Return of Al: For a better America
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andjey
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« Reply #50 on: August 25, 2019, 11:20:34 AM »
« edited: November 17, 2019, 02:05:04 PM by Kalwejt »

19th February 2017


2016 March 16 Merrick Garland profile by The White House
The White House [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons

The Senate votes in favor of endorsing Barack Obama's and Al Gore's nominee to SCOTUS Merrick Garland. Garland is considered by many to be a fairly moderate Democrat, so Senator Bernie Sanders from Vermont, who is the leader of the Democratic Party's progressive wing, called on Gore to appoint a more liberal judge and, otherwise, said he would not vote for Garland's endorsement

YEA (71 votes)

Mallott (D-AK)
McCain (R-AZ)
Flake (R-AZ)

Feinstein (D-CA)
Harris (D-CA)  
Bennet (D-CO)

Gardner (R-CO)
Blumenthal (D-CT)
Murphy (D-CT)
Carper (D-DE)
Coons (D-DE)
Graham (D-FL)
Nelson (D-FL)
Marshall (D-GA)
Hirono (D-HI)
Schatz (D-HI)

Ernst (R-IA)
Duckworth (D-IL)
Durbin (D-IL)
Bayh (D-IN)
Donnelly (D-IN)  
Grimes (D-KY)

Collins (R-ME)
King (I-ME)
Cardin (D-MD)
Van Hollen (D-MD)
Markey (D-MA)
Warren (D-MA)
Peters (D-MI)
Stabenow (D-MI)
Franken (D-MN)
Smith (D-MN)
Kander (D-MO)
McCaskill (D-MO)

Daines (R-MT)
Tester (D-MT)
Fischer (R-NE)
Cortez Masto (D-NV)
Heller (R-NV)
Hassan (D-NH)
Shaheen (D-NH)
Booker (D-NJ)
Menendez (D-NJ)  
Heinrich (D-NM)
Udall (D-NM)
Gillibrand (D-NY)
Schumer (D-NY)
Hagan (D-NC)

Tillis (R-NC)
Heitkamp (D-ND)
Brown (D-OH)

Portman (R-OH)
DeFazio (D-OR)
Casey (D-PA)
McGinty (D-PA)  
Reed (D-RI)
Whitehouse (D-RI)

Graham (R-SC)
Scott (R-SC)

Matheson (D-UT)
Alexander (R-TN)
Corker (R-TN)

Leahy (D-VT)
Kaine (D-VA)
Warner (D-VA)
Cantwell (D-WA)
Murray (D-WA)

Capito (R-WV)
Manchin (D-WV)
Baldwin (D-WI)
Feingold (D-WI)



NAY (29 votes)

Sessions (R-AL)
Shelby (R-AL)
Sullivan (R-AK)
Boozman (R-AR)
Cotton (R-AR)  
Perdue (R-GA)
Crapo (R-ID)
Risch (R-ID)
Grassley (R-IA)
Moran (R-KS)
Roberts (R-KS)
McConnell (R-KY)
Cassidy (R-LA)
Kennedy (R-LA)
Cochran (R-MS)
Wicker (R-MS)
Sasse (R-NE)
Hoeven (R-ND)
Inhofe (R-OK)

Merkley (D-OR)
Lankford (R-OK)
Rounds (R-SD)
Thune (R-SD)
Cornyn (R-TX)
Cruz (R-TX)

Sanders (D-VT)
Hatch (R-UT)  
Barrasso (R-WY)
Enzi (R-WY)


This decision shows that SCOTUS will have of 5-4 balance in a liberal favor

21th March 2017
Great Environment Politics Changes



Gore has announced the start of his first major presidential campaign. It was, as expected, an environmental policy reform. This reform has already been named GoreEnvironment (GE) and Al Gore has called it Great Environmnet Politics Changes (GEPC)

What has surprised many in this reform is the repeal of the EPA. An United States Department of Environment will be created instead of EPA. Without verification of the U.S. Department of Environment it will be impossible to build any enterprise that has emissions into the atmosphere. Innovation has caused sharp indignation on the part of Republicans and states with large deposits of mineral resources

Gore has stated that it is intended to inspect all businesses and, under the order of the U.S. Department of Environment, any enterprise that is harmful to the environment may be closed

The President announced that the United States is initiating a meeting of the UN Security Council on climate change, and also announced the creation of Secretary of State Joe Biden and Secretary of Energy Lisa Murkowski, a bipartisan group of Senators who will negotiate with other countries to prevent climate change

The GEPC is expected to hit the House of Representatives next month, May, and later the Senate

Do you approve GEPC?
Approve: 59%
Dissapprove: 35%

Do you approve job of Al Gore?
Approve: 61%
Dissapprove: 37%
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andjey
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« Reply #51 on: August 26, 2019, 01:30:42 PM »

Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial election

Virginia Democratic gubernatorial primary poll

Tom Perriello 55%
Ralph Northam 35%


Virginia Republican gubernatorial primary poll

Ed Gillespie 41%
Rob Wittman 30%
Corey Stewart 22%

General election polling

Perriello vs Gillespie 49%-46%
Perriello vs Wittman 50%-46%
Perriello vs Stewart 49%-44%

Northam vs Gillespie 44%-47%
Northam vs Wittman 45%-49%
Northam vs Stewart 46%-46%

Rating: Tossup


New Jersey Republican gubernatorial primary poll
Kim Guadagno 63%
Jack Ciattarelli 36%

New Jersey Democratic gubernatorial primary poll
Phil Murphy 38%
Jim Johnson 29%
John Wisniewski 20%
William Brennan 13%

General election polling

Guadagno vs Murphy 40%-54%
Guadagno vs Johnson 40%-53%

Rating: Likely D (flip)
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andjey
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« Reply #52 on: August 27, 2019, 11:39:52 AM »

11th June 2017
GREAT ENVIRONMENT POLITICS CHANGES

House passes GEPC with 228-207 votes (Democrats Lincoln Davis, John Tanner, Anthony Brindisi and Ben McAdams voted against it, while Republican Ryan Costello, Frank LoBiondo and John Katko voted in favor to it)

Subsequently, the Senate also passed the bill, which became Gore's first powerful reform of the presidency, and his first major victory.

YEA (57 votes)

Mallott (D-AK)
McCain (R-AZ)
Feinstein (D-CA)
Harris (D-CA) 
Bennet (D-CO)
Blumenthal (D-CT)
Murphy (D-CT)
Carper (D-DE)
Coons (D-DE)
Graham (D-FL)
Nelson (D-FL)
Hirono (D-HI)
Schatz (D-HI)
Duckworth (D-IL)
Durbin (D-IL)
Bayh (D-IN)
Donnelly (D-IN) 
Grimes (D-KY)

Collins (R-ME)
King (I-ME)
Cardin (D-MD)
Van Hollen (D-MD)
Markey (D-MA)
Warren (D-MA)
Peters (D-MI)
Stabenow (D-MI)
Franken (D-MN)
Smith (D-MN)
Kander (D-MO)
McCaskill (D-MO)
Tester (D-MT)
Cortez Masto (D-NV)

Heller (R-NV)
Hassan (D-NH)
Shaheen (D-NH)
Booker (D-NJ)
Menendez (D-NJ) 
Heinrich (D-NM)
Udall (D-NM)
Gillibrand (D-NY)
Schumer (D-NY)
Hagan (D-NC)
Brown (D-OH)
DeFazio (D-OR)
Merkley (D-OR)
Casey (D-PA)
McGinty (D-PA) 
Reed (D-RI)
Whitehouse (D-RI) 
Leahy (D-VT)
Sanders (D-VT)
Kaine (D-VA)
Warner (D-VA)
Cantwell (D-WA)
Murray (D-WA)
Baldwin (D-WI)
Feingold (D-WI)



NAY (43 votes)

Sessions (R-AL)
Shelby (R-AL)
Sullivan (R-AK)
Flake (R-AZ)
Boozman (R-AR)
Cotton (R-AR) 
Gardner (R-CO)

Marshall (D-GA)
Perdue (R-GA)
Crapo (R-ID)
Risch (R-ID)
Ernst (R-IA)
Grassley (R-IA)
Moran (R-KS)
Roberts (R-KS)
McConnell (R-KY)
Cassidy (R-LA)
Kennedy (R-LA)
Cochran (R-MS)
Wicker (R-MS)
Daines (R-MT)
Fischer (R-NE)
Sasse (R-NE)
Tillis (R-NC)

Heitkamp (D-ND)
Hoeven (R-ND)
Portman (R-OH)
Inhofe (R-OK)
Lankford (R-OK)
Graham (R-SC)
Scott (R-SC) 
Rounds (R-SD)
Thune (R-SD)
Alexander (R-TN)
Corker (R-TN)
Cornyn (R-TX)
Cruz (R-TX)
Hatch (R-UT)
 
Matheson (D-UT)
Capito (R-WV)
Manchin (D-WV)
Barrasso (R-WY)
Enzi (R-WY)


Gore said that U.S. Department of Environment will be operational from July 1, 2018, at the same time the EPA will be abolished.

The new Secretary may be Governor of Washington Jay Inslee or Secretary of Energy Lisa Murkowski.
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andjey
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« Reply #53 on: August 29, 2019, 12:11:19 PM »
« Edited: November 17, 2019, 02:08:46 PM by Kalwejt »

19th July 2017


John McCain official portrait 2009
United States Congress [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons

Senator John McCain was diagnosed with brain cancer. In his press conference, he said that despite the start of treatment, doctors give him disappointing predictions

McCain has become an extremely moderate senator in recent years, having voted for all Gore's Cabinet nominees and for his GEPC reform

Al Gore said he is passionate about the senator's dedication to the American people, called McCain one of his best friends and said he is praying for his health, a long and happy life

In the end, John McCain said he condemned the right wing turn of the Republican Party, but has yet to leave either the party, the Senate, or the terrestrial world

23rd July 2017


Al Franken, official portrait, 114th Congress
U.S. Senate Photographic Studio-Rebecca Hammel [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons

Senator from Minnesota Al Franken will resign in September over allegations of sexual misconduct
"I was delighted to serve the people of Minnesota and the United States, but now I want to announce that I accept all the charges and leave the Senate in September. I hope Mark Dayton will appoint a decent person to serve my term. Thank you. I did everything I could for the well-being of Americans" - Al Franken said

27th July 2017


Tina Smith, official portrait, 116th congress
U.S. Senate Photographic Studio [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons

Governor of Minnesota Mark Dayton will appoint Lieutenant Governor Tina Smith to U.S. Senate after Al Franken's resignation

01st August 2017

New Jersey primary results

Democratic Party
Phil Murphy 35,86% - WINNER

Republican Party
Kim Guadagno 51,66% - WINNER

General election poll
Phil Murphy 52%
Kim Guadagno 41%

Virginia primary results

Democratic Party-recount
Ralph Northam 50,02%
Tom Perriello 49,98%

Republican Party-recount
Corey Stewart 34,05%
Ed Gillespie 34,01%
Rob Wittman 31,94%

General election poll
Northam 47% vs Stewart 46%
Northam 45% vs Gillespie 49%
Perriello 50% vs Stewart 44%
Perriello 49% vs Gillespie 49%

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andjey
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« Reply #54 on: October 31, 2019, 02:17:25 PM »
« Edited: November 17, 2019, 02:10:09 PM by Kalwejt »

12th August 2017


John McCain official portrait 2009
United States Congress [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons

Republican Senator John McCain of Arizona, who is often rated as one of President Al Gore's largest Republican allies in the Senate (he voted for all Gore's nominees to Cabinet, SCOTUS and for his powerful GEPC reform) announced that he would resign from the Senate due to health reasons. McCain said doctors give him 6-8 months and he wants to spend his last days with family
The expected resignation date is 29th August 2017, which will be the 81st birthday for the Senator

"It has become a terrible blow to all of America. We all want to see You in the Senate. John McCain can rightfully be called a real American hero. I am happy to have the honor of serving for 10 years with You in the Senate. I, my family and the entire Gore administration are praying for your health and long, happy life"- said Vice President Amy Klobuchar

A close friend of John McCain, former President Barack Obama, said, "John, hold on, you have been able to overcome so many obstacles that this disease will self-destruct, and I believe that together we will celebrate your 100th anniversary. I admire you, Senator. Аs long as you have the strength, the strength is in Americа"

Also a close friend of the Senator, President Al Gore wished him strength and speedy recovery and said he respected his decision to leave the Senate, but that would cause America to lose one of its best Senators


15th August 2017


Sen. Martha McSally official Senate headshot 116th congress
United States Senate Photographic Studio [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons

Gov. Doug Ducey will appoint U.S. Representative Martha McSally to the U.S. Senate to fill vacant seat later this summer after U.S. Senator John McCain will resign. Special election for this seat will be in 2018 with regular Congressional election. This make Arizona second state, in which both Senate seats will be up in the 2018 election (after Minnesota)
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andjey
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« Reply #55 on: November 01, 2019, 01:18:42 PM »

29th August 2017



John McCain resigned from the U.S Senate. Governor Doug Ducey appointed U.S. Representative Martha McSally to fill the vacant seat. She will be sworn in on 5 September 2017

03 September 2017

The results of all House special elections are ready today

CA-28 special election
Terry Tornek (D) 72,88%- ELECTED
Others 27,12%
DEMOCRATIC HOLD

FL-27 special election
Donna Shalala (D) 50,26%
Maria Elvira Salazar (R) 47,23%
DEMOCRATIC GAIN

IL-03 special election
Steve Landek (D) 66,02%
Arthur Jones (R) 33,98%
DEMOCRATIC HOLD

OR-05 special election
Brian Clem (D) 50,89%
Mark Callahan (R) 49,11%
DEMOCRATIC HOLD

PA-15 special election
Susan Wild 50,88%
Marty Nothstein 49,12%
DEMOCRATIC GAIN

It showed the high popularity and of Al Gore in the society. Republicans failed to win in any race, 3 of which are considered extremely competitive (FL-27, OR-05, PA-15), and Democrats instead were able to wrest from Republican hands seats of Republicans Charlie Dent and Ileana Ros-Lehtinen

Do you approve job of Al Gore?
Approve: 61% (+2%)
Disapprove: 37% (+-)

Do you approve job of Amy Klobuchar?
Approve: 61% (+3%)
Disapprove: 38% (+1%)


Do you approve Gore Cabinet?
Approve: 59% (+3%)
Disapprove: 37% (-2%)

09th September 2017

Democratic Virginia gubernatorial primary results
Tom Perriello 50,03%
Ralph Northam 49,97%

Republican Virginia gubernatorial primary results
Ed Gillespie 34,36%
Corey Stewart 34,30%
Rob Wittman 31,34%

General election poll
Tom Perriello: 48%
Ed Gillespie: 46%
Don't know: 6%
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andjey
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« Reply #56 on: November 10, 2019, 09:23:47 AM »

05th October 2017

Secretary of State Joe Biden, together with Secretary of Energy Lisa Murkowski, arrived on a working visit to Europe to discuss gas purchases in the United States and to continue negotiations on climate change prevention

Lisa Murkowski has proven herself to be an extremely experienced negotiator, quickly becoming one of the most popular government officials in the Gore government. Joe Biden, also one of the most popular Cabinet members with extensive experience in foreign policy, believes that a compromise is bound to be reached. The visit will last for 3 days

During this time, Lisa Murkowki and Joe Biden will meet with Angela Merkel, Marijano Rahoy, Emmanuel Macron, Mark Rutte, Andjey Duda, Erna Solberg, Petro Poroshenko and Alexis Tsipras. Such numerous meetings will foster a more powerful climate treaty than the Paris Agreement

After their visit to Europe, Biden and Murkowski will travel to China, inviting the Chinese leader to join the new climate agreement on favorable terms

At the same time, Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi will visit the White House and will meet with President Al Gore and Vice President Amy Klobuchar, who will also be persuaded by politicians to sign a new agreement


November 2017

Results of 2017 Gubernatorial elections

New Jersey gubernatorial election
Phil Murphy (D) 54,22%
Kim Guadagno (R) 40,46%
Others 5,32%
DEMOCRATIC GAIN

Virginia gubernatorial election
Tom Perriello (D) 53,02%
Ed Gillespie (R) 45,12%
Others 1,86%
DEMOCRATIC HOLD
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andjey
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« Reply #57 on: November 18, 2019, 09:54:41 AM »

11th November 2017

U.S. Mississippi Senator Thad Cochran will resign from U.S. Senate in early 2018 due to health reasons. The Senator has indeed been in poor health recently and has now announced his early retirement. This was an unexpected decision

This makes Mississippi the third state after Minnesota and Arizona to have both Senate elections in 2018 regular Congress elections

19th November 2017

U.S. Senator Claire McCaskill of Missouri, who is expected to have an extremely tough race in 2018 against State Attorney General Josh Hawley, will not run for a third term and retire to spend more time with family. She was one of the moderate Democrats in the Senate. Her decision will increase the chances for Republicans to take the seat

28th November 2017

U.S. Senator Tim Walz of Minnesota, who was appointed by Governor Mark Dayton to fill the vacant seat after Senator Al Franken's resignation will not run for full term. He also announced that he would run for Governor of Minnesota instead. This position will be open as current Governor Mark Dayton is term-limited. It also gives hope to Republicans, as former Governor Tim Pawlenty and former Senator Norm Coleman, who hold strong enough positions for Republicans in Minnesota, are viewed as potential candidates

01st December 2017

U.S. Florida Senator Bill Nelson will not run for the 4th term. This makes the race more accessible to Republicans who have current Governor Rick Scott as their primary potential candidate. Although, Nelson said he was thinking about running for the Governor of Florida. This is an extremely competitive race because the U.S. Rep. Rep. Ron DeSantis, Florida Agriculture Commissioner Adam Putnam and former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee have already announced their nominations. Former Senator Marco Rubio is considering running for Senate as well as for Governor


18th December 2017

1. AK-special
Byron Mallott (D), running

2. Arizona
Jeff Flake (R), retiring

Kyrsten Sinema (D)
Kelli Ward (R)
Joe Arpaio (R)

3. AZ-special
Martha McSally (R), running

Ruben Gallego (D)

4. California
Dianne Feinstein (D), running

Kevin de Leon (D)

5. Connecticut
Chris Murphy (D), running

6. Delaware
Tom Carper (D), undecided

7. Florida
Bill Nelson (D), retiring

8. Hawaii
Mazie Hirono (D), running

9. Indiana
Joe Donnelly (D), running

Todd Rokita (R)
Luke Messer (R)

10. Maine
Angus King (I/D), running

11. Maryland
Ben Cardin (D), running

12. Massachusetts
Elizabeth Warren (D), running

Geoff Diehl (R)

13. Michigan
Debbie Stabenow (D), running

14. Minnesota
Tim Walz (D), retiring

15. MN-special
Tina Smith (D), running

16. Mississipi
Roger Wicker (R), running

17. MS-special
Unknown

Mike Espy (D)
Chris McDaniel (R)

18. Missouri
Claire McCaskill (D), retiring

Josh Hawley (R)

19. Montana
Jon Tester (D), running

Matt Rosendale (R)
Corey Stapelton (R)

20. Nebraska
Deb Fischer (R), running

21. Nevada
Dean Heller (R), undecided

Jacky Rosen (D)

22. New Jersey
Bob Menendez (D), running

Bob Hugin (R)

23. New Mexico
Martin Heinrich (D), running

24. New York
Kirsten Gillibrand (D), running

25. North Dakota
Heidi Heitkamp (D), undecided

Tom Campbell (R)

26. Ohio
Sherrod Brown (D), running

Jim Rennaci (R)

27. OR-special
Peter DeFazio (D), running

Knute Buehler (R)

28. Pennsylvania
Bob Casey Jr. (D), running

29. Rhode Island
Sheldon Whitehouse (D), running

30. Tennessee
Bob Corker (R), undecided

Marsha Blackburn (R)

31. Texas
Ted Cruz (R), running

Beto O'Rourke (D)

32. Utah
Orrin Hatch (R), undecided

33. Vermont
Bernie Sanders (I/D), running

34. Virginia
Tim Kaine (D), running

35. Washington
Maria Cantwell (D), running

36. West Virginia
Joe Manchin (D), undecided

Patrick Morrisey (R)
Evan Jenkins (R)

37. Wisconsin
Tammy Baldwin (D), running

38. Wyoming
John Barrasso (R), running
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andjey
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« Reply #58 on: December 01, 2019, 08:29:45 AM »
« Edited: December 01, 2019, 08:44:49 AM by АndriуValeriovich »

20th January 2018

Year of Gore Administration

Approval rating of President Al Gore
Approve: 60%
Disapprove: 34%
Don't know: 6%

Approval rating of Vice President Amy Klobuchar
Approve: 59%
Dissapprove: 34%
Don't know: 7%

Approval rating of Secretary of State Joe Biden
Approve: 60%
Dissapprove: 35%
Don't know: 5%

Approval rating of Secretary of the Treasury Ron Wyden
Approve: 57%
Dissapprove: 37%
Don't know: 6%

Approval rating of Secretary of Defense James Mattis
Approve: 54%
Dissapprove: 40%
Don't know: 6%

Approval rating of Attorney General Brian Sandoval
Approve: 55%
Dissapprove: 39%
Don't know: 6%

Approval rating Secretary of Interior Brian Schweitzer
Approve: 57%
Dissapprove: 36%
Don't know: 7%

Approval rating of Secretary of Agriculture Blanche Lincoln
Approve: 63%
Dissapprove: 29%
Don't know: 8%

Approval rating of Secretary of Commerce Kurt Schrader
Approve: 54%
Dissapprove: 39%
Don't know: 7%

Approval rating of Secretary of Labor Jennifer Granholm
Approve: 52%
Dissapprove: 43%
Don't know: 5%

Approval rating of Secretary of HHS Steve Beshear
Approve: 59%
Dissapprove: 37%
Don't know: 4%

Approval rating of Secretary of Education Ed Rendell
Approve: 61%
Dissapprove: 33%
Don't know: 6%

Approval rating of Secretary of HUD Julian Castro
Approve: 58%
Dissapprove: 33%
Don't know: 9%

Approval rating of Secretary of Transportation Dan Lipinski
Approve: 51%
Dissapprove: 42%
Don't know: 7%

Approval rating of Secretary of Energy Lisa Murkowski
Approve: 64%
Dissapprove: 27%
Don't know: 9%

Approval rating of Secretary of Veteran's Affairs Mark Kelly
Approve: 60%
Dissapprove: 34%
Don't know: 6%

Approval rating of Secretary of Homeland Security Wesley Clark
Approve: 55%
Dissapprove: 38%
Don't know: 7%

The most popular Secretaries in Gore Cabinet are former Senator from Alaska Lisa Murkowski, who served as Secretary of Energy and former Senator from Arkansas Blanche Lincoln, who served as Secretary of Agriculture
While, the least popular are former Represenative from Illinois Dan Lipinski, who served as Secretary of Transportation and former Governor of Michigan Jennifer Granholm, who served as Secretary of Labor

Gore has high popularity. He is more popular than former Presidnets Obama, Bush Jr. and Clinton


17th February 2018

Senate passes Syria Intervention Act

Syria Intervention Act is a document that will allow the United States to bring an additional 75,000 troops to Syria to fight ISIL

At first Gore was against it, but Pentagon Chairman Jim Mattis, whom he considered a professional, convinced him. Mattis' resignation was the last argument

"This act is the only means of destroying Islamists and ending terrorist attacks around the world. Without it, the planet will continue to suffer radical attacks. We are the military, and it is our duty to protect civilians. For the sake of future peace, we must sacrifice something. If President will not agree to this or if Congress does not accept this act, I will resign because I do not want people to curse me later, due to the fact that their relatives were killed at the hands of ISIL
I'm ready to go to Syria myself to fight ISIL for the sake of saving many lives, "Jim Mattis said

Even after that, the Gore administration did not go for this rather unpopular decision on military intervention in Syria

Do you support intervention in Syria?
Support: 41%
Don't support: 54%
Don't know: 5%

But from February 1 to February 7, European cities such as Barcelona, Brussels, Munich and Paris had terrorist attacks that led to the deaths of 31 people.
In North Carolina, the CIA was able to track, and subsequently prevent, a large-scale terrorist attack, which led to an increase in the popularity of the idea of intervention in Syria, both in the ruling circles and in society.

Do you support intervention in Syria?
Support: 53% (+12%)
Don't support: 43% (-11%)
Don't know: 4%

The text of the Syria Intervention Act was already prepared by Secretary of Defense Jim Mattis and was soon submitted to the House 290-141, which adopted it by a large majority, and then transmitted it to the Senate

YEA (53 votes)
Sessions (R-AL)
Shelby (R-AL)
Sullivan (R-AK)
Mallott (D-AK)
Feinstein (D-CA)
Bennet (D-CO)
Carper (D-DE)
Coons (D-DE)
Graham (D-FL)
Nelson (D-FL)
Marshall (D-GA)
Crapo (R-ID)
Risch (R-ID)
Ernst (R-IA)
Grassley (R-IA)
Bayh (D-IN)
Donnelly (D-IN) 
Grimes (D-KY)
Cassidy (R-LA)
King (I-ME)
Peters (D-MI)
Smith (D-MN)
Walz (D-MN)
Hyde-Smith (R-MS)
Wicker (R-MS)
Kander (D-MO)
McCaskill (D-MO)
Tester (D-MT)
Fischer (R-NE)
Sasse (R-NE)
Hassan (D-NH)
Shaheen (D-NH)
Udall (D-NM)
Hagan (D-NC)
Heitkamp (D-ND)
Hoeven (R-ND)
Portman (R-OH)
Inhofe (R-OK)
Lankford (R-OK)
Casey (D-PA)
McGinty (D-PA) 
Reed (D-RI)
Graham (R-SC)
Thune (R-SD)
Alexander (R-TN)
Corker (R-TN)
Cornyn (R-TX)
Hatch (R-UT)
Matheson (D-UT) 
Warner (D-VA)
Capito (R-WV)
Manchin (D-WV)
Barrasso (R-WY)


NAY (47 votes)[/purple]

Flake (R-AZ)
McSally (R-AZ)
Boozman (R-AR)
Cotton (R-AR) 
Harris (D-CA) 
Blumenthal (D-CT)
Murphy (D-CT)
Gardner (R-CO)
Perdue (R-GA)
Hirono (D-HI)
Schatz (D-HI)
Duckworth (D-IL)
Durbin (D-IL)
Moran (R-KS)
Roberts (R-KS)
McConnell (R-KY)
Kennedy (R-LA)
Collins (R-ME)
Cardin (D-MD)
Van Hollen (D-MD)
Markey (D-MA)
Warren (D-MA)
Stabenow (D-MI)
Daines (R-MT)
Cortez Masto (D-NV)
Heller (R-NV)
Booker (D-NJ)
Menendez (D-NJ) 
Heinrich (D-NM)
Gillibrand (D-NY)
Schumer (D-NY)
Tillis (R-NC)
Brown (D-OH)
DeFazio (D-OR)
Merkley (D-OR)
Whitehouse (D-RI)
Scott (R-SC) 
Rounds (R-SD)
Cruz (R-TX)
Leahy (D-VT)
Sanders (I-VT)
Kaine (D-VA)
Cantwell (D-WA)
Murray (D-WA)
Baldwin (D-WI)
Feingold (D-WI)
Enzi (R-WY)
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andjey
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« Reply #59 on: December 10, 2019, 10:38:40 AM »

19th February 2018

U.S. North Dakota Senator Heidi Heitkamp decided not to run for re-election. This came after U.S. Representative Kevin Cramer announced his entry into the race. Several polls showed Cramer leading the way by an average of 15 points (Poll data: Cramer 55%, Heitkamp 40%). After Heitkamp chose not run for reelection, the seat became qualified as Safe R, because Democrats are not expected to have a strong candidate here, and President Gore's unpopularity here because of his active climate work will only contribute to Republican success


20th February 2018

U.S. Utah Senator Orrin Hatch will not run for the 7th term in the Senate. Former GOP nominee for President and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and former U. S. Representative Mia Love is rated as the main potential candidates. The seat will not be competitive, though in 2016 Democrat Jim Matheson unexpectedly won the Senate race. U.S. Representative Ben McAdams has already refused to run for Senate, instead he will run for re-election

U.S. Tennessee Senator Bob Corker will run for the 3rd term in the Senate. He already has a more conservative U.S. challenger Representative Marsha Blackburn, who is a strong supporter of Donald Trump

23rd February 2018

U.S. Senator Tom Carper from Delaware will seek reelection. His seat is safe for Democrats and, probably, he will easily reelected

24th February 2018

U.S. Senator from Nevada Dean Heller has announced that he will fight for re-election for 2 full term. This race is rated as one of the most competitive in the country. U.S. Representative Jacky Rosen has already announced her candidacy

28th February 2018

U.S. West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin has announced his retirement and he endorsed Republican Governor Evan Jenkins to fill his seat. He also announced his bid for Governor in 2020, saying he wanted to serve the people of West Virginia rather than serve the President and opposition in the Senate
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andjey
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« Reply #60 on: December 19, 2019, 07:13:55 AM »
« Edited: December 19, 2019, 08:25:32 AM by Tjing Tjang Tjing »

15th March 2018

Ruth Bader Ginsburg has announced her resignation
President Gore will appoint a replacement. Potential candidates include former Oklahoma Governor Brad Henry, current Attorney General Brian Sandoval, and Senator Claire McCaskill, who will retire in 2018

02nd April 2018


Senator Doug Jones official photo
U.S. Senate Photographic Studio-Renee Bouchard [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons

President Gore has chosen a relatively unknown former U.S. Alabama Nothern District Attorney Doug Jones as his nominee for the United States Supreme Court. Doug Jones is a moderate Democrat. It is expected that, if confirmed, he will become the deciding voice in the judge on many issues


19th April 2018
Senate voting to confirm Doug Jones as judge of SCOTUS

YEA (75 votes)
Mallott (D-AK)
Sullivan (R-AK)
Flake (R-AZ)
McSally (R-AZ)
Feinstein (D-CA)
Harris (D-CA)  
Bennet (D-CO)
Gardner (R-CO)
Blumenthal (D-CT)
Murphy (D-CT)
Carper (D-DE)
Coons (D-DE)
Graham (D-FL)
Nelson (D-FL)
Marshall (D-GA)
Hirono (D-HI)
Schatz (D-HI)
Duckworth (D-IL)
Durbin (D-IL)
Bayh (D-IN)
Donnelly (D-IN)
Moran (R-KS)
Grimes (D-KY)
Cassidy (R-LA)
Collins (R-ME)
King (I-ME)
Cardin (D-MD)
Van Hollen (D-MD)
Markey (D-MA)
Warren (D-MA)
Peters (D-MI)
Stabenow (D-MI)
Smith (D-MN)
Walz (D-MN)
Wicker (R-MS)
Kander (D-MO)
McCaskill (D-MO)
Daines (R-MT)
Tester (D-MT)
Fischer (R-NE)
Cortez Masto (D-NV)
Heller (R-NV)
Hassan (D-NH)
Shaheen (D-NH)
Booker (D-NJ)
Menendez (D-NJ)  
Heinrich (D-NM)
Udall (D-NM)
Gillibrand (D-NY)
Schumer (D-NY)
Hagan (D-NC)
Tillis (R-NC)
Heitkamp (D-ND)
Hoeven (R-ND)
Brown (D-OH)
Portman (R-OH)
Casey (D-PA)
McGinty (D-PA)  
Reed (D-RI)
Whitehouse (D-RI)
Scott (R-SC)
Rounds (R-SD)
Thune (R-SD)
Alexander (R-TN)
Corker (R-TN)
Matheson (D-UT)  
Leahy (D-VT)
Kaine (D-VA)
Warner (D-VA)
Cantwell (D-WA)
Murray (D-WA)
Capito (R-WV)
Manchin (D-WV)
Baldwin (D-WI)
Feingold (D-WI)


NAY (25 votes)

Sessions (R-AL)
Shelby (R-AL)
Boozman (R-AR)
Cotton (R-AR)  
Perdue (R-GA)
Crapo (R-ID)
Risch (R-ID)
Ernst (R-IA)
Grassley (R-IA)
Roberts (R-KS)
McConnell (R-KY)
Kennedy (R-LA)
Hyde-Smith (R-MS)
Sasse (R-NE)
Inhofe (R-OK)
Lankford (R-OK)
DeFazio (D-OR)
Merkley (D-OR)
Graham (R-SC)  
Cornyn (R-TX)
Cruz (R-TX)
Sanders (I-VT)
Hatch (R-UT)  
Barrasso (R-WY)
Enzi (R-WY)
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #61 on: December 19, 2019, 08:26:38 AM »

This is the last time I'm fixing attribution for anybody.
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andjey
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« Reply #62 on: January 07, 2020, 04:08:15 AM »
« Edited: January 07, 2020, 04:18:10 AM by АndriуValeriovich »

Senate races analysis. Part I

1. AK-special
Byron Mallott (D) vs Tammie Wilson (R)
Rating: Tossup

After Lisa Murkowski became Secretary of Energy, Governor Bill Walker appointed his Lieutenant Governor Byron Mallott to continue Murkowski's term. Mallott has proven himself to be a fairly moderate senator and popular, but Alaska is still a Republican state, so it is unknown how the race will be resolved. Mallott, on the other hand, does not have a strong Republican competitor, and their nominee is rated as weak. The race will be one of the most competitive

Average poll: Mallott-Wilson 47%-47%

2. Arizona
Kelli Ward (R) vs Kyrsten Sinema (D)
Rating: Lean D (flip)

Jeff Flake decided to step down, Republicans instead nominated the far-right Ward, who cannot compete with Sinema. Incidentally, moderate Republicans, including Arizona Senator Jeff Flake and former Senator John McCain are ensembled by Kyrsten Sinema. At the time, former Republican nominee for President Donald Trump endorsed Ward and held several rallies with her. The race is competitive, but the Democrats are strong favorites here

Average poll: Ward-Sinema 42%-52%

3. AZ-special
Martha McSally (R) vs Ruben Gallego (D)
Rating: Lean R

Martha McSally, appointed by Governor Ducey to extend the term of McCain, is a favorite in the special election. U.S. Democrat nominee Representative Ruben Gallego is far too left for a state like Arizona. According to the poll, there are at least 11% of those who will vote for Sinema in regular Senate race and for McSally in special Senate race. John McCain approves Martha McSally, though sources close to him say former Senator would like to see Democrat Mark Kelly as his successor

Average poll: McSally-Gallego 49%-42%

4. California
Dianne Feinstein (D) vs Kevin de Leon (D)
Rating: Lean Feinstein

Incumbent Democratic Senator Dianne Feinstein and Democratic State Senator Kevin de Leon went into the run-off. Feinstein is more moderate than most Democrats in California, which does not satisfy the left wing of the party that supports the Progressive de Leon. President Al Gore and almost all members of his administration have endorsed Senator Feinstein. While Senator Bernie Sanders supported de Leon. The race is more favorable to Feinstein since she is an active senator and already has many supporters

Average poll: Feinstein-de Leon 56%-41%

5. Connecticut
Chris Murphy (D) vs Mattew Corey (R)
Rating: Safe D

Incumbent Democratic Senator Chris Murphy running for a second term. He has no serious opposition and is likely to be easily re-elected

Average poll: Murphy-Corey 61%-35%

6. Delaware
Tom Carper (D) vs Rob Arlett (R)
Rating: Safe D

Incumbent Democratic Senator Tom Carper is running for a fourth term. He has no serious opposition and is likely to be easily re-elected

Average poll: Carper-Arlett 62%-33%

7. Florida
Stephanie Murphy (D) vs Rick Scott (R)
Rating: Tossup

After 3-term Senator Bill Nelson decided not to run for re-election, he ran for Governor of Florida instead. Incumbent Republican Governor Rick Scott said after much hesitation and consultation with the NRSC that he would run for office. For a long time it was thought that former Senator Marco Rubio, who was defeated by Gwen Graham in 2016, would run, but later he decided not to run for the Senate, instead running for FL-07. Democrats nominated rising star of Florida Democratic Party moderate U.S. Representative Stephanie Murphy. This will be one of the closest races in the country

Average poll: Murphy-Scott 48%-48%

8. Hawaii
Mazie Hirono (D) vs Ron Curtis (R)
Rating: Safe D

Incumbent Democratic Senator Mazie Hirono is running for a second term. She has no serious opposition and is likely to be easily re-elected

Average poll: Hirono-Curtis 69%-24%

9. Indiana
Joe Donnelly (D) vs Luke Messer (R)
Rating: Tossup

Despite the election of Democrat John Gregg as Governor and Democrat Evan Bayh as Senator last year, Indiana still remains a Republican state. Incumbent Democratic Joe Donnelly faces a serious challenge from Republican U.S. Representative Luke Messer, who is defeated in the Republican primary other U.S. Representative Todd Rokita, State Senator Mike Braun and former U.S. Representative Martin Stutzman. Polls show that Braun, alp Messer and Rokita will have the most formidable opponent for Donnelly, with an extremely competitive race with little Donnelly leadership, while at the same time, the current Senator has a strong lead over Stutzman

Average poll: Donnelly-Messer 50%-46%

10. Maine
Angus King (I/D) vs Eric Brakey (R)
Rating: Safe I/D

Incumbent Democratic-Independent Senator Angus King is running for a second term. He has no serious opposition and is likely to be easily re-elected

Average poll: King-Brakey 60%-31%

11. Maryland
Ben Cardin (D) vs Tony Campbell (R)
Rating: Safe D

Incumbent Democratic Senator Ben Cardin running for a third term. He has no serious opposition and is likely to be easily re-elected

Average poll: Cardin-Campbell 63%-31%

12. Massachusetts
Elizabeth Warren (D) vs Geoff Diehl (R)
Rating: Safe D

Incumbent Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren is running for a second term. She has no serious opposition and is likely to be easily re-elected

Average poll: Warren-Diehl 62%-31%

13. Michigan
Debbie Stabenow (D) vs John James (R)
Rating: Likely D

Three-term Democratic Senator Debbie Stabenow has a call from Republican John James. Stabenow is heavily favored here, but James still has a low chance of being elected

Average poll: Stabenow-James 57%-39%

14. Minnesota
Keith Ellison (D) vs Norm Coleman (R)
Rating: Tossup

Following the election of Klobuchar to Vice President, Governor Dayton appointed U.S. Representative Tim Walz, who decided to retire and run for Governor. Former Senator Norm Coleman, a moderate Republican who lost his seat to Al Franken in 2008 run for this seat. Democrats nominated by the U.S.S. Representative Keith Ellison, an outspoken Muslim who represents the ultra-wing. The Gore administration, including former Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar, to whom these 2 candidates are running, has not publicly endorsed Ellison. Does this mean they support Coleman? Perhaps because Ellison in the Senate will be a close ally of Sanders, who has voted against many of the Gore initiatives. Coleman has promised he will be on term 1 and will assist the Gore administration for Minnesota. The race is one of the most competitive

Average poll: Ellison-Coleman 46%-47%

15. MN-special
Tina Smith (D) vs Tim Pawlenty (R)
Rating: Lean D

Tina Smith, who was appointed by Gov. Mark Dayton after the sudden resignation of Al Franken, is now taking a call from former Republican Gov. Tim Pawlenty. Pawlenty is rated as a moderate Republican. Unlike his colleague Norm Coleman, he has a very serious competitor, since the incumbent Senator is not a progressive, but does not deter progressive voters. Also, Tim Pawlenty is called more conservative than Coleman. Also, the Republican nominee said there would be only 2 terms in the Senate, while Tina Smith said she would go for 3-4 terms, but no more

Average poll: Smith-Pawlenty 49%-45%

16. Mississipi
Roger Wicker (R) vs Howard Sherman (D)
Rating: Safe R

Incumbent Republican Senator Roger Wicker is running for a second full term. He has no serious opposition and is likely to be easily re-elected

Average poll: Wicker-Sherman 57%-36%

17. MS-special
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) vs Mike Espy (D) vs Chris McDaniel (R)
Rating: Likely R

Gov. Phil Bryant appointed to the Senate Mississippi Agriculture Commissioner Cindy Hyde-Smith, who already has a call from the far-right GOP wing. This is Chris McDaniel. Also represented here is a strong Democratic candidate, former US Secretary of Agriculture under Bill Clinton Mike Espy. No candidate will receive 50% in the first round of voting. If the run-off is between McDaniel and Espy, then Espy will win. The Same with Hyde-Smith. But if the run-off will be between Hyde-Smith and Espy, which is more likely, then it is unknown who wins

Average poll: Hyde_Smith-Espy-McDaniel 36%-34%-25%
Hyde_Smith-Espy 51%-45%

18. Missouri
Wes Rogers (D) vs Josh Hawley (R)
Rating: Likely R (flip)

The retirement of current Senator Claire McCaskill was a real blow to the Missouri Democrats. Leaders of the local Democratic Party urgently sought a candidate, Robin and Jean Carnahan were considered the main, but they both refused. As a result, the Democrats nominated a weak candidate for state senator Wes Rogers. Republican nominee is the current Attorney General, Josh Hawley, who is very popular in the state. He is expected to be easily elected for this position

Average poll: Rogers-Hawley 39%-52%

19. Montana
Jon Tester (D) vs Matt Rosendale (R)
Rating: Lean D

Because midterms almost always show poor results for the presidential party, incumbent Democrat Jon Tester is in danger. Although, given the popularity of the senator and the relative unpopularity of his opponent, this race cannot be called Tossup. These are already 3 extremely close elections for Tester, so you can say that Jon can win them. The NRSC rates this race as their pick-up, although the closer it is to elections, the more likely Tester is to win it, as polls show

Average poll: Tester-Rosendale 52%-45%
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andjey
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« Reply #63 on: January 10, 2020, 05:34:31 AM »
« Edited: January 10, 2020, 05:53:20 AM by АndriуValeriovich »

Senate races analysis. Part II

20. Nebraska
Deb Fischer (R) vs Sara Howard (D)
Rating: Safe R

Incumbent Republican Senator Deb Fischer running for a second term. She has no serious opposition and is likely to be easily reelected

Average poll: Fischer-Howard 62%-33%

21. Nevada
Dean Heller (R) vs Jacky Rosen (D)
Rating: Tossup

Incumbent moderate Republican Senator Heller has a serious challenge from the U.S. Representative Jacky Rosen, who ran a decent campaign. This is probably the closest race in the country at the moment. Heller distinguished himself as a loyal Senator to Trump. Although he initially opposed his candidacy in 2016 and said he would vote for Gore, but he held a rally with Donald Trump in Nevada in late October 2016. It did not benefit him as moderate Republicans and Democrats united against him. After the rally, #ModerateRepublicanNotForAFakeModerateSenator was organized in Nevada in early November. Subsequently, Heller acknowledged that his presence at the Trump rally was a mistake and voted for Gore in the election, but that could not save him from a tough re-election

Average poll: Heller-Rosen 47%-47%

22. New Jersey
Bob Menendez (D) vs Frank LoBiondo (R)
Rating: Tossup

Following the corruption allegations, Bob Menendez not only did not acknowledge them, but also ran for re-election, which made the place competitive. This spring, President Gore, who is hugely popular in New Jersey, renounced public support for Menendez but did not call for a Republican vote. In a stiff Republican primary U.S. Rep. Frank LoBiondo, who voted in favor of most Gore initiatives defeated bussinessman Bob Hugin, who reserved an endorsement from the NRSC (LoBiondo 53%, Hugin 47%). Energy Secretary Lisa Murkowski held several rallies in the state. While Vice President Amy Klobuchar and Secretary of State Joe Biden called on Menendez to drop out of the race, they themselves supported LoBiondo. It gave him a strong impetus

Average poll: Menendez-LoBiondo 48%-46%

23. New Mexico
Martin Heinrich (D) vs Mick Rich (R) vs Gary Johnson (L)
Rating: Safe D

Incumbent Democratic Senator Martin Heinrich is running for a second term. This seat is Safe Democratic, even after the admission of former Governor of New Mexico Gary Johnson, who was the Libertarian nominee for President in 2016

Average poll: Heinrich-Rich-Johnson 50%-20%-27%

24. New York
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) vs Chele Farley (R)
Rating: Safe D

Incumbent Democratic Senator Kirsten Gillibrand running for a second full term. She has no serious opposition and is likely to be easily reelected

Average poll: Gillibrand-Farley 65%-31%

25. North Dakota
Dustin Peyer (D) vs Kevin Cramer (R)
Rating: Safe R (flip)

Incumbent Democrat Heidi Heitkamp decided not to run after multiple polls showed her 13% -20% behind her potential U.S. contender Representative Kevin Cramer. Cramer entered the race even before the announcement of Heitkamp's retirement. And if this race was rated Tossup then it is now Safe Republican

Average poll: Peyer-Cramer 33%-65%

26. Ohio
Sherrod Brown (D) vs Jim Rennaci (R)
Rating: Likely D

Democrat Brown is a very popular incumbent, and although Ohio has always been considered a battle-ground state, now it's almost safe for Democrats

Average poll: Brown-Rennaci 58%-40%

27. OR-special
Peter DeFazio (D) vs Knute Buehler (R)[/color
]
Rating: Lean D

Buehler is a moderate Republican, while DeFazio is far-left, so this is rated as Lean D. The Democrats are strong favorites here, but things can still change

Average poll: DeFazio-Buehler 55%-44%

28. Pennsylvania
Bob Casey Jr. (D) vs Lou Barletta (R)
Rating: Likely D

Casey Jr. is very popular incumbent, while Lou Barletta runs as a Trumpist, which is not popular in Pennsylvania, so Casey Jr. is expected to be will be easily re-elected

Average poll: Casey-Barletta 59-39%

29. Rhode Island
Sheldon Whitehouse (D) vs Robert Flanders (R)
Rating: Safe D

Incumbent Democratic Senator Sheldon Whitehouse running for a third term. He has no serious opposition and is likely to be easily reelected

Average poll: Whitehouse-Flanders 65%-30%

30. Tennessee
Marsha Blackburn (R) vs Bob Corker (I)
Rating: Tossup

Among the Tennessee Republicans, the 2016 GOP nominee Trump figure is still very popular, so his support for the U.S. Representative Blackburn over incumbent Senator played an important role. She won the primary 53% -47% over Corker. Afterwards, Corker said he would run as an Independent candidate. He reserved endorsement from many Democrats, after which the Democrat withdrew his candidacy for Corker. President Gore and his administration endorsed Corker. The Incumbent Senator said he is open to being able to ally with the Senate Democrats if he is re-elected. It struck his position among Republicans

Average poll: Corker-Blackburn 46%-50%

31. Texas
Ted Cruz (R) vs Beto O'Rourke (D)
Rating: Lean R

Although trends show that Texas is moving to the left, it's not happening so fast, so the call from O'Rourke is seen by many Republicans as a joke, but some polls show a close race. O'Rourke became famous throughout the country through his campaign. But most experts agree that it is too early to say that Texas has become a swing state

Average poll: Cruz-O'Rourke 54%-43%

32. Utah
Mitt Romney (R) vs Jenny Wilson (D)[/color
]
Rating: Safe R

Mitt Romney is very popular in Utah. He has no serious opponent on the Democratic side, as only one Democratic Representative from Utah Ben McAdams refused to run. The Massachusetts Governor and GOP nominee for President in 2012 will be easily elected Senator

Average poll: Romney-Wilson 66%-30%

33. Vermont
Bernie Sanders (I/D) vs Lawrence Zupan (R)
Rating: Safe I/D

Incumbent Democratic Senator Bernie Sanders running for a third term. He has no serious opposition and is likely to be easily reelected

Average poll: Sanders-Zupan 72%-25%

34. Virginia
Tim Kaine (D) vs Corey Stewart (R)
Rating: Safe D

Incumbent Democratic Senator Tim Kaine running for a second term. He has no serious opposition and is likely to be easily reelected

Average poll: Kaine-Stewart 61%-33%

35. Washington
Maria Cantwell (D) vs Susan Hutchison (R)
Rating: Safe D

Incumbent Democratic Senator Maria Cantwell running for a fourth term. She has no serious opposition and is likely to be easily reelected

Average poll: Cantwell-Hutchison 63%-33%

36. West Virginia
Ben Salango (D) vs Evan Jenkins (R) vs Don Blankenship (I)
Rating: Safe R (flip)

Democrat Joe Manchin decided not to run for re-election, but instead to return to his old job as Governor of West Virginia in 2020. Republican Evan Jenkins, supported by Manchin, won the primary against Attorney General Patrick Morrisey and bussinessman Don Blankenship 38% -34% -28 %. The latter has not conceded defeat and will run as a nominee for the Constitutional Party. Without a formidable Democratic opponent, the race is rated Safe Republican

Average poll: Jenkins-Salango-Blankenship 63%-25%-8%

37. Wisconsin
Tammy Baldwin (D) vs Leah Vukmir (R)
Rating: Likely D

Baldwin is quite popular incumbent, while Leah Vukmir is running as a Trumpist, which is not popular in Wisconsin, so Baldwin is expected to be easily re-elected

Average poll: Baldwin-Vukmir 56-41%

38. Wyoming
John Barrasso (R) vs Gary Trauner (D)
Rating: Safe R

Incumbent Republican Senator John Barrasso running for a second full term. He has no serious opposition and is likely to be easily reelected

Average poll: Barrasso-Trauner 70%-25%
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« Reply #64 on: January 11, 2020, 09:19:05 AM »
« Edited: January 11, 2020, 09:56:48 AM by АndriуValeriovich »

Gubernatorial races analysis

1.Alabama
Kay Ivey (R) vs Walt Maddox (D)
Rating: Safe R
Average poll: Ivey-Maddox 57%-35%

2. Alaska
Mark Begich (D) vs Mike Dunleavy (R)
Rating: Tossup

Incumbent Governor Bill Walker dropped out of the race after former Senator Mark Begich announced his run. Walker was considered a more formidable opponent for Republican nominee Mike Dunleavy

Average poll: Begich-Dunleavy 45%-48%

3. Arizona
Doug Ducey (R) vs David Garcia (D)
Rating: Likely R
Average poll: Ducey-Garcia 53%-40%

4. Arkansas
Asa Hutchinson (R) vs Jared Henderson (D)
Rating: Safe R
Average poll: Hutchinson-Henderson 66%-30%

5. California
Gavin Newsom (D) vs Antonio Villaraigosa (D)
Rating: Likely Newsom
Average poll: Newsom-Villaraigosa 53%-44%

6. Colorado
Ed Perlmutter (D) vs Walker Stapleton (R)
Rating: Lean D
Average poll: Perlmutter-Stapleton 50%-46%

7. Connecticut
Ned Lamont (D) vs Mark Boughton (R)
Rating: Tossup
Average poll: Lamont-Boughton 48%-46%

8. Florida
Mike Huckabee (R) vs Bill Nelson (D)
Rating: Tossup

Extremely great attention has been drawn to this race. It is one of the most competitive races in the country. There were also extremely competitive primaries. On the Democratic side of Sen. Bill Nelson defeated Mayor Gillum, former Mayor Levine and billionaire Greene 50% -24% -17% -9%. Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee defeated U.S. Representative DeSantis, Florida Agriculture Commissioner Putnam, Attorney General Bondi and RLC White chairman 34% -30% -21% -13% -2%

Average poll: Huckabee-Nelson 45%-48%

9. Georgia
Brian Kemp (R) vs Stacey Abrams (D)
Rating: Tossup
Average poll: Kemp-Abrams 50%-45%

10. Hawaii
Colleen Hanabusa (D) vs Andria Tupola (R)
Rating: Safe D
Average poll: Hanabusa-Tupola 70%-27%

11. Idaho
Brad Little (R) vs Paulette Jordan (D)
Rating: Safe R
Average poll: Little-Jordan 65%-27%

12. Illinois
Bruce Rauner (R) vs J.B. Pritzker (D)
Rating: Likely D (flip)
Average poll: Rauner-Pritzker 55%-42%

13. Iowa
Kim Reynolds (R) vs Patty Judge (D)
Rating: Tossup
Average poll: Reynolds-Judge 46%-46%

14. Kansas
Jeff Colyer (R) vs Laura Kelly (D)
Rating: Lean R
Average poll: Colyer-Kelly 52%-43%

15. Maine
Shawn Moody (R) vs Janet Mills (D)
Rating: Lean D (flip)[/i]
Average poll: Moody-Mills 42%-51%

16. Maryland
Larry Hogan (R) vs Ben Jelaous (D)
Rating: Safe R
Average poll: Hogan-Jelaous 58%-36%

17. Massachusetts
Charlie Baker (R) vs Jay Gonzalez (D)
Rating: Safe R
Average poll: Baker-Gonzalez 67%-30%

18. Michigan
Patrick Colbeck (R) vs Gretchen Whitmer (D)
Rating: Lean D (flip)
Average poll: Colbeck-Whitmer 42%-53%

19. Minnesota
Tim Walz (D) vs Jim Hagedorn (R)
Rating: Lean D
Average poll: Walz-Hagedorn 52%-41%

20. Nebraska
Pete Ricketts (R) vs Bob Krist (D)
Rating: Safe R
Average poll: Ricketts-Krist 61%-34%

21. Nevada
Joe Heck (R) vs Steve Sisolak (D)
Rating: Lean R
Average poll: Heck-Sisolak 51%-43%

22. New Hampshire
Chris Sununu (R) vs Molly Kelly (D)
Rating: Likely R
Average poll: Sununu-Kelly 55%-40%

23. New Mexico
Steve Pearce (R) vs Michelle Lujan Grisham (D)
Rating: Likely D (flip)
Average poll: Pearce-Grisham 41%-55%

24. New York
Andrew Cuomo (D) vs Marc Molinaro (R)
Rating: Safe D
Average poll: Cuomo-Molinaro 64%-31%

25. Ohio
Mike DeWine (R) vs Richard Cordray (D)
Rating: Tossup
Average poll: DeWine-Cordray 47%-47%

26. Oklahoma
Kevin Stitt (R) vs Drew Edmondson (D)
Rating: Lean R
Average poll: Stitt-Edmondson 46%-38%

27. Oregon
Kate Brown (D) vs Gordon Smith (R)
Rating: Likely D
Average poll: Brown-Smith 45%-38%

28. Pennsylvania
Tom Wolf (D) vs Scott Wagner (R)
Rating: Safe D
Average poll: Wolf-Wagner 56%-37%

29. Rhode Island
Gina Raimondo (D) vs Allan Fung (R)
Rating: Tossup
Average poll: Raimondo-Fung 46%-48%

30. South Carolina
Henry McMaster (R) vs James Smith (D)
Rating: Safe R
Average poll: McMaster-Smith 55%-39%

31. South Dakota
Kristi Noem (R) vs Betty Sutton (D)
Rating: Likely R
Average poll: Noem-Sutton 52%-43%

32. Tennessee
Bill Lee (R) vs Karl Dean (D)
Rating: Lean R
Average poll: Lee-Dean 52%-42%
 
33. Texas
Greg Abbott (R) vs Lupe Valdez (D)
Rating: Safe R
Average poll: Abbott-Valdez 59%-33%

34. Vermont
Phil Scott (R) vs Christine Hallquist (D)
Rating: Safe R
Average poll: Scott-Hallquist 60%-35%

35. Wisconsin
Scott Walker (R) vs Ron Kind (D)
Rating: Tossup
Average poll: Walker-Kind 47%-45%

36. Wyoming
Mark Gordon (R) vs Mary Throne (D)
Rating: Safe R
Average poll: Gordon-Throne 64%-30%
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andjey
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #65 on: February 17, 2020, 08:57:13 AM »

1st October 2018

Department of Environment and Climate Change started operating, this organization was initiated by the Gore GEPC reform. Governor of Washington Jay Inslee has been appointed head of the newly formed body

Do you support formation of DECC?
Yes: 60%
No: 35%
Don't know: 5%

Lowest approval ratings for new state organization in Oklahoma, South Dakota, North Dakota, Wyoming and Idaho

3rd October 2018
The Grand Coalition in Germany is breaking up. Chancellor Angela Merkel announces early parliamentary elections scheduled for 25th November 2018
For Merkel, this will be the end of his political career. She has already announced that she will not run. The new CDU / CSU leader is Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer

New poll
Grüne 28%
CDU / CSU 26%
AfD 15%
SPD 13%
Links 8%
FDP 7%

Grüne's victory will be a historic moment, as one of their main goals is to prevent climate change, which is one of President Gore's main goals.

19th October 2018

After a year of intergovernmental consultations led by Secretary of State Joe Biden and Secretary of Energy Lisa Murkowski (US side), the text of the new largest ever-agreed grand climate change agreement (GCCA) has finally been agreed. More than 100 countries were consulted when the text was being drafted. Summit invitations to be held in the Finnish capital, Helsinki, to the leaders of all UN-represented states and the Vatican

The main points of the agreement:
1. Gradual ban on plastic bags by 2028, ban on the production of any of 2040 polyethylene
2. The gradual abandonment of cars and the transition to electric trucks by 2050
3. Closure of all plants and businesses that are extremely harmful to the environment
4. Reduction of non-renewable mineral production by 40% by 2040 and then by 75% by 2060
5. Transition to alternative sources of electricity, increase of their financing
6. Greenhouse gas emissions should reach 0% by 2060
7. Restoration of equatorial forests. Creating artificial forests across the globe
8. Establishment of an Independent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (NIMC) composed of eminent scientists as well as politicians and businessmen. Commissions will work on developing new measures to combat climate change and control already implemented measures in different countries

Failure to implement the measures in a timely manner or if the measures are not implemented at all will result in penalties being imposed on the signatory country of the GCCA.

Any country has the right to accede to the GCCA after its signature
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andjey
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,510
Ukraine
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« Reply #66 on: February 24, 2020, 09:26:01 AM »

ELECTION NIGHT. Part I

We're already at 6 PM, so we have first results from the two states- Indiana and Kentucky. Right now, we classify the Senate race in Indiana between incumbent Democratic Senator Joe Donnelly and U.S. Representative Luke Messer as too close to call. In the same time, the race in Kentucky's 6th congreessional district between incumbent Democratic Representative Jim Gray and former Representative Andy Barr, a Republican, who was defeated by Gray in 2016, is too close to call

Donnelly is not in the best position now. Although, two years ago, Gore won Indiana, the state still remains Republican. Current Senator is moderate, but statistics show that in almost 96% of cases he voted in line with Gore's position.

Donnelly well showing now in urban Indiana, while Messer dominates in the suburbs. Rural part of indiana is very, very close between two candidates

2018 U.S. Senate Election Map


Indiana Senate Race (3% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Sen. Joe Donnelly (D)*- 49.7%
Rep. Luke Messer (R)- 49.0%
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andjey
Junior Chimp
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Ukraine
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« Reply #67 on: March 23, 2020, 04:43:18 AM »

ELECTION NIGHT. Part II

We're now at the 7 PM hour, so we now get first results from the Senate and Governor races in Georgia, Florida, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Vermont and Virginia, as well as more results from the rest of the polling places in Indiana and Kentucky.

2018 U.S. Senate Election Map


Florida Senate Race (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Rep. Stephanie Murphy (D)- 50.0%
Gov. Rick Scott (R)- 48.9%

Indiana Senate Race (14% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Sen. Joe Donnelly (D)*- 49.1%
Rep. Luke Messer (R)- 48.6%

Vermont Senate Race (3% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC HOLD
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I/D)*- 79.1%
Lawrence Zupan (R)- 19.1%

Virginia Senate Race (1% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
Sen. Tim Kaine (D)*- 57.5%
Corey Stewart (R)- 40.9%

2018 U.S. Gubernatorial Elections Map


Georgia Gubernatorial Race (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Georgia SoS Brian Kemp (R)-49.9%
Fmr. State Rep. Stacey Abrams (D)- 48.9%

Florida Gubernatorial Race (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Sen. Bill Nelson (D)- 50.2%
Frm. AR Gov. Mike Huckabee (R)- 48.6%

New Hampshire Gubernatorial Race (<1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Gov. Chris Sununu (R)*- 51.2%
Frm. State Sen. Molly Kelly (D)- 47.2%

South Carolina Gubernatorial Race (3% Reporting)- TOO EARLY TO CALL
Lt Gob. Henry McMaster (R)- 54.9%
Frm. State Sen. James Smith (D)- 43.3%

Vermont Gubernatorial Race (2% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Gov. Phil Scott (R)*- 57.8%
CEO Christine Hallquist (D)- 39.3%
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andjey
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,510
Ukraine
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« Reply #68 on: March 24, 2020, 10:33:45 AM »

ELECTION NIGHT. Part III

We're now at the 8 PM hour

 2018 U.S. Senate Election Map


Florida Senate Race (9% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Gov. Rick Scott (R)- 49.2%
Rep. Stephanie Murphy (D)- 49.1%

Indiana Senate Race (24% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Rep. Luke Messer (R)- 49.4%
Sen. Joe Donnelly (D)*- 48.2%

Ohio Senate Election (3% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Sen. Sherrod Brown (D)*- 54.4%
Rep. Jim Rennaci (R)- 44.0%

Virginia Senate Race (10% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC HOLD
Sen. Tim Kaine (D)*- 58.1%
Corey Stewart (R)- 39.7%

West Virginia Senate Election (1% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN GAIN
Gov. Evan Jenkins (R)- 71.9%
Activist Paula Jean Shwearengin (D)- 24.2%

2018 U.S. Gubernatorial Elections Map


Georgia Gubernatorial Race (8% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
State SoS Brian Kemp (R)- 51.0%
Fmr. State Rep. Stacey Abrams (D)- 48.1%

Florida Gubernatorial Race (9% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. AR Gov. Mike Huckabee (R)- 49.0%
Sen. Bill Nelson (D)- 49.0%

New Hampshire Gubernatorial Race (6% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Gov. Chris Sununu (R)*- 52.3%
Fmr. State Sen. Molly Kelly (D)- 46.1%

Ohio Gubernatorial Election (3% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Frm. State Att. Gen. Richard Cordray (D)- 50.2%
State Att. Gen. Mike DeWine (R)- 48.7%

South Carolina Gubernatorial Election (11% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Lt. Gov. Henry McMaster (R)- 57.0%
Fmr. State Sen. James Smith (D)- 41.4%
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andjey
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,510
Ukraine
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« Reply #69 on: March 26, 2020, 10:35:29 AM »

ELECTION NIGHT. Part IV

 2018 U.S. Senate Election Map


Connecticut Senate Race (3% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC HOLD
Sen. Chris Murphy (D)*- 62.4%
Bus. Mattew Corey (R)- 35.2%

Delaware Senate Race (3% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC HOLD
Senator Tom Carper (D)*- 60.6%
Councilman Robert Arlett (R)- 37.1%

Florida Senate Race (15% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Rep. Stephanie Murphy (D)- 50.1%
Gov. Rick Scott (R)- 49.0%

Indiana Senate Race (30% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Rep. Luke Messer (R)- 51.0%
Sen. Joe Donnelly (D)*- 48.0%

Maine Senate Race (1% Reporting)- INDEPENDENT HOLD
Sen. Angus King (I/D)*- 65.2%
State Sen. Eric Brakey (R)- 33.3%

Maryland Senate Race (2% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC HOLD
Sen. Ben Cardin (D)*- 62.6%
Mr. Tony Campbell (R)- 34.8%

Massachusetts Senate Race (2% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC HOLD
Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D)*- 60.0%
State Rep. Geoff Diehl (R)- 38.4%

Michigan Senate Election (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D)*- 53.9%
Bus. John James (R)- 45.0%

Mississippi Senate Race (2% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Sen. Roger Wicker (R)*- 60.9%
Fmr. State Rep. David Baria (D)- 36.4%

Mississippi Special Senate Race (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)*- 35.7%
State Sen. Chris McDaniel (R)- 30.3%
Fmr. Agriculture Com. Mike Espy (D)- 29.9%

Missouri Senate Election (2% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN GAIN
State Att. Gen. Josh Hawley (R)- 60.4%
State Rep. Wes Rogers (D)- 37.4%

New Jersey Senate Election (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Sen. Bob Menendez (D)*- 51.2%
Rep. Frank LoBiondo (R)- 48.2%

Ohio Senate Election (9% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Sen. Sherrod Brown (D)*- 54.9%
Rep. Jim Rennaci (R)- 44.1%

Pennsylvania Senate Election (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Sen. Bob Casey Jr. (D)- 55.9%
Rep. Lou Barletta (R)- 43.2%

Rhode Island Senate Race (2% Reporting)- DEMOCRATIC HOLD
Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D)*- 60.9%
Judge Robert Flanders (R)- 38.3%

Tennessee Senate Race (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R)- 53.3%
Sen. Bob Corker (I)- 45.3%

 Texas Senate Race (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Senator Ted Cruz (R)*- 51.1%
Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D)- 47.7%

2018 U.S. Gubernatorial Elections Map


Alabama Gubernatorial Race (1% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Governor Kay Ivey (R)*- 59.7%
Mayor Walt Maddox (D)- 38.9%

Connecticut Gubernatorial Race (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Mayor Mark Boughton (R)- 49.9%
Mr. Ned Lamont (D)- 49.1%

Georgia Gubernatorial Race (15% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
States SoS Brian Kemp (R)- 51.1%
Fmr. State Rep. Stacey Abrams (D)- 47.8%

Florida Gubernatorial Race (14% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Sen. Bill Nelson (D)- 49.8%
Fmr. AR Gov. Mike Huckabee (R)- 49.2%

Illinois Gubernatorial Race (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Bus. J.B. Pritzker (D)- 52.8%
Gov. Bruce Rauner (R)*- 46.2%

Kansas Gubernatorial Race (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Lt. Gov. Jeff Colyer (R)- 49.9%
State Sen. Laura Kelly (D)- 48.7%

Maine Gubernatorial Race (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
State Att. Gen. Janet Mills (D)- 48.6%
Bus. Shawn Moody (R)- 47.2%

Maryland Gubernatorial Race (2% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Gov. Larry Hogan (R)*- 57.1%
Mr. Ben Jealous (D)- 41.8%

Massachusetts Gubernatorial Race (2% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Gov. Charlie Baker (R)*- 70.8%
Executive Jay Gonzalez (D)- 27.3%

Michigan Gubernatorial Race (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Fmr. State Sen. Gretchen Whitmer (D)- 52.0%
State Att. Gen. Bill Schuette (R)- 46.9%

New Hampshire Gubernatorial Race (11% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Gov. Chris Sununu (R)*- 49.8%
Fmr. State Sen. Molly Kelly (D)- 48.1%

Ohio Gubernatorial Election (9% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
State Att. Gen. Mike DeWine (R)- 49.9%
Frm. State Att. Gen. Richard Cordray (D)- 48.4%

Oklahoma Gubernatorial Race (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Bus. Kevin Stitt (R)*- 51.8%
Fmr. State Att. Gen. Drew Edmondson (D)- 47.1%

Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Election (1% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Gov. Tom Wolf (D)- 56.9%
Mr. Scott Wagner (R)- 42.0%

Rhode Island Gubernatorial Election (2% Reporting)- TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Mayor Allan Fung (R)- 52.8%
Gov. Gina Raimondo (D)*- 46.3%

Tennessee Gubernatorial Race (2% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Bus. Bill Lee (R)- 56.9%
Mayor Karl Dean (D)- 41.8%

Texas Gubernatorial Race (1% Reporting)- REPUBLICAN HOLD
Gov. Greg Abbott (R)*- 63.9%
Mrs. Lupe Valdez (D)- 34.9%
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