Moore could finish first in the GOP primary, but will likely have a much more difficult time
winning a run-off. His current lead is largely a result of his name recognition advantage over
others in the field, standing at about 20-points over Brooks, 40-points over Byrne and 50-
points over Palmer. Those cushions will evaporate once the campaign begins in earnest.
Moore also remains a divisive figure among Republican voters, with 34% having a favorable
opinion of him but 29% holding an unfavorable view. All of the other potential candidates
only have single-digit unfavorable name recognition.
Additionally, all of the three Alabama congressmen that could face Moore in the run-off will
not have the baggage of his 2017 run-off opponent -- appointed Senator Luther Strange.
Strange was hampered by the fact that he received his appointment to the Senate from
unpopular former Governor Robert Bentley, who was later forced to resign from office.
Most likely a non-pedophile candidate is nominated by the GOP who proceeds to win in a landslide.
I hope for it. Jones is extremely lucky, but - hardly a candidate, who fits modern Alabama. And Moore - utter disgrace and scoundrel.. Better - someone else...
