Trump approval ratings thread 1.5

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

Back to the mid 40s lol  (RCP AVG at 43.5% - with a couple outliers at 39% about to be edged out).

These threads are a joke, wishcasting Trump’s demise.

538's average, which uses a better technique, has Trump approval at 41.4/54.6.  But keep relying on RCP's simplistic average if it makes you feel better.

So simplistic that RCP got 2016 closer than the egotistical Nate’s 538. Right.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map_no_toss_ups.html

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5952.html

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

Nate calls the 2008 election (easiest to call) and he’s seen as a god. He ducks up the 2016 election it’s all deflection “well no he didn’t predict per se he was giving the odds and 30% chance isn’t 0 blah blah blah”.....You can’t have it both ways, if he gets praised when he gets it right, he bears responsibility when he does indeed get it wrong.

RCP:
Clinton: 45.5%
Trump: 42.2%

538:
Clinton: 48.5%%
Trump: 44.9%%

Reality:
Clinton: 48.18%
Trump: 46.09%