Hotter, Badder, and Unpopularer Takes

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

There is small but visible minority of Trumpsters that I talk to that flout Maga or Murica or Miltary or Wall etc. and I ask them if in the minuscule chance there was a big military draft would they be willing to go, suddenly all that pomp and flaunt disappears, and they talk about how they could acquire deferments and some of them even talk about plain out draft dodging. And I say in response that I would serve, literally several weeks away from being 18, and give my life if I have to, someone has to, and I am not better than the rest. And I know words are shallow and no one truly knows what will occur unless the moment arrives, but I still think something is telling.

"The world is not fair, and often fools, cowards, liars and the selfish hide in high places." Bryant H. McGill

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Ted Cruz looks better than Beto.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Cory Gardner Wins in 2020

You have a history of very stupid predictions, almost as stupid as mine, no offense.

Moore does have more African America support than the average republican, but definitely not 25%. Probably around 10-15.

I think Comstock can hold onto her seat. She can tough a vote against the ACHA and every repeal attempt.

Yes and it'll be by more than 10 points.

Honestly, Arrington probably makes this race safer than it was before.

Nicholson will still win.

Watching the Michigan Democrats throw away the AG race is fun.

Excellent. A Pritzer Win turns a likely D race into a tilt R race.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Harley Rouda is vulnerable in 2020

How is that controversial? I think he loses by 5-7 points.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Harley Rouda is vulnerable in 2020

How is that controversial? I think he loses by 5-7 points.

I think he loses by 2-3, but Trump anger could help him win, Lean D is the most R friendly rating I've seen anywhere

I think it is tilt to lean R.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Kind and Bustos win by double digits


Steve Daines wins by more than 6 points

Again, those are completely reasonable, especially given that Bullock is out.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Sherrill's race is decided by single digits


Malinowski wins by more than Sherrill

Does this count as controversial

Here are more:

Warner will win by single digits
Casten is vulnerable
Stevens and Slotkin both lose

Not by me, those seem sane. I'll try to give you a couple controversial opinions of mine.

Doug Jones will still outperform the dem prez nominee by a substantial amount.

Tina Smith is not vulnerable

Kansas Senate will not be close at all

Moore-Capito will visibly underperform compared to Trump, especially in the heart of coal country ie Mingo, McDowell, Wyoming, Logan, etc.

If State Senator Jackson does not jump in and there are no other surprises, we can expect a fairly boring and lame race.

Ethan Berkowitz is a trash tier candidate, and very overrated.

Bernie's GE viability is underrated.

GA Sen will not even be super close, close but nothing like the Governor's race last year.

Dems lose a lot of their suburban gains, still hold the house though.

Susan Collins is a massive ff.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

After the big three, Arizona is the next most likely state to flip in 2020 presidential level wise. More than Iowa, Ohio, or Florida.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Trump will do worse in WV in 2020, fight me (jk about the fight me part).

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

If I could have my way, I cannot it is impossible, Pakistan and India would have to trade their last holdouts of minority populations. Hindu areas of the Pakistani part of the Thar desert should be given to India, and the Lakshadweep islands, Indian Kashmir, and muslim area of Jammu should belong to Pakistan.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I support the Syrian Government.

I do as well.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

point #1 ^ Some people just never f#cking learn, that is my unpopular take

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Mucarsel-Powell is more vulnerable than most people think and will be up for another close GE in 2020.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Shalala wins by less than Mucarsel Powell

Powell wins by double digits, Shalala by mid to high single digits

Mucarsel-Powell is more vulnerable than most people think and will be up for another close GE in 2020.

Only if Curbelo or Tomas Regalado run for the seat, Miami R's have a strong down-ballot bench, can't be that hard to find someone to run against her

I think even a decent rando like Irina Vilarino would hold her to a 3-4 point victory, this seat is just so much more GOP downballot, and I feel like even running a decent Cubano or Cubana American businessman or businesswoman like Vilarino would be a really good fit and make it close.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Wow, this is not the type of fierce argument I expected in here lol.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Idk why, but I am not a huge fan of JBE, like I want to be but like I just can’t. Something about hims rubs me the wrong way, idk what though, it just feels bad. But ofc I still support him and would vote for him.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Idk why, but I am not a huge fan of JBE, like I want to be but like I just can’t. Something about hims rubs me the wrong way, idk what though, it just feels bad. But ofc I still support him and would vote for him.

He's just about the only true Blue Dog left, along with Manchin.

If you don't like those two then you can't be a real Blue Dog.

I mean his policy is good, it’s personal, and I just can’t put my finger on it, and I will admit that is being entirely unfair to him, but it is how I feel.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I actually think GA and even IA in some cases have more of a chance of flipping than FL. GA due to demographics and IA due to it being a superelastic state

I agree, but I am comfortable saying all will go the the dotard in 2020.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

The most convincing argument for abortion rights isn't that it's "her body her choice", it's population control.

Definitely, but if the anti-vaxxers get their way using poorer arguments, there is at least the good side effect of population control. It's also probably the most convincing argument in favour of bombing Iran and the impending Uyghur genocide.

So we need population control in the US, but we should also allow in millions of Latino migrants every year to supplement our aging population? How does this even make sense?

This has always bugged me too. Media says that people should stop having babies yet encourages mass migration. The agenda is pretty clear at this point.

It's an attempt to replace the endangered white race reeeeeeeeee!

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Most forms of bestiality should be legalized in all the states.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Most forms of bestiality should be legalized in all the states.

uh what the f**k dude

I mean if you own a large farm animal you can kill it with a freaking bolt gun or torch it to label it or something else that has a high chance of not carrying out a swift painless death and those slaughterhouses are pretty brutal. And umm imo bestiality is less torturous than this. If people say like yo, that animal cannot consent to that and it is torturous. I would say that some methods of killing and handling them are far worse, and the animal cannot consent to that either. Plus I feel like if we let this happened, maybe pedos and creeps will harass farm animals rather than people.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Most forms of bestiality should be legalized in all the states.

I would support decriminalizing "consensual" bestiality, because I don't think we should put people in prison for it, but no... there should still be some form of punishment for someone who engages in it, at least a fine or something.

How can bestiality be consensual though?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Most forms of bestiality should be legalized in all the states.

I would support decriminalizing "consensual" bestiality, because I don't think we should put people in prison for it, but no... there should still be some form of punishment for someone who engages in it, at least a fine or something.

How can bestiality be consensual though?

Notice the quotation marks around consensual. I'm referring to cases where the animal isn't physically harmed by the sex acts.

Oh ok, I see.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

If Schiavoni was the nom for governor, he would have done just as well as Brown in the Mahoning Valley.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

For supposedly being a more liberal and tolerant forum, Atlas is fairly Islamophobic,

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=114592.0

Holy sh!t look at BRTD throw down on that thread lol