Will we ever go into an election that is not considered a toss-up?

[OSR stands with Israel]

2008 was not a toss up after the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy on September 15th. 

However, it was only 53/45 when it probably should have been like 59/38.  It is hard to have a presidential election not be close in this day and age.

Even FDR didn't win by that margin in 1932

[OSR stands with Israel]

2008 was not a toss up after the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy on September 15th. 

However, it was only 53/45 when it probably should have been like 59/38.  It is hard to have a presidential election not be close in this day and age.

Even FDR didn't win by that margin in 1932

Yes, but 1st term incumbent vs. open seat should be worth a couple %.

Nope, not for someone as unpopular as Hoover or with economic numbers as bad as Hoover had. If another Republican was nominated in 1932 , that Republican likely does better than Hoover

[OSR stands with Israel]

If Texas flips Dem , yes until map fully realigns .


On the other hand if GOP is able to turn WI and PA red as well while keeping Texas a Republican state than it will be true for the other side .