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December 10, 2019, 02:32:40 am
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Endorsements Close today at noon

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  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginia)
  Dallas Mayoral Runoff Tonight!
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Author Topic: Dallas Mayoral Runoff Tonight!  (Read 1157 times)
Bagel23
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« on: May 04, 2019, 05:49:42 pm »
« edited: June 08, 2019, 04:59:51 pm by Bagel23 »

Polls close at 8pm ET, very exciting!

Very low turnout though, I went around 3pm central time in my precinct with 2300 registered voters I was number 182, and my dad went about an hour ago, and he was number 212, granted there was early voting for a few days before, but still turnout is low.

Technically non-partisan, Mayor race and city council races, but it is really partisan. There is also a bond prop that is 1.1 billion dollars in funding and expansion etc for the local community colleges, workforce training, and prep for it.

Dallas Mayor candidates- runoff if no one hits 50%, (no one will hit 50%)

Mike Ablon- White real estate developer, I think he leans GOP, I saw his sign outside my precinct said more police officers less city hall corruption, and my friend who works for him says he is 50/50, but I peg him as GOP leaning.

Albert Black- SMU business graduate, African-American, former Dallas housing authority chair, and a DEM

Scott Griggs- young firebrand white liberal city council member from district 1 southwest Dallas, DEM, has most of the LGBT and Labor endorsements

Eric Johnson- TX State house member and DEM, African American, standard dem from the south side.

Alyson Kennedy- absolutely bonkers crazy socialist, stay away lol!

Lynn McBee- can't get a full read on her, but she seems Demmish, she is a philanthropist and wealthy 7th generation Texas businesswoman, she is kinda cryptic to me

Regina Montoya- DEM, I voted for her, endorsed by HRC, worked in the Clinton White House and 2000 nominee DEM from TX 5th CD

Miguel Solis- DEM considering running for TX 32nd last year but did not, DISD trustee, big on education

Jason Villalba- GOP, former state house member from North Dallas (my former state rep) TX-114 got primaried out by an alt-right pig who proceeded to lose to a dem in the GE, trying to make a comeback

Dallas City Council District 11

My district, Lee Kleinman incumbent defacto GOP union busting piggie, been there since 2015, awful, prolly will win reelection by a wide margin though. I voted for Curtis Harris, the DEM who was 2018 constable precinct 3 nominee and came very close to winning.

Dallas City Council District 13

Nearby district, Jennifer Staubach Gates is the defacto GOP and incumbent, and daughter of Cowboys former player Roger Staubach. She has been riding on her dad's name forever. She is challenged by Laura Miller, the defacto DEM and former mayor of Dallas also looking to make a comeback in local politics. Staubach should win, but it could be close.

Not too familiar with other council races, but please feel free to add on.

Dallas Bond election-



I voted no, but we might be screwed either way. If it passes (it will be are a tax and spend dem county) they will plug and bond shortage gaps with property tax increases, and even if it fails, city council will probably raise the property taxes to make up for it anyways. I want more state funds to come in instead of these local direct funds, and a lot of yes people agree as well, but it aint happening with a conservative state, but they are not as hesitant about raising property taxes and making bonds as I am to bridge that gap. Can't wait, polls close in a little over an hour, watch with me!

http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/TX/Dallas/95370/227259/Web01/en/summary.html

And feel free to add on more or correct me!
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Inevitable Barbara Bollier
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« Reply #1 on: May 04, 2019, 06:20:05 pm »

My read is that most people are angling for the 2nd place in the runoff with Johnson likely taking the 1st.

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LoneStarDem
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« Reply #2 on: May 04, 2019, 07:01:11 pm »

Who do you see facing Johnson in the Runoff ?
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Bagel23
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« Reply #3 on: May 04, 2019, 07:50:59 pm »

I thought it was gonna be Ablon and Solis lol, I am bad at this, plus all the polling was pretty private and scarce.
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Bagel23
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« Reply #4 on: May 04, 2019, 07:56:44 pm »

Horrible turnout, under 10% lol
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LoneStarDem
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« Reply #5 on: May 05, 2019, 06:34:29 am »


Guess this means Johnson is the next Dallas Mayor ?
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Canis
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« Reply #6 on: May 05, 2019, 12:32:25 pm »

So who are you leaning towards in the Runoff Johnson or Griggs
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LoneStarDem
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« Reply #7 on: May 05, 2019, 01:05:28 pm »

Johnson based on his experience in the TX State Legislature.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #8 on: May 05, 2019, 01:15:16 pm »

Voted early for Johnson.
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Bagel23
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« Reply #9 on: May 05, 2019, 02:20:07 pm »


Guess this means Johnson is the next Dallas Mayor ?

No, it will be settled in a runoff.
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Bagel23
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« Reply #10 on: May 05, 2019, 02:21:09 pm »

So who are you leaning towards in the Runoff Johnson or Griggs

Idk enough about either of them since I did not expect either to be serious candidates, so I will have to read more since they are both dems, but leaning towards Johnson rn.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #11 on: May 05, 2019, 05:18:41 pm »

since I did not expect either to be serious candidates

Wait, what? Everyone's been saying Johnson would be one of the candidates for months. The "black South Dallas candidate" has a built-in base and he has strong connections in North Dallas as well.

He's not necessarily a shoo-in: Griggs is formidable. It'll be a tough race.
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Bagel23
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« Reply #12 on: May 06, 2019, 08:27:16 am »

since I did not expect either to be serious candidates

Wait, what? Everyone's been saying Johnson would be one of the candidates for months. The "black South Dallas candidate" has a built-in base and he has strong connections in North Dallas as well.

He's not necessarily a shoo-in: Griggs is formidable. It'll be a tough race.

I thought he and Albert Black would about evenly split the South Dallas vote, leading to neither making it to the runoff, Johnson overwhelmingly united this block though, which I did not see coming.
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dfwlibertylover
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« Reply #13 on: May 06, 2019, 09:05:52 am »

Griggs sounds good based on your description of him Tongue
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LoneStarDem
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« Reply #14 on: May 06, 2019, 01:16:49 pm »

Big question is whether the Runoff will have hard-hitting negative TV Advertising on both sides ?
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LoneStarDem
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« Reply #15 on: June 04, 2019, 03:43:16 pm »

Have Griggs & Johnson agreed to any Runoff Debates ?
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The Mikado
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« Reply #16 on: June 06, 2019, 07:11:22 pm »

Have Griggs & Johnson agreed to any Runoff Debates ?

There was a debate. You can listen to it here:

https://www.keranews.org/post/listen-dallas-mayoral-finalists-johnson-griggs-debate-2-weeks-until-runoff

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Bagel23
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« Reply #17 on: June 06, 2019, 11:31:09 pm »

I will be voting for Johnson on saturday.
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LoneStarDem
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« Reply #18 on: June 07, 2019, 07:04:49 am »

Will the Runoff be close ?
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Bagel23
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« Reply #19 on: June 07, 2019, 08:37:03 am »


Not sure, but I think at least relatively so.
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LoneStarDem
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« Reply #20 on: June 07, 2019, 10:23:16 am »


Not sure, but I think at least relatively so.

Where does Johnson have to do well in order to pull off a victory ? African Americans, Latinos, Asian/Pacific Islander, etc.,
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Bagel23
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« Reply #21 on: June 07, 2019, 11:28:26 am »
« Edited: June 07, 2019, 11:31:56 am by Bagel23 »


Not sure, but I think at least relatively so.

Where does Johnson have to do well in order to pull off a victory ? African Americans, Latinos, Asian/Pacific Islander, etc.,

Johnson needs his South Dallas Democratic base to turn out, that is also where most of the African-American population is, he should win there overwhelmingly regardless, but it may not be enough on its own. Griggs will be running up in the heavily gay parts of the city, which is also where he is from, I think he is straight though but idk, and the hipster yuppie communities on the outskirts that are popping up. I have no idea what Hispanics are going to do in this race, or if they even show up at all. North Dallas should be interesting, Griggs seems like he is the young wealthy white elite type candidate more, but Johnson is more pro business and has establishment backing from this area. It should be an interesting race, and in a way I think we will see a strong minority white divide, but idk, not much data on this race at all, these are all guesses. Johnson also has quite a few powerful GOP endorsements.
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Strong Candidate
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« Reply #22 on: June 07, 2019, 04:57:35 pm »

I'd have to imagine his first-place primary finish, massive fundraising advantage and deep cross-partisan institutional support would make Johnson something of a favorite. Not that Griggs can't win as long as he has the public safety unions in his corner, but I wouldn't be surprised to see this race not be close at all.
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Bagel23
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« Reply #23 on: June 08, 2019, 04:30:04 pm »

Just voted for Johnson, I was voter number 178
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LoneStarDem
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« Reply #24 on: June 08, 2019, 07:20:00 pm »

Let us know when the voting returns show up.
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