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Author Topic: Q1 Fundraising Maps  (Read 1326 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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« on: April 26, 2019, 05:54:13 PM »
« edited: April 26, 2019, 06:05:50 PM by Dr. RI »

Unique donors by congressional district (min. 20 donors):



Green is Sanders, red is Harris, blue is O'Rourke, orange is Warren, purple is Klobuchar, yellow is Buttigieg, tan is Booker, teal is Inslee, grey-purple is Hickenlooper, dark grey is Delaney, mango is Castro, rose is Gillibrand, and light grey are ties. White CDs had fewer than 20 donors.

The only non-home states won by a non-Sanders candidate were Harris winning GA and MD and Klobuchar winning ND.

Yes, I know the PA boundaries are old.
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Grassroots
Grassr00ts
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: April 26, 2019, 06:12:01 PM »

MASSIVE FF POST

THIS IS AMAZING THANK YOU
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #2 on: April 26, 2019, 06:13:19 PM »

Total dollar amounts (same key):

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Grassroots
Grassr00ts
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: April 26, 2019, 06:16:37 PM »

On another note, I find it odd that Klobuchar is leading in my home district, I haven't found much support for her here.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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« Reply #4 on: April 26, 2019, 08:21:44 PM »

I find some of the "less than 20 donors" districts concerning. Is that minimum 20 for a single candidate, or minimum 20 donors overall?
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Zaybay
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« Reply #5 on: April 26, 2019, 08:50:49 PM »

This is seriously amazing work!
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bagelman
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« Reply #6 on: April 26, 2019, 08:54:58 PM »

Looks like Sanders is the one potentially emerging with a real national collation. The second map shows who monied Democrats and Dinocrats supports.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #7 on: April 26, 2019, 10:51:05 PM »

I geocoded up all the donor addresses, but the national map just looks like rainbow vomit. I can post individual urban areas, if anyone wants to see some dot maps.
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Fmr. Representative Encke
Encke
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« Reply #8 on: April 26, 2019, 11:46:55 PM »

What's the light orange color in NY-17 of the unique donor map? Is that Warren or Castro?
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #9 on: April 26, 2019, 11:59:39 PM »

Unique donor stats in census block groups where:

White >90%: Sanders 24, Harris 12, Klobuchar 10, Buttigieg 10, O'Rourke 10, Warren 8, Booker 8
Black >50%: Harris 38, Sanders 25, Booker 9, Buttigieg 7, O'Rourke 6, Warren 6
Hispanic >50%: Sanders 28, O'Rourke 25, Harris 16, Castro 6, Booker 6, Buttigieg 6, Warren 5
Asian >50%: Sanders 26, Harris 25, Gabbard 10, Buttigieg 8, Booker 7, Warren 7, O'Rourke 5, Yang 5

Median HH Income >$120,000: Harris 21, Booker 13, O'Rourke 12, Sanders 10, Buttigieg 9, Klobuchar 9, Gillibrand 7
Median HH Income <$50,000: Sanders 33, Harris 15, O'Rourke 11, Buttigieg 9, Warren 8, Booker 6

Graduate Deg >50%: Harris 21, Buttigieg 11, Booker 10, Warren 10, Klobuchar 9, Sanders 9, O'Rourke 9
Bachelor Deg >50%: Harris 20, O'Rourke 13, Sanders 12, Buttigieg 11, Booker 11, Klobuchar 8, Gillibrand 8
HS Graduate >50%: Sanders 42, O'Rourke 10, Harris 9, Buttigieg 8, Booker 7, Warren 6

Some College >30%: Sanders 29, Harris 16, O'Rourke 16, Booker 8, Buttigieg 8, Warren 6
No HS Diploma >30%: Sanders 27, O'Rourke 18, Harris 15, Buttigieg 9, Booker 9

Never Married >50%: Sanders 22, Harris 20, Buttigieg 13, O'Rourke 9, Warren 8, Booker 7
Now Married >50%: Sanders 17, Harris 17, O'Rourke 14, Booker 10, Klobuchar 9, Buttigieg 9, Warren 7

Manufacturing >15%: Sanders 29, Harris 14, O'Rourke 12, Buttigieg 9, Klobuchar 8, Warren 8
Construction >15%: Sanders 33, O'Rourke 15, Harris 13, Warren 8, Buttigieg 8, Booker 6
Information >15%: Harris 34, Sanders 14, Buttigieg 11, Booker 10, Gillibrand 8, O'Rourke 6
Finance >20%: Booker 20, Harris 18, Gillibrand 12, Buttigieg 11, O'Rourke 9, Klobuchar 8
Prof/Sci/Tech >30%: Harris 23, Buttigieg 12, Sanders 11, O'Rourke 10, Booker 9, Klobuchar 8
Healthcare >20%: Sanders 24, Harris 18, O'Rourke 10, Buttigieg 9, Warren 9, Booker 8
Retail >20%: Sanders 31, Harris 16, O'Rourke 12, Buttigieg 8, Booker 7, Warren 7
Oil/Mine/Gas >5%: O'Rourke 47, Sanders 13, Hickenlooper 8, Harris 6, Buttigieg 6, Castro 5

Avg Commute >45 min: Sanders 22, Harris 18, Booker 18, Buttigieg 8, Gillibrand 8, O'Rourke 7
Avg Commute <15 min: Sanders 24, O'Rourke 14, Harris 13, Warren 9, Buttigieg 8, Booker 6
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #10 on: April 27, 2019, 12:00:08 AM »

What's the light orange color in NY-17 of the unique donor map? Is that Warren or Castro?

Booker
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Hoosier_Nick
Nicholas_Roberts
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« Reply #11 on: April 27, 2019, 10:09:49 PM »

Thank you Dr. RI, very cool!
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Nutmeg
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« Reply #12 on: April 28, 2019, 01:42:55 PM »

This is amazing work!

I wanted to ask about D.C., though: there were fewer than 20 donors?!
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #13 on: April 28, 2019, 11:13:01 PM »

Is this is based on FEC results? If so, it only shows people who had to be reported based on their total contributions to a candidate and one time, small donors would be excluded. Still interesting, but it likely would be a very different map if it included small donation individuals.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #14 on: April 29, 2019, 10:17:45 AM »

This is amazing work!

I wanted to ask about D.C., though: there were fewer than 20 donors?!

DC was unfortunately not part of the shapefile I used as it's not in a CD. It went for Harris on both maps though.

Is this is based on FEC results? If so, it only shows people who had to be reported based on their total contributions to a candidate and one time, small donors would be excluded. Still interesting, but it likely would be a very different map if it included small donation individuals.

Yes, it's FEC data, but ignoring small donors just means the map should be even more green than it already is.
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Sestak
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« Reply #15 on: April 29, 2019, 04:49:16 PM »

This is insanely useful - props for doing this!

Yeah, Sanders coalition def looks strong from this.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #16 on: April 30, 2019, 12:42:50 PM »

I geocoded up all the donor addresses, but the national map just looks like rainbow vomit. I can post individual urban areas, if anyone wants to see some dot maps.

I would love to see NYC and DC. Chicago looks like it would be interesting, too.

NYC:


DC:


Chicago:


Also, here's the SF and Oakland:


and LA:
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Canis
canis
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« Reply #17 on: April 30, 2019, 12:58:55 PM »

This is amazing any results from Alaska and Hawaii?  Interesting to see Beto leading in NC-09
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #18 on: April 30, 2019, 01:05:58 PM »

any results from Alaska and Hawaii?

AK: Sanders ahead comfortably by both measures (>40%)
HI: Gabbard led HI-01 in $, but Sanders led both CD in contributors and HI-02 in $
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Canis
canis
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« Reply #19 on: April 30, 2019, 03:11:52 PM »

Whose the light gray tie between
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
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« Reply #20 on: April 30, 2019, 06:00:51 PM »

Montclair stands out like a sore, tan thumb.
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Mr. Illini
liberty142
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« Reply #21 on: April 30, 2019, 06:58:44 PM »

Is that Klobuchar in IL-10? If so, that is very interesting...
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