your feelings for President Trump as becoming a lot more favorable, a little more favorable, a little more unfavorable, or a lot more unfavorable?

A lot more favorable 23
A little more favorable 15
A little more unfavorable 13
A lot more unfavorable 43
(Net: more favorable 38, more unfavorable 56)

Approve of impeachment inquiry? Yes 48, No 42

Remove Trump? Yes 42, No 44

Is it OK for political candidates in the U.S. to ask for assistance from a foreign
government to help them win an election?

OK 7
Not OK 81

Among likely voters (n=806):

Definitely vote to re-elect Trump 38
Consider someone else 13
Definitely someone else 47

This is a Trump +4 sample too.

[Gass3268]

Trump is deeper underwater in IA than VA? Weird. The trade war?

It's been that way for almost the entirty of Trump's presidency. I'd say it's just a fluke in their polling. MC, however, is not the only pollster to show Trump pretty underwater in Iowa.