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  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, VirginiŠ)
  2019 KY GOV Megathread, It's a Bevin vs Beshear GE Matchup
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Poll
Question: Ballot Preference: Which candidate would you vote for?
#1Bevin (R)  
#2Beshear (D)  
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 103

Author Topic: 2019 KY GOV Megathread, It's a Bevin vs Beshear GE Matchup  (Read 14613 times)
Gass3268
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« Reply #50 on: May 21, 2019, 05:41:37 pm »

Expecting a big Baby Beshear win in Louisville

Edelen has most of the institutional support in Louisville.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #51 on: May 21, 2019, 05:42:20 pm »

I wouldn't count Rocky out with less then 1% reporting.

He's not getting the numbers he needs in non-Appalachia

We'll, Western Kentucky should be a curveball.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #52 on: May 21, 2019, 05:42:50 pm »

Democratic Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Rocky Adkins
2,836   42.3%
Andy Beshear
2,049   30.6
Adam Edelen
1,701   25.4
Geoffrey Young
118   1.8
6,704 votes, 1% reporting (40 of 3,686 precincts)

Republican Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Matt Bevin*
2,154   56.6%
Robert Goforth
1,377   36.2
William Woods
181   4.8
Ike Lawrence
97   2.5
3,809 votes, 1% reporting (29 of 3,686 precincts)
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #53 on: May 21, 2019, 05:44:35 pm »

Beshear will probably pull ahead once we get Louisville and more of Lexington. It could be close, though.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #54 on: May 21, 2019, 05:46:01 pm »

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KaiserDave
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« Reply #55 on: May 21, 2019, 05:47:52 pm »

Clown?
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Bagel23
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« Reply #56 on: May 21, 2019, 05:54:09 pm »

Nothing overly surprising here
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #57 on: May 21, 2019, 05:56:21 pm »

Democratic Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Rocky Adkins
5,089   37.0%
Andy Beshear
4,899   35.6
Adam Edelen
3,388   24.6
Geoffrey Young
393   2.9
13,769 votes, 4% reporting (139 of 3,686 precincts)

Republican Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Matt Bevin*
7,092   51.7%
Robert Goforth
5,367   39.2
William Woods
920   6.7
Ike Lawrence
327   2.4
13,706 votes, 4% reporting (133 of 3,686 precincts)
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jk2020
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« Reply #58 on: May 21, 2019, 05:57:54 pm »

Seriously, when did I miss Bevin getting a serious primary challenger?
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jk2020
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« Reply #59 on: May 21, 2019, 05:59:45 pm »

Seriously, when did I miss Bevin getting a serious primary challenger?

Goforth wasn't that serious, that's the thing. He ran one badly disjointed ad the whole primary

If that's true then this is incredibly embarrassing for Bevin.
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Pollster
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« Reply #60 on: May 21, 2019, 06:00:11 pm »

Edelen looks poised to lose with a respectable showing. He could very well pivot to a challenge to McConnell from this.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #61 on: May 21, 2019, 06:01:26 pm »

Democratic Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Rocky Adkins
9,723   41.6%
Andy Beshear
7,458   31.9
Adam Edelen
5,636   24.1
Geoffrey Young
576   2.5
23,393 votes, 5% reporting (195 of 3,686 precincts)

Republican Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Matt Bevin*
9,097   52.8%
Robert Goforth
6,602   38.3
William Woods
1,078   6.3
Ike Lawrence
452   2.6
17,229 votes, 5% reporting (182 of 3,686 precincts)

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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #62 on: May 21, 2019, 06:03:13 pm »

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS:

Democratic Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Heather French Henry
9,546   72.2%

Jason Belcher
1,618   12.2
Jason Griffith
1,614   12.2
Geoff Sebesta
439   3.3
13,217 votes, 4% reporting (144 of 3,686 precincts)

Agriculture Commissioner
Republican Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Ryan Quarles*
6,069   81.8%

Bill Polyniak
1,351   18.2
7,420 votes, 2% reporting (82 of 3,686 precincts)
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Sensitive Soccer Moms Against Impeachment
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« Reply #63 on: May 21, 2019, 06:04:19 pm »

Seriously, when did I miss Bevin getting a serious primary challenger?

Goforth wasn't that serious, that's the thing. He ran one badly disjointed ad the whole primary

If that's true then this is incredibly embarrassing for Bevin.

Itís a landslide compared with Bevinís last primary victory, which I remember only too well. Tongue
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jk2020
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« Reply #64 on: May 21, 2019, 06:04:39 pm »

Something (I think Floyd) just dropped to put adkins just under 50% overall. 20 points ahead of Beshear with 9% in.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #65 on: May 21, 2019, 06:05:53 pm »

Democratic Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Rocky Adkins
16,526   46.9%
Andy Beshear
10,543   29.9
Adam Edelen
7,316   20.7
Geoffrey Young
885   2.5
35,270 votes, 9% reporting (327 of 3,686 precincts)

Republican Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Matt Bevin*
10,533   51.5%
Robert Goforth
8,062   39.5
William Woods
1,269   6.2
Ike Lawrence
571   2.8
20,435 votes, 7% reporting (264 of 3,686 precincts)
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Politician
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« Reply #66 on: May 21, 2019, 06:07:11 pm »

Seriously, when did I miss Bevin getting a serious primary challenger?

Goforth wasn't that serious, that's the thing. He ran one badly disjointed ad the whole primary

If that's true then this is incredibly embarrassing for Bevin.

Itís a landslide compared with Bevinís last primary victory, which I remember only too well. Tongue
Bevin won the primary by 83 votes over James Comer.

Had Comer won the primary, he would have been on course to win re-election easily.
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jk2020
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« Reply #67 on: May 21, 2019, 06:07:34 pm »

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jk2020
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« Reply #68 on: May 21, 2019, 06:09:20 pm »

Cincy metro seems to be what's keeping Beshear close right now. We'll have to see how  Jefferson shakes out.
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Secular Progressive
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« Reply #69 on: May 21, 2019, 06:11:56 pm »

The Republican Attorney General primary is super close -

Wil Schroder
14,396   50.1%
Daniel Cameron
14,337   49.9
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« Reply #70 on: May 21, 2019, 06:13:46 pm »

Jefferson County just dumped and it gave Beshear a boost.
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Ishan
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« Reply #71 on: May 21, 2019, 06:13:47 pm »

Beashar is leading Louisville with Edelen in second.
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jk2020
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« Reply #72 on: May 21, 2019, 06:13:56 pm »

Jefferson drops its first 25 precincts. Adkins is getting curbstomped, only 11%.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #73 on: May 21, 2019, 06:14:20 pm »

Democratic Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Rocky Adkins
23,991   43.7%
Andy Beshear
17,181   31.3
Adam Edelen
12,407   22.6
Geoffrey Young
1,269   2.3
54,848 votes, 14% reporting (508 of 3,686 precincts)

Republican Primary
Candidate   Vote   Pct.
Matt Bevin*
20,952   51.3%
Robert Goforth
16,315   39.9
William Woods
2,503   6.1
Ike Lawrence
1,093   2.7
40,863 votes, 14% reporting (498 of 3,686 precincts)
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jk2020
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« Reply #74 on: May 21, 2019, 06:15:07 pm »

Jefferson drops its first 25 precincts. Adkins is getting curbstomped, only 11%.

Unless something changes dramatically here, Beshear should have this in the bag.
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