Rate NM-Sen and VA-Sen (Spring 2019)

[Continential]

NOVA voters hate Trump.

[Politician]

Trump is not going to appeal to NoVA elites, lol.

[President Johnson]

Both are safe Democratic.

I'm curious to see how Democrats will nominate in New Mexico and whether Mark Warner gets a challenger.

[KaiserDave]

Both are Lean D.

No, they are not. VA is unwinnable for us under normal circunstances, NM is gone too

Not if Trump appeals to the NOVA elites, and that is a possibility if the democratic nominee gets pushed to the far-left on some issues. If this scenario were to happen, the map could looks something like this:

And this too:

If you haven't noticed, NoVa voters despise Trump.

[Frenchrepublican]

Both are Lean D.

No, they are not. VA is unwinnable for us under normal circunstances, NM is gone too

Not if Trump appeals to the NOVA elites, and that is a possibility if the democratic nominee gets pushed to the far-left on some issues. If this scenario were to happen, the map could looks something like this:

And this too:

Loudoun is gone. Biden will carry the county 61/38 and Warner will win it easily

[S019]

Both are Lean D.

No, they are not. VA is unwinnable for us under normal circunstances, NM is gone too

Not if Trump appeals to the NOVA elites, and that is a possibility if the democratic nominee gets pushed to the far-left on some issues. If this scenario were to happen, the map could looks something like this:

And this too:

How does a Republican win Loudoun, Barbara Comstock lost it in 2016, even as, she won the congressional district

Loudoun is Safe D

[KaiserDave]

But I thought #moderate voters in Loudon would oppose Bernie Sanders because he's a #socialist with #extreme policies. Loudon is Lean R with Bernie, obviously.

[Frenchrepublican]

But I thought #moderate voters in Loudon would oppose Bernie Sanders because he's a #socialist with #extreme policies. Loudon is Lean R with Bernie, obviously.

If I'm remember well Prince William County has actually a DSA-endorsed state legislator.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

For any of you who somehow think Comstock, yes the one who got sh!twhacked by double digits
 in 2018 (crazy, right?), would make a race with Warner tight barring extraordinary circumstances, over the past couple months she has pretty much gone full Trumpist and joined on at a K street lobbying group. Wouldn’t surprise me if she actually under-ran Trump in 2020 lol (ok this is more of a testament to Warner’s strenth, but yeah).

[lfromnj]

Atlas: New Mexico and Virginia are Safe D no matter what!
Also Atlas: Montana and Kansas are Lean/Likely R with the right candidate!

Damn wanted to see, I voted Safe D too for both

Looks like VA sen and MT sen were almost the same margin and MT senate had D's using an incumbent governor! KS sen was a bit redder and NM senate was the closest of all 4.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Atlas: New Mexico and Virginia are Safe D no matter what!
Also Atlas: Montana and Kansas are Lean/Likely R with the right candidate!

Damn wanted to see, I voted Safe D too for both

Looks like VA sen and MT sen were almost the same margin and MT senate had D's using an incumbent governor! KS sen was a bit redder and NM senate was the closest of all 4.

I'd wager it'd be harder for the challenging party to get over the top in VA than in any of those other three, though.