S019
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Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39
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« on: April 22, 2019, 02:57:46 PM » |
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Downballot races, especially non governor ones are not that polarized
But there are exactly four Democrats who can win in Indiana: Joe Donnelly, John R. Gregg, Brad Ellsworth, Baron Hill
Look for Donnelly to make a comeback
But someone like Messer could always make a comeback with a primary challenge, could also see some state legislators take a crack at primarying Hill
If IN Dems are smart, they’ll run Donnelly, who can definitely win this race, especially if a crazy primaries Hill, this looks a lot like IN-SEN 2012, incumbent vulnerable to a primary challenge from a nut, but unlike Lugar, Hill, himself, is quite weak
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