2020:
Harris/Buttigieg 272, Trump/Pence 268
Scott is not really the most electable Republican, already having a scandal in the form of Medicare fraud. But electability is not a problem when the sitting Democratic president is controversial within her own party. As President, Harris spends her time fighting the culture war to change America while doing nothing for the common man. The result is that Voldemort becomes the first Republican in 20 years to win the PV.
Third party share decreases slightly in 2020 and becomes more localized in 2024, with a Progressive third party hurting Harris in Upper New England.