AL-Mason Dixon: Sen. Jones (D) -10 in re-election, but Roy Moore leads R primary (user search)
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  AL-Mason Dixon: Sen. Jones (D) -10 in re-election, but Roy Moore leads R primary (search mode)
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Author Topic: AL-Mason Dixon: Sen. Jones (D) -10 in re-election, but Roy Moore leads R primary  (Read 4911 times)
S019
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Posts: 18,331
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« on: April 16, 2019, 09:15:46 AM »

No actual GE numbers

I'd guess:
47-45 Moore

51-39 Byrne

49-40 Brooks

49-39 Palmer
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,331
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #1 on: April 16, 2019, 09:17:34 AM »

Also noteworthy, many undecided are indepndents, who are breaking heavily against Jones 49-35, Jones could well be on his way to a Kirking/Pryoring, and could even be Blanched, if things don't improve
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,331
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #2 on: April 18, 2019, 11:09:45 AM »

Two predictions:
1) No way Moore wins the nomination
2) If by some miracle, Moore is the nominee, he will easily defeat Jones. GOP voters sat out the special in droves because there was only one race on ballot, and who would want to take the time to vote for Moore? But 2020 will be a presidential electorate, Jones doesn't stand a chance.


Remember in 2012, Moore had a close race against Bob Vance, while Romney easily won the state


I would say Lean R with Moore, because Trump is so polarizing, but if Trump underperforms, don’t rule out a Jones victory
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