Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
November 13, 2019, 10:10:40 pm
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, x)
  2019 KY GOV Megathread, Andy Beshear wins
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 5 6 7 8 9 [10] 11 12 13 14 15 ... 35 Print
Poll
Question: Ballot Preference: Which candidate would you vote for?
#1Bevin (R)  
#2Beshear (D)  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 165

Author Topic: 2019 KY GOV Megathread, Andy Beshear wins  (Read 24521 times)
Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,709
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.00, S: -4.00

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #225 on: July 19, 2019, 05:31:35 pm »

Inside Elections shifts race from Lean R to Tossup.

Logged
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,553
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: -7.65

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #226 on: July 19, 2019, 05:37:37 pm »

Why?

Matt Bevin is a provocateur. He's like a slightly more professional but much less likable version of Trump. That's why people hate him but that's also why he'll get re-elected.
Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,664
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #227 on: July 19, 2019, 05:39:10 pm »

A 6 point lead isnt a substantial lead and the ads are just beginning in LA, KY and MS. It's not over til its over
Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,664
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #228 on: July 19, 2019, 07:08:18 pm »

https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2019-20-gubernatorial-ratings-juy-19-2019

KY Gov now a tossup
Logged
Mondale
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,963
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #229 on: July 22, 2019, 04:22:05 pm »


I dont see how Bevin loses.
Logged
UnselfconsciousTeff
Full Member
***
Posts: 243
Egypt


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #230 on: July 23, 2019, 02:21:24 pm »

Is Beshear a blue dog or has he also have liberal positions ?
Logged
TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #231 on: July 23, 2019, 02:48:44 pm »


Because Kentucky voters are going to realize that they actually don’t like obnoxious rich Republican assholes in executive power. Oh wait.
Logged
TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #232 on: July 24, 2019, 05:46:02 pm »

For anyone deluding themselves into thinking Bevin can lose:

https://twitter.com/NilesGApol/status/1153853095484567552

He's going to get destroyed in those red districts that he kept to a respectable margin in 2015, and Louisville isn't going to come close to countering that.
Logged
Jefferson and St Charles Parishes will save JBE
jamespol
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,494


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #233 on: July 24, 2019, 08:55:24 pm »

For anyone deluding themselves into thinking Bevin can lose:

https://twitter.com/NilesGApol/status/1153853095484567552

He's going to get destroyed in those red districts that he kept to a respectable margin in 2015, and Louisville isn't going to come close to countering that.

I am one of the largest proponents on the forum that 2016 was a continuation of inevitable trends. 2018 confirmed that with high turn out.

However the thing is that not every election will have a counter wave that 2018 did. They may not be any counter wave at all this November.

It is hardly inevitable that Beshear will be destroyed in the districts he kept to a respectable loss in 2015 and it is hardly inevitable that Bevin will win.

The people who say, "A [party] will never in [state] again!" may be in for a surprise in a few years.
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,005
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #234 on: July 29, 2019, 11:23:36 am »

The R Senator who represents Bullitt and part of Jefferson endorsed Beshear today

https://www.wymt.com/content/news/Republican-lawmaker-endorses-Democratic-nominee-for-governor-513337441.html
Logged
Skunk
hynza
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,494


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -7.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #235 on: July 29, 2019, 06:28:13 pm »

Honestly this is starting to give me Kelly-Kobach vibes a tiny bit. Still not convinced that Bevin goes down in the end, but this is playing awfully similar.
Logged
Deluded retread Vice Chair LFROMNJ
lfromnj
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,962


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #236 on: July 29, 2019, 06:31:04 pm »

Honestly this is starting to give me Kelly-Kobach vibes a tiny bit. Still not convinced that Bevin goes down in the end, but this is playing awfully similar.

Only problem is that Kentucky is Trump +36 instead of Trump +20.
Logged
You're Still Going to Vote for Biden
politicalmasta73
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,928
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #237 on: July 29, 2019, 06:34:42 pm »

Honestly this is starting to give me Kelly-Kobach vibes a tiny bit. Still not convinced that Bevin goes down in the end, but this is playing awfully similar.

Only problem is that Kentucky is Trump +36 instead of Trump +20.
Not only is it Trump +30, not +36, but the Democratic tradition is far stronger and the republican has a lower Approval.
Logged
Bagel23
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,740
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #238 on: July 30, 2019, 08:43:25 am »

Honestly this is starting to give me Kelly-Kobach vibes a tiny bit. Still not convinced that Bevin goes down in the end, but this is playing awfully similar.

I was considering posting this but I didn't want to jinx anything, but I gotta to say this brings a valid opinion up.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,152
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #239 on: July 30, 2019, 09:46:43 am »

I wouldn’t call it a KS-GOV 2018 redux. There will be no Greg Orman in this race, KS is actually trending Democratic, KY's demographics are far less favorable to Democrats than KS's demographics, etc.
Logged
Canis
canis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,382


Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -7.13

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #240 on: August 01, 2019, 03:52:15 pm »

Yeah I think this will probably be a close one lf beshear wins it'll be by around 1 to 3 points and if bevin wins it'll be within 5
Logged
Bagel23
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,740
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #241 on: August 02, 2019, 10:45:23 am »

Yo Fancy Farm is tomorrow who is excited?
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,005
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #242 on: August 03, 2019, 11:57:53 am »

Yo Fancy Farm is tomorrow who is excited?

Bevin is so excited his making a fool of himself.

https://www.wkms.org/post/bevin-responds-rival-s-call-labor-sec-firing-over-blackjewel-beshear-buffoon#stream/0
Logged
scooby
Rookie
*
Posts: 30
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #243 on: August 03, 2019, 04:48:14 pm »

I went to Fancy Farm today. Beshear definitely has enthusiasm in Western Kentucky. I’ve only seen his signs. Bevin was booed repeatedly and throughout his speech. Yelling at him was a blast. Lots of signs among the Republicans for McConnell’s primary challenger.
Logged
You're Still Going to Vote for Biden
politicalmasta73
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,928
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #244 on: August 03, 2019, 06:31:08 pm »

I went to Fancy Farm today. Beshear definitely has enthusiasm in Western Kentucky. I’ve only seen his signs. Bevin was booed repeatedly and throughout his speech. Yelling at him was a blast. Lots of signs among the Republicans for McConnell’s primary challenger.

See any MItch supporters who booed Bevin?
Logged
scooby
Rookie
*
Posts: 30
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #245 on: August 03, 2019, 07:06:55 pm »

I went to Fancy Farm today. Beshear definitely has enthusiasm in Western Kentucky. I’ve only seen his signs. Bevin was booed repeatedly and throughout his speech. Yelling at him was a blast. Lots of signs among the Republicans for McConnell’s primary challenger.

See any MItch supporters who booed Bevin?
Maybe not actively booing, but almost nobody cheered Bevin. Some Democrats referenced Robert Goforth.
Logged
You're Still Going to Vote for Biden
politicalmasta73
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,928
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #246 on: August 03, 2019, 07:40:31 pm »

I went to Fancy Farm today. Beshear definitely has enthusiasm in Western Kentucky. I’ve only seen his signs. Bevin was booed repeatedly and throughout his speech. Yelling at him was a blast. Lots of signs among the Republicans for McConnell’s primary challenger.

See any MItch supporters who booed Bevin?
Maybe not actively booing, but almost nobody cheered Bevin. Some Democrats referenced Robert Goforth.
When you say "democrats", do you mean registered democrats, a lot of whom voted for Trump, or Democratic activists?
Logged
scooby
Rookie
*
Posts: 30
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #247 on: August 03, 2019, 08:46:20 pm »
« Edited: August 03, 2019, 09:12:01 pm by scooby »

I went to Fancy Farm today. Beshear definitely has enthusiasm in Western Kentucky. I’ve only seen his signs. Bevin was booed repeatedly and throughout his speech. Yelling at him was a blast. Lots of signs among the Republicans for McConnell’s primary challenger.

See any MItch supporters who booed Bevin?
Maybe not actively booing, but almost nobody cheered Bevin. Some Democrats referenced Robert Goforth.
When you say "democrats", do you mean registered democrats, a lot of whom voted for Trump, or Democratic activists?
The Democrats that referenced Goforth were the candidate speakers. By and large, the attending democrats in the audience were members of local teachers unions, labor unions, and other advocacy groups. In fact, though, there were a few cheering Beshear supporters in Trump hats. The went wild for things like medical marijuana and suing Bevin.  SIDE NOTE — If you wanna see the most #populist son of a b!tch of all time, look up Robert Conway’s speech.
Logged
Pollster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,211


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #248 on: August 07, 2019, 09:32:35 pm »

Logged
TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #249 on: August 07, 2019, 10:10:10 pm »



Reminder that polls always overestimate Democrats in Kentucky and Appalachia in the summer
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 5 6 7 8 9 [10] 11 12 13 14 15 ... 35 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC