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November 19, 2019, 05:38:04 pm
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  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, x)
  2019 KY GOV Megathread, Andy Beshear wins
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Poll
Question: Ballot Preference: Which candidate would you vote for?
#1Bevin (R)  
#2Beshear (D)  
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 165

Author Topic: 2019 KY GOV Megathread, Andy Beshear wins  (Read 25912 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #25 on: May 18, 2019, 02:55:09 pm »

No. Unless he goes up on stage and basically insults everyone in the state and says that if reelected he'll make them all pay him $10,000, and lets be honest, if there's any governor in the country that would do that, its him. Otherwise no.

This is also the same governor who was loudly booed when he came on stage at his state's signature event. Could you ever imagine such a thing happening to Steve Beshear or Happy Chandler? Bevin is Rauner/Christie/Malloy level unpopular, and from the looks of it, he won't change that just by clinging closer to Trump.

Both Malloy and Brownback, despite being more unpopular than Bevin and in less partisan states than Kentucky, won re-election.

In 2014 too. As much as partisanship/polarization is an overused meme of sorts on here, it still continues to have an increasing value even on state-level politics.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #26 on: May 18, 2019, 06:09:10 pm »

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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #27 on: May 21, 2019, 03:53:16 pm »

Results Page: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/05/21/us/elections/results-kentucky-primary-elections.html

first polls close at 6 ET.
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Morehouse Parish Blue Dogs for JBE
KaiserDave
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« Reply #28 on: May 21, 2019, 03:54:11 pm »

Let's go Rocky!
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #29 on: May 21, 2019, 04:34:30 pm »

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Bagel23
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« Reply #30 on: May 21, 2019, 04:38:23 pm »



Rain in Northern Kentucky
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Bagel23
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« Reply #31 on: May 21, 2019, 04:41:52 pm »

Umm honestly I think this thing is overhyped, I think Adkins and Edelenís chances in the primary are overstated, especially Adkins, and Beshear will win fairly comfortably, this is a total guess but I am going to guess that Beshear is somewhere near half of the vote, Adkins clocking in around 25 and Edelen maybe at like 20 and others at 5

And whoever wins the primary will lose substantially to Matt Bevin, so it is all in vain anyways.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #32 on: May 21, 2019, 04:55:55 pm »

Turnout is good for anyone but Beshear with those estimates. Eastern Kentucky is definitely Adkins Country, and the cities are good ground for Edelen.
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Bagel23
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« Reply #33 on: May 21, 2019, 04:58:06 pm »

Edelen is overhyped, I doubt he absolutely dominates in Jeffco or Fayetteco
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #34 on: May 21, 2019, 05:04:14 pm »

Edelen is overhyped, I doubt he absolutely dominates in Jeffco or Fayetteco

Yeah, but he'll probably win them.
But I could see Andy winning easily. We'll see.
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« Reply #35 on: May 21, 2019, 05:08:55 pm »

Adkins leads by 5 votes so far, lol.

Edit: Now 68. Still almost nothing in.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #36 on: May 21, 2019, 05:09:18 pm »

Rocky is dominating in early returns from eastern Kentucky.
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #37 on: May 21, 2019, 05:12:35 pm »

Democratic Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Rocky Adkins
117   59.4%
Andy Beshear
49   24.9
Adam Edelen
28   14.2
Geoffrey Young
3   1.5
197 votes, <1% reporting (1 of 3,686 precincts)

Republican Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Robert Goforth
303   50.0%
Matt Bevin*
276   45.5
William Woods
17   2.8
Ike Lawrence
10   1.7
606 votes, <1% reporting (1 of 3,686 precincts)
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« Reply #38 on: May 21, 2019, 05:13:32 pm »

This is absurdly early. But it's so far good for Adkins.
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #39 on: May 21, 2019, 05:18:55 pm »

Democratic Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Rocky Adkins
489   58.4%
Andy Beshear
201   24.0
Adam Edelen
130   15.5
Geoffrey Young
18   2.1
838 votes, <1% reporting (3 of 3,686 precincts)

Republican Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Matt Bevin*
445   52.1%
Robert Goforth
362   42.4
William Woods
28   3.3
Ike Lawrence
19   2.2
854 votes, <1% reporting (3 of 3,686 precincts)

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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #40 on: May 21, 2019, 05:24:35 pm »

Democratic Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Rocky Adkins
603   48.9%
Andy Beshear
334   27.1
Adam Edelen
273   22.2
Geoffrey Young
22   1.8
1,232 votes, <1% reporting (5 of 3,686 precincts)

Republican Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Matt Bevin*
672   53.4%
Robert Goforth
497   39.5
William Woods
59   4.7
Ike Lawrence
30   2.4
1,258 votes, <1% reporting (5 of 3,686 precincts)
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« Reply #41 on: May 21, 2019, 05:30:25 pm »

Did this Goforth guy actual run a reasonable-scope campaign?
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Greene
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« Reply #42 on: May 21, 2019, 05:31:32 pm »

Big dump came in. Beshear is catching up fast. He will probably overtake Adkins shortly. Looking to be how we all figured - Bevin vs Beshear.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #43 on: May 21, 2019, 05:32:11 pm »

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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #44 on: May 21, 2019, 05:32:14 pm »

Democratic Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Rocky Adkins
1,180   36.8%
Andy Beshear
1,095   34.1
Adam Edelen
884   27.6
Geoffrey Young
48   1.5
3,207 votes, <1% reporting (7 of 3,686 precincts)

Republican Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Matt Bevin*
1,246   57.1%
Robert Goforth
781   35.8
William Woods
91   4.2
Ike Lawrence
65   3.0
2,183 votes, <1% reporting (7 of 3,686 precincts)
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« Reply #45 on: May 21, 2019, 05:33:00 pm »

Big dump came in. Beshear is catching up fast. He will probably overtake Adkins shortly. Looking to be how we all figured - Bevin vs Beshear.

Yes, but margins here should be relatively interesting. Especially on the R side.

(and welcome to Atlas!)
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #46 on: May 21, 2019, 05:35:42 pm »

Democratic Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Rocky Adkins
1,712   39.8%
Andy Beshear
1,370   31.8
Adam Edelen
1,152   26.8
Geoffrey Young
70   1.6
4,304 votes, <1% reporting (13 of 3,686 precincts)

Republican Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Matt Bevin*
1,512   58.3%
Robert Goforth
875   33.7
William Woods
130   5.0
Ike Lawrence
78   3.0
2,595 votes, <1% reporting (13 of 3,686 precincts)

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Gass3268
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« Reply #47 on: May 21, 2019, 05:37:46 pm »

Hasn't posted to the NYT yet, but:



Also Beshear is doing pretty well up in the Cincinnati metro.
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swamiG
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« Reply #48 on: May 21, 2019, 05:39:07 pm »

Expecting a big Baby Beshear win in Louisville
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« Reply #49 on: May 21, 2019, 05:39:42 pm »

I wouldn't count Rocky out with less then 1% reporting.
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