America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,738
Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51
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« on: April 17, 2019, 03:04:20 PM » |
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Almost all of the shift from Trump in 2016 to Jones in 2017 was from Republicans staying home and not from people actually switching from Trump to Jones. Exit polls showed Trumps approval in the state on the day of the special election as 48 approve to 47 disapprove, while the results were 50 Jones to 48 Moore. Trumps real approval in the state is almost certainly much better than the 48 to 47 exit poll said it was, and it will show up in the composition of the electorate in 2020 in a way that it did not show up in 2017.
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