Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
November 12, 2019, 06:05:38 pm
News: 2020 U.S. Senate Predictions are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, x)
  2019 KY GOV Megathread, Andy Beshear wins (search mode)
Pages: [1] Print
Poll
Question: Ballot Preference: Which candidate would you vote for?
#1Bevin (R)  
#2Beshear (D)  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 165

Author Topic: 2019 KY GOV Megathread, Andy Beshear wins  (Read 24200 times)
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,997
United States


« on: May 24, 2019, 11:46:30 am »

Rocky did extremely well on his home turf in NE KY (like 80%+) which actually isn't coal country.  He won most, but not all of the coal counties in SE KY by less impressive margins.  He lost 5 of the 6 coal counties in WKY.  Clearly, he must have been a good rep over the years to win his area so overwhelmingly, but it doesn't seem to have much if anything to do with coal.
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,997
United States


« Reply #1 on: July 29, 2019, 11:23:36 am »

The R Senator who represents Bullitt and part of Jefferson endorsed Beshear today

https://www.wymt.com/content/news/Republican-lawmaker-endorses-Democratic-nominee-for-governor-513337441.html
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,997
United States


« Reply #2 on: August 03, 2019, 11:57:53 am »

Yo Fancy Farm is tomorrow who is excited?

Bevin is so excited his making a fool of himself.

https://www.wkms.org/post/bevin-responds-rival-s-call-labor-sec-firing-over-blackjewel-beshear-buffoon#stream/0
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,997
United States


« Reply #3 on: August 23, 2019, 12:46:43 pm »
« Edited: August 23, 2019, 03:23:28 pm by DINGO Joe stands on Sanchez »

Bevin doing everything he can to lose

https://www.wkyt.com/content/news/Bevin-says-primary-challenger-Rep-Robert-Goforth-is-a-name-so-easily-forgotten-557894411.html

Here's a longer article on the rift between Bevin and Goforth along with the contrast of Beshear and Rocky being BFFs

https://www.yahoo.com/news/kentucky-governors-remark-stirs-spat-174531198.html
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,997
United States


« Reply #4 on: September 13, 2019, 09:22:52 pm »

I don't think Beshear trying to run as more conservative would help him, though, since it would probably be seen as pandering, and people who basically just want someone conservative already have that in Bevin.

Iím not saying he should run a campaign more or as conservative as Bevin or anything, but a more conservative tone on a few hot-button social issues or some distance between himself and the national party certainly wouldnít hurt. Was JBE's pro-life position viewed as pandering? Was Joe Manchin's Kavanaugh vote viewed as pandering? Hardly.

I think someone like Rocky Adkins would be doing better against Bevin right now.

Iíll grant you if Rocky Adkins was the nominee thatís i think Bevin could actually lose. He actually has credibility to disassociate himself from the national party and Beshear doesnít even seem to be trying to do that. Itís almost as if heís going along advice from Bandit the Worker on Atlas

At the rate things are going, I wonder if Beshear will even manage to keep it within 5% in November, or if he will win Elliott County.

Sometimes I wonder how much of the 'rural racist hicks' is poes law around here. Because even if you think Beshear will lose, he will still do decently because Bevin is hated  in some circles. This means that some rural counties, like Elliot where the dem base is still reasonable, Beshear will carry. But he will probably carry far fewer then before, and will instead be getting his votes from places like the Cincinnati and Evansville suburbs.

Evansville has suburbs?
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,997
United States


« Reply #5 on: September 16, 2019, 12:14:46 am »

If coal miners didn't already know they were dead, the last six months should have convinced them.
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,997
United States


« Reply #6 on: September 16, 2019, 12:53:55 am »

Youíre the guy that thinks McGrath can win right, because McConnell stiffed a bunch of coal miners. I guess weíll see who ends up right about this one in a year

Nah, the #1 thing I think is that you're an idiot who's evading the question. What happened between 2008 and 2016 that turned a bunch of people who were fine with voting for Barack Obama into these reactionaries that you think they are?

You conveniently left out the violent swing from Kerry to McCain in a lot of these places despite a cratered economy, two wars, and tons of Republican vorruption
Not relevant. What happened between 2008 and 2016?

About 200 NG power plants
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,997
United States


« Reply #7 on: September 16, 2019, 01:29:33 pm »

IceSpear relying on the most trustworthy source of sociological information about the cultural patterns underlying voting patterns in Appalachia, the YouTube channel PrettyDrunkPeople.

No need to rely on the video, though it's good anecdotal evidence along with my own personal experiences in KY/WV. If you prefer empirical data, feel free to refer to post #370. Wink

By the way I know people who were Gore/Kerry/McCain/Romney voters and not a single one of them is racist

Were they that worried about the coal industry in Portland?


Um no they just liked McCain a lot(they would have voted for Hillary though ) and thought Obama did a bad job as President .




What part of KY did they live in?
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,997
United States


« Reply #8 on: September 16, 2019, 02:25:44 pm »

This showed up in my in my newsfeed one day.  In the proud tradition of the war on poverty, the ARC, JFK, Rockefeller, her Catholic church, etc... one Virginia college girl would go on service trips to WV each summer.  Why she won't be going back.

https://www.cavalierdaily.com/article/2019/05/my-service-trip-to-west-virginia-raises-ethical-questions
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,997
United States


« Reply #9 on: October 09, 2019, 12:59:43 pm »

It will be interesting to see how coal counties votes given the massive chaos and job losses in the last six months.
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,997
United States


« Reply #10 on: October 09, 2019, 02:36:55 pm »

It will be interesting to see how coal counties votes given the massive chaos and job losses in the last six months.
They will vote for Matt Bevin. Trump will come down to the coal counties and give a speech on Beshear will steal the jobs and turn the Cracker Barrel into a Taco Bell and they'll all vote GOP.

Obviously an exaggeration, but is it?

Maybe. Maybe they don't vote.  Just interesting to see what they'll do.
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,997
United States


« Reply #11 on: October 27, 2019, 04:57:27 pm »

Bevin is such an incapable person that he'll need every iota of Trumptardation of the Kentucky electorate to win

https://www.yahoo.com/news/kentucky-govs-race-stirs-clash-211243436.html
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,997
United States


« Reply #12 on: November 06, 2019, 11:24:02 am »

Excuse me, was I the only one that missed this poll?



Or are they releasing it just now?

Missing this poll was a huge failure on the part of Atlas.  I blame Tender.
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,997
United States


« Reply #13 on: Today at 12:27:51 am »

When can we expect the votes to be certified? Any news on the Bevin allegations/recanvassing/legislature front?

The recanvass occurs Thursday.
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,997
United States


« Reply #14 on: Today at 12:44:07 pm »

A group of "concerned" voters speak out on their thoughts of maybe possible fraud somewhere

https://www.wkyt.com/content/news/Group-of-voters-share-their-concerns-on-governors-race-564769502.html

Quote
"We've heard complaints. We've heard about record turnout, yet I haven't talked to a single person in Fayette County who waited in line anywhere to vote despite record turnout. Things just don't add up. As voters, we want to know what is going on. As voters, we want to know [if] anyone is looking into this," said Erika Calihan, a concerned voter.

The group says they hoped to talk about specific evidence at the news conference, but they were not able to do that.

These people really should be locked up.
Logged
DINGO Joe
dingojoe
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,997
United States


« Reply #15 on: Today at 01:30:50 pm »

They saw a big line of blacks voting, and assumed they were bused in illegally from Chicago by ACORN.

Ah, but they didn't see that.  That's what makes them so "concerned"
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC