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November 12, 2019, 07:51:13 am
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions close today at noon

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  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, x)
  2019 KY GOV Megathread, Andy Beshear wins
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Poll
Question: Ballot Preference: Which candidate would you vote for?
#1Bevin (R)  
#2Beshear (D)  
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 165

Author Topic: 2019 KY GOV Megathread, Andy Beshear wins  (Read 24010 times)
TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #275 on: August 09, 2019, 07:52:55 pm »

Lexington and its burbs may not be Louisville, but they aren't Hazard either. Big chunk of the Appalachians in KY-06 are 20-year-old kids who moved there to attend UK. The Appalachians in most of Eastern KY are...not that.

And McGrath was a first-time candidate for federal office. Beshear's had a chance to define himself and is running at the state level.

Doesn't make a lot of sense to compare the two.

You’re right. It doesn’t make sense. One was running a in a Trump +15 district. The other is running in a Trump +30 state
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You're Still Going to Vote for Biden
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #276 on: August 11, 2019, 10:35:26 pm »

Lexington and its burbs may not be Louisville, but they aren't Hazard either. Big chunk of the Appalachians in KY-06 are 20-year-old kids who moved there to attend UK. The Appalachians in most of Eastern KY are...not that.

And McGrath was a first-time candidate for federal office. Beshear's had a chance to define himself and is running at the state level.

Doesn't make a lot of sense to compare the two.

You’re right. It doesn’t make sense. One was running a in a Trump +15 district. The other is running in a Trump +30 state
Local=/=federal
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Totalitarian Contrarian
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« Reply #277 on: August 12, 2019, 10:55:07 pm »

Sticking with my prediction of 55-43 in favor of Bevin, at least for now. Bevin is horrible, but at least I'll be able to say "I told you so" on November 6.

What a big win for you kiddo
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #278 on: August 14, 2019, 09:08:39 pm »

Beshear hit the magical 51% mark, 51/49 Beshear
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #279 on: August 15, 2019, 08:53:00 am »

Beshear hit the magical 51% mark, 51/49 Beshear

I would sincerely doubt both add up to 100%. Also, Bevin is still favored. KY polls heavily underestimate GOP support and often late term deciders heavily break for the partisan leaning of this state.
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Skunk
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« Reply #280 on: August 15, 2019, 12:06:19 pm »

Antifa Jenean Hampton??

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Politician
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« Reply #281 on: August 20, 2019, 04:05:19 pm »

Another GOP politician endorses Beshear.

https://mobile.twitter.com/andybeshearky/status/1163783385300570112?s=21
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Skunk
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« Reply #282 on: August 20, 2019, 05:22:36 pm »

Andy Beshear is PROUD to be endorsed by moderate Republicans that hit teen cyclists with their cars!
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #283 on: August 20, 2019, 06:07:46 pm »

Does anybody care about endorsements in 2019?
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You're Still Going to Vote for Biden
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« Reply #284 on: August 20, 2019, 10:29:26 pm »

Does anybody care about endorsements in 2019?
I do think that although one-off endorsements don't have any real effect, having a plethora of bipartisan endorsements can really contribute to a more palatable message, especially in a state as reoublican as Kentucky.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #285 on: August 22, 2019, 12:12:21 pm »

Does anybody care about endorsements in 2019?
Short answer: no
Long answer: definitely no
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Gass3268
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« Reply #286 on: August 22, 2019, 01:08:35 pm »

Does anybody care about endorsements in 2019?
I do think that although one-off endorsements don't have any real effect, having a plethora of bipartisan endorsements can really contribute to a more palatable message, especially in a state as reoublican as Kentucky.

I think this helped JBE in Louisiana a bit.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #287 on: August 23, 2019, 12:46:43 pm »
« Edited: August 23, 2019, 03:23:28 pm by DINGO Joe stands on Sanchez »

Bevin doing everything he can to lose

https://www.wkyt.com/content/news/Bevin-says-primary-challenger-Rep-Robert-Goforth-is-a-name-so-easily-forgotten-557894411.html

Here's a longer article on the rift between Bevin and Goforth along with the contrast of Beshear and Rocky being BFFs

https://www.yahoo.com/news/kentucky-governors-remark-stirs-spat-174531198.html
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #288 on: August 23, 2019, 04:33:05 pm »


This dude is lucky to run in a such red state
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #289 on: August 23, 2019, 04:44:36 pm »

McConnell is hurting BEVIN'S chances, by blocking background checks in Senate
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Xing
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« Reply #290 on: August 23, 2019, 04:55:37 pm »


Yeah, Bevin would be gone in a swing state, but in a state like Kentucky, he can lose a lot of Trump voters and still be fine.
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« Reply #291 on: August 29, 2019, 02:34:57 pm »

Bevin rally with Trump Jr. in Covington doesn't draw a good crowd:

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Ishan
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« Reply #292 on: August 29, 2019, 02:55:58 pm »

Bevin rally with Trump Jr. in Covington doesn't draw a good crowd:


Lololol
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #293 on: August 29, 2019, 03:07:38 pm »

Bevin rally with Trump Jr. in Covington doesn't draw a good crowd:


Lololol
/

Putting those two on stage together without the President is probably not a good use of campaign resources in the first place. 
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Farmlands
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« Reply #294 on: August 29, 2019, 03:08:07 pm »


I'll take all the joy I can get in seeing Bevin embarassed and frustrated time and time again, in anticipation of an undeserved win in November for him. Still hope some Republicans will be disillusioned enough to stay home.
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Grand Mufti of Northern Virginia
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« Reply #295 on: August 29, 2019, 03:08:18 pm »

Why is it that of the two governors Kentucky has had since the early 1970s that were Republicans (Ernie Fletcher and now Matt Bevin), they were both so horrible that even Republican voters could only barely stomach them?  Was their statewide bench so sparse that they simply were unable to field better-quality candidates?  
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #296 on: August 29, 2019, 07:59:19 pm »

Why is it that of the two governors Kentucky has had since the early 1970s that were Republicans (Ernie Fletcher and now Matt Bevin), they were both so horrible that even Republican voters could only barely stomach them?  Was their statewide bench so sparse that they simply were unable to field better-quality candidates?  

Yes, their statewide bench really was that sparse. There were no statewide executive office Republicans in the lead up to the 2003 gubernatorial election. In the lead up to 2015, James Comer was the only statewide Republican and he seemed pretty promising if I remember right, but he was accused of having his girlfriend from college get an abortion and that allowed Bevin to upset him in the primary
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Ishan
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« Reply #297 on: August 30, 2019, 02:23:34 pm »

Why is it that of the two governors Kentucky has had since the early 1970s that were Republicans (Ernie Fletcher and now Matt Bevin), they were both so horrible that even Republican voters could only barely stomach them?  Was their statewide bench so sparse that they simply were unable to field better-quality candidates?  

Yes, their statewide bench really was that sparse. There were no statewide executive office Republicans in the lead up to the 2003 gubernatorial election. In the lead up to 2015, James Comer was the only statewide Republican and he seemed pretty promising if I remember right, but he was accused of having his girlfriend from college get an abortion and that allowed Bevin to upset him in the primary
Also, Anne Northup could have had a respectable loss instead of the 58-41 margin.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #298 on: August 30, 2019, 03:48:52 pm »
« Edited: September 01, 2019, 09:50:15 pm by Cory Booker »

No one showed up to Trump Junior's rally for Bevin, Bevin will lose
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Duke of York
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« Reply #299 on: August 30, 2019, 07:32:47 pm »

No one showed up to Trump Junior's rally for Bevin, Bevin will llsw

I hope you're right.
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