2019 KY GOV Megathread, Andy Beshear wins

[jamestroll]

For anyone deluding themselves into thinking Bevin can lose:

https://twitter.com/NilesGApol/status/1153853095484567552

He's going to get destroyed in those red districts that he kept to a respectable margin in 2015, and Louisville isn't going to come close to countering that.

I am one of the largest proponents on the forum that 2016 was a continuation of inevitable trends. 2018 confirmed that with high turn out.

However the thing is that not every election will have a counter wave that 2018 did. They may not be any counter wave at all this November.

It is hardly inevitable that Beshear will be destroyed in the districts he kept to a respectable loss in 2015 and it is hardly inevitable that Bevin will win.

The people who say, "A [party] will never in [state] again!" may be in for a surprise in a few years.

[jamestroll]

So I am not very familiar with Kentucky political geography. If Beashar or Stumbo win where in the state would they pick up the votes?

Trends are so real that Bevin probably carries Elliot County even if he lose statewide.

[jamestroll]

Overall pretty happy with my prediction of a 6 point Bevin win

Are you still sticking with your prediction of JBE losing?

Will be hilarious to see Rispone be humilated when he loses the suburban New Orleans parishes big.

I could be wrong of course.