ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
Posts: 21,106
Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65
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« on: May 05, 2019, 11:00:47 AM » |
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Surely. We always consider in the back of our minds the unlikely chance of the underdog winning and 2016 was one of those where it actually happened. Almost every major prognosticator and election analyst had a clearly superior chance of Hillary winning the election (a Lean D election, if you will) but the opposite happened with the electoral college victories having the necessary distributions for Trump to win. The last true toss-up election was arguably 2004, but Kerry underperformed exit polls and expectations making it a small but clear victory for Bush.
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