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July 19, 2019, 07:07:53 am
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active

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  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Virginiá)
  Iowa State Rep. Andy McKean switches from the Republican to Democratic Party
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Author Topic: Iowa State Rep. Andy McKean switches from the Republican to Democratic Party  (Read 820 times)
Gass3268
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« on: April 23, 2019, 10:53:53 am »



McKean represents Jackson and Jones counties in Eastern Iowa and his defection only gives the Republicans a 53-47 seat majority in the House.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: April 23, 2019, 11:13:57 am »

This seat had an absurd 32% R swing from 2012-->2016. I wonder if he's just retiring. Because if not, just LOL

Based on the article, this appears to be more based on his own views rather than other changes which have been due to the terrain moving leftward.
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Sestak
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« Reply #2 on: April 23, 2019, 11:15:32 am »

Well, Likely R (at least) in the general?
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« Reply #3 on: April 23, 2019, 11:15:56 am »

Nice. Now we Democrats only need +4 to take the Iowa House.
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Senator ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #4 on: April 23, 2019, 11:17:40 am »

Nice. Now we Democrats only need +4 to take the Iowa House.

I mean he will likely lose anyway since this is a seat that swung a metric ton Republican
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: April 23, 2019, 11:20:11 am »

Well, Likely R (at least) in the general?

It looks like the Democratic candidate for Auditor, Treasurer, and obviously AG won here, while everyone else lost.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #6 on: April 23, 2019, 11:36:29 am »
« Edited: April 24, 2019, 06:40:38 am by Mr.Phips »

Well, Likely R (at least) in the general?

It looks like the Democratic candidate for Auditor, Treasurer, and obviously AG won here, while everyone else lost.

This was almost certainly an Obama seat in 2012.  It may have even gone for Kerry in 2004.
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« Reply #7 on: April 23, 2019, 11:38:11 am »

The Finks lost this district, by about 9%.
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Invisible Obama
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« Reply #8 on: April 23, 2019, 11:39:47 am »

2016 numbers in many places probably aren't that indicative of much.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #9 on: April 23, 2019, 12:07:07 pm »

The good news is that Iowa in general absolutely LOVES incumbents for some reason.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #10 on: April 23, 2019, 12:36:59 pm »

Bold decision in tough district.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #11 on: April 23, 2019, 12:52:39 pm »

#farmrevolt
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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: April 23, 2019, 01:18:57 pm »

The good news is that Iowa in general absolutely LOVES incumbents for some reason.

Sounds like this guy is a beloved local institution too:

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President Johnson
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« Reply #13 on: April 23, 2019, 01:29:11 pm »

Freedom fighter!
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Wisconsin SC Race 2019
hofoid
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« Reply #14 on: April 23, 2019, 01:30:37 pm »

Good luck getting back any legislative body in a Presidential year in the most iconic Obama-Trump state.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #15 on: April 23, 2019, 02:22:51 pm »

Good luck getting back any legislative body in a Presidential year in the most iconic Obama-Trump state.

They won back a majority of congressional seats in 2018.
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Lfromnj stands with Sanchez.
lfromnj
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« Reply #16 on: April 23, 2019, 02:25:26 pm »

Good luck getting back any legislative body in a Presidential year in the most iconic Obama-Trump state.

They won back a majority of congressional seats in 2018.

now that is because the median seat is left of the state by about 6 points. Anyone know the median seat in the state house?
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hofoid
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« Reply #17 on: April 23, 2019, 02:25:36 pm »

Good luck getting back any legislative body in a Presidential year in the most iconic Obama-Trump state.

They won back a majority of congressional seats in 2018.
In the most Dem-leaning year in ages...in the middle of a GOP midterm. Presidential turn-out with DJT on the top of the ticket will reverse that.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #18 on: April 23, 2019, 10:45:49 pm »

Oh wow Rob Sand won the district. #populist Purple heart
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WARR BOY
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« Reply #19 on: April 23, 2019, 10:56:40 pm »

Are there like any issues where this dude would actually vote against party-line Republican positions or is this just about how much Trump sucks?
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« Reply #20 on: April 23, 2019, 11:04:46 pm »

Are there like any issues where this dude would actually vote against party-line Republican positions or is this just about how much Trump sucks?

He actually had quite a history of voting with Dems in the state legislature before this according to the article the tweet linked:
Quote
A moderate Republican, McKean split with his party on many key votes in recent years, including the 2017 collective bargaining and workers compensation bills. He was the only Republican earlier this year to side with Democrats on an amendment to a proposed constitutional amendment on gun rights. He also joined Democrats last week in voting against a bill that allowed stun guns on college campuses. And McKean was the sole Republican to oppose the party’s push to change how the process of selecting judges in Iowa.
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Councilor Suburban New Jersey Conservative
S019
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« Reply #21 on: April 24, 2019, 01:54:57 pm »

Reynolds won this district by double digits, if he is lucky enough not to be Arlen Spectered in the primary, by a real Democrat (who would proceed to lose in the GE), he will be Blanched in the GE by a Republican
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