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October 23, 2019, 08:45:40 pm
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active

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  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, x)
  2019 KY GOV Megathread, It's a Bevin vs Beshear GE Matchup (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Ballot Preference: Which candidate would you vote for?
#1Bevin (R)  
#2Beshear (D)  
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 104

Author Topic: 2019 KY GOV Megathread, It's a Bevin vs Beshear GE Matchup  (Read 15514 times)
KaiserDave
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Posts: 1,432
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Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« on: May 14, 2019, 12:12:33 pm »

Not enough people are discussing Adkins
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KaiserDave
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Posts: 1,432
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Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #1 on: May 21, 2019, 03:54:11 pm »

Let's go Rocky!
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KaiserDave
YaBB God
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Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #2 on: May 21, 2019, 04:55:55 pm »

Turnout is good for anyone but Beshear with those estimates. Eastern Kentucky is definitely Adkins Country, and the cities are good ground for Edelen.
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KaiserDave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,432
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Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #3 on: May 21, 2019, 05:04:14 pm »

Edelen is overhyped, I doubt he absolutely dominates in Jeffco or Fayetteco

Yeah, but he'll probably win them.
But I could see Andy winning easily. We'll see.
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KaiserDave
YaBB God
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Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #4 on: May 21, 2019, 05:09:18 pm »

Rocky is dominating in early returns from eastern Kentucky.
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KaiserDave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #5 on: May 21, 2019, 05:13:32 pm »

This is absurdly early. But it's so far good for Adkins.
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KaiserDave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #6 on: May 21, 2019, 05:39:42 pm »

I wouldn't count Rocky out with less then 1% reporting.
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KaiserDave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #7 on: May 21, 2019, 05:42:20 pm »

I wouldn't count Rocky out with less then 1% reporting.

He's not getting the numbers he needs in non-Appalachia

We'll, Western Kentucky should be a curveball.
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KaiserDave
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Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #8 on: May 21, 2019, 05:47:52 pm »

Clown?
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KaiserDave
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Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #9 on: May 21, 2019, 06:33:49 pm »

Adkins might take it.
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KaiserDave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #10 on: May 21, 2019, 06:37:54 pm »

Rocky's still ahead. Lead just grew.
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KaiserDave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #11 on: May 21, 2019, 06:44:13 pm »

Is Rocky ahead with all of Lex in?
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KaiserDave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #12 on: May 22, 2019, 09:12:48 am »

Beshear has to campaign somewhat with in the east with Rocky. Can't ignore that part of the state.
And he needs to energize the Edelen base and the Sanderites by campaigning with Bernie.
That would be stupid
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KaiserDave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #13 on: May 22, 2019, 04:32:49 pm »

Beshear has to campaign somewhat with in the east with Rocky. Can't ignore that part of the state.
And he needs to energize the Edelen base and the Sanderites by campaigning with Bernie.
That would be stupid

May be not so stupid concerning Sanderites (economic populism still has some popularity in Kentucky, including it's Eastern part), but surely not Edelen base (too easy to get characterized as "liberal city slicker" and cause massive bleeding of votes in the East)

Campaigning with any national democrats in Kentucky is astoundingly stupid

This. If Beshear wants to win, he needs to localize localize localize. Gah, this would be so much easier with Adkins.
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KaiserDave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #14 on: September 13, 2019, 12:59:18 pm »

I don't think Beshear trying to run as more conservative would help him, though, since it would probably be seen as pandering, and people who basically just want someone conservative already have that in Bevin.

I’m not saying he should run a campaign more or as conservative as Bevin or anything, but a more conservative tone on a few hot-button social issues or some distance between himself and the national party certainly wouldn’t hurt. Was JBE's pro-life position viewed as pandering? Was Joe Manchin's Kavanaugh vote viewed as pandering? Hardly.

I think someone like Rocky Adkins would be doing better against Bevin right now.
Rocky would definitely have an edge. I don't see pro lifers frustrated with Bevin all too anxious about voting for Rocky.
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KaiserDave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #15 on: September 24, 2019, 05:25:24 pm »

Waiting for Trump to descend on the state say Beshear supports criminal illegals, and killing newborns, and then Bevin wins by 8.
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KaiserDave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #16 on: October 05, 2019, 09:33:23 pm »

When Bevin wins

1. I'll be mad, cause he's awful.
2. I'll be happy, cause I get to come back here and laugh at all the Lean D posters.
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KaiserDave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #17 on: October 06, 2019, 09:53:10 am »

Why are you leftist so obsessed with race? Our election has nothing to do with it.
Governor Bevin disagrees.
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KaiserDave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #18 on: October 06, 2019, 09:21:32 pm »

When Bevin wins

1. I'll be mad, cause he's awful.
2. I'll be happy, cause I get to come back here and laugh at all the Lean D posters.

Meh, I mean, Louie Gohmert and Tom Cotton are awful too, but no Democrats will be mad about it when they win because everyone knows it's inevitable. Same thing for this race.

Actually if anything the aforementioned are worse since they impact all of us through the Congress. Thankfully, Bevin will remain solely Kentucky's problem.

Fair enough. But Bevin is up there with Rick Scott in my book of the worst of the worst.
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KaiserDave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #19 on: October 06, 2019, 09:21:54 pm »

But the reactions here when Bevin wins are gonna be pretty funny.
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KaiserDave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #20 on: October 07, 2019, 02:45:21 pm »

When Bevin wins

1. I'll be mad, cause he's awful.
2. I'll be happy, cause I get to come back here and laugh at all the Lean D posters.

Meh, I mean, Louie Gohmert and Tom Cotton are awful too, but no Democrats will be mad about it when they win because everyone knows it's inevitable. Same thing for this race.

Actually if anything the aforementioned are worse since they impact all of us through the Congress. Thankfully, Bevin will remain solely Kentucky's problem.

Fair enough. But Bevin is up there with Rick Scott in my book of the worst of the worst.

Rick Scott was an amazing Governor even though Bush and now DeSantis were better. Scott > Crist though

Yeah, when he destroyed the public sector and caused an environmental crisis that was awesome.
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KaiserDave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #21 on: October 07, 2019, 08:47:43 pm »

It's like ya'll were knocked out in 2012 and are just now waking up.

Also, is it still controversial to claim Kansas is more D than kentucky? Cause it is.
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KaiserDave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #22 on: October 07, 2019, 09:25:09 pm »

Here's a thought: If Bevin does win easily, will people claiming that this is a Toss-Up race or that Beshear is going to win because Bevin was unpopular admit that they were wrong? Because as I've said before, I'll happily eat crow if Beshear somehow wins.
As will I, if Beshear wins I'll be jumping up and down like a lunatic. Not that I expect too.


What's going to be annoying is all the moronic "Dems in disarray" takes when Bevin wins.
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KaiserDave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #23 on: October 09, 2019, 01:13:32 pm »

It will be interesting to see how coal counties votes given the massive chaos and job losses in the last six months.
They will vote for Matt Bevin. Trump will come down to the coal counties and give a speech on Beshear will steal the jobs and turn the Cracker Barrel into a Taco Bell and they'll all vote GOP.

Obviously an exaggeration, but is it?
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KaiserDave
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,432
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.98, S: -3.33

« Reply #24 on: October 10, 2019, 03:29:52 pm »

I've noticed the same people who say Matt Bevin is inevitable said the same thing about Roy Moore and Kris Kobach.
I wasn't here for 2017, but I thought AL-Sen was a tossup and as was KS-Gov.
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